Djsoke Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 The lack of Thursday numbers (even just preview numbers for Dumbo) is killing me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Well they probably will suck if that makes you feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 CM is going to have a big drop on Thursday. Probably only 2M. The Fandango sales for Thursday were record low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Meh doesn't really matter. All that matters is Friday through Sunday. Amazing would be 2.7 so 700k isnt worth much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 (edited) 38 minutes ago, Matthew said: CM is going to have a big drop on Thursday. Probably only 2M. The Fandango sales for Thursday were record low. Could be the next its not about uuuhhh its bad or good for CM, only to show there is more to comparing per days in release numbers then I read here from time to time = Generally speaking: CA Civil War had at its 21's day in release (May 26, 2016) $2,076,849 and is with that #1 of the day. I am one of the ones who says legs not always only speak about quality, but also about if the mood in the movie, especially at the end, is not upbeat,... it will have less to way less repeat viewings. CA CW is one of those movies in my POV. CM with ~ $2m (or even ~ double of that) will be #2 GotG 2 had ~ $2.4m at its 21's day in release, also on #2, but had at that weekend a rather steep up curve in the income in dom. #1 movie opened at said Thursday with $4.6m (not preview, atypical opening day) = weak competition (It was Baywatch), more room to recover. I think the 3rd and 4th weekend often adds to impressions about the whys for the legs (incl competition). . You need a Frames Capable browser to view this content. Edited March 29, 2019 by terrestrial 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 12 hours ago, sfran43 said: Nice! 11 hours ago, terrestrial said: Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice Disney's DUMBO--which carries a $170M price tag--drops in 4,259 big tops this weekend. Step right up, place your bets. $45M--over or under? $170m? They’ll definitely be hoping for over $45m then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I doubt Thurs goes below 2.35. Will see when I wake up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Nice! $170m? They’ll definitely be hoping for over $45m then. Quote BoxOfficeReport.com @BORReport Mar 28 Weekend Box Office Predictions for Mar. 29 - Mar. 31, 2019 1. #Dumbo - $50.0M 2. #UsMovie - $40.0M 3. #CaptainMarvel - $20.5M Quote Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice Disney's DUMBO--which carries a $170M price tag--drops in 4,259 big tops this weekend. Step right up, place your bets. $45M--over or under? BOM Quote Dumbo (4,259 theaters) - $52.0 M Us (3,743 theaters) - $40.0 M Captain Marvel (3,985 theaters) - $20.4 M Five Feet Apart (2,845 theaters) - $6.3 M Wonder Park (3,304 theaters) - $4.7 M How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (2,783 theaters) - $4.3 M The Beach Bum (1,015 theaters) - $3.2 M Unplanned (1,059 theaters) - $3.0 M Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral (1,923 theaters) - $2.7 M Hotel Mumbai (924 theaters) - $1.2 M . BOPro Quote March comes to a close this weekend as the heart of the spring box office slate approaches its zenith, fresh off the massive success of last weekend’s Us and the continued staying power of Captain Marvel. Will Disney christen a new month with another box office winning remake from its vault of classic animated movies? Dumbo Opening Weekend Range: $45 – 65 million https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-will-dumbo-fly/ I've seen as deep as $40m too by not established accounts Its a movie that will probably sell over decades and decades as HV too (as do many other Disney children movies) Disney's budgets are partly head-scratchingly high..... see e.g. The Lone Ranger, John Carter,... for not established stories (John Carter... not a lot of the younger ones seem to know it, Lone Ranger is known to older ppl too, but not like 'This') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 45 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: I doubt Thurs goes below 2.35. Will see when I wake up. Personally that makes sense to me. Guess we'll see but I don't think using fandango numbers on the night of a Thursday release make any sense for a film 21 days into release. Just looking back at the buzz pre-tracking thread it's correlation is infact often near zero versus estimates positively and negatively even for presales. It's a good metric to compare but terrible to accurately forecast. My original estimate was 2.5 which is 11% drop from yesterday. GOTG with a weaker Wednesday dropped less than 6% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Just now, cdsacken said: GOTG with a weaker Wednesday dropped less than 6% Not diagreeing, but cheap Tuesday was at that time less big as now, I think that difference influnces the nowadays drops of Wednesday to Thursday a little bit in comparison (as I think Tesday gets more and more audience usually planing to go from Monday, Wednesday and Thursdays to varying degrees, ignoring spill-overs,.. and new releases) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, terrestrial said: Not diagreeing, but cheap Tuesday was at that time less big as now, I think that difference influnces the nowadays drops of Wednesday to Thursday a little bit in comparison (as I think Tesday gets more and more audience usually planing to go from Monday, Wednesday and Thursdays to varying degrees, ignoring spill-overs,.. and new releases) Oh for sure, I've haven't been in the states since end of 2016 so I have no personal experience for the discount rush on Tuesday but clearly it's a different beast now than it was 2 years ago. Thing is if it drops 14.2% it's still ahead of GOTG 2 for Thursday Edited March 29, 2019 by cdsacken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Captain Marvel is going to make over a billion dollars. Nobody can be disappointed with the box office of this film. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I am. I want 2 billys! Just kidding btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 1 hour ago, terrestrial said: BOM . BOPro https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-will-dumbo-fly/ I've seen as deep as $40m too by not established accounts Its a movie that will probably sell over decades and decades as HV too (as do many other Disney children movies) Disney's budgets are partly head-scratchingly high..... see e.g. The Lone Ranger, John Carter,... for not established stories (John Carter... not a lot of the younger ones seem to know it, Lone Ranger is known to older ppl too, but not like 'This') Really optimistic for Dumbo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 6 minutes ago, baumer said: Captain Marvel is going to make over a billion dollars. Nobody can be disappointed with the box office of this film. Absolutedly Personaly I'd have been happy with ww lets say $700m as well But as it looks like it will be #7 in the MCU charts for both dom and ww and #2 of all CBMs for first appearances intro movies, with #1 also a possibility (see Spider-Man $403.7m) in dom, and it is already on #1 for that ww I am ecstatic for its BO even if Disney would pull it today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I think Dumbo will make 3.5M in Previews for a OW 55M+/- the late night Imax shows performed better than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
