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CAYOM Y6 - Predictions

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November-

Off Road- 61/146

Paradise Island- 70M Total

Spring Awakening- 25/93

In the Aeroplane over the Sea- 12/39

Understand- 10/26 

One Big Family- 21/ 55

Xj-9 Rebirth- 39/110

Duck Hunt-35/48/200

 

December-

Jingle Hell- 21/64

Bleach-37/141

LucIId- 47/150

Gateways- 80/500

Most Wanted Man in Great Britain- 24/142

Gaurdians of the Internet- 16/108

Thawed- 11/42

The Neon Psalms- 7/54

Edited by Ethan Hunt
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5 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

November-

Off Road- 41/98

Paradise Island- 70M Total

Spring Awakening- 25/93

In the Aeroplane over the Sea- 12/39

Understand- 10/26 

One Big Family- 21/ 55

Xj-9 Rebirth- 51/164

Duck Hunt-35 /145

 

December-

Jingle Hell- 21/64

Bleach- 34/ 109

LucIId- 38/101

Gateways- 71/429

Most Wanted Man in Great Britain- 24/142

Gaurdians of the Internet- 16/108

Thawed- 11/42

The Neon Psalms- 7/54

I'm taking it that you did not like bleach

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I'm not sure how much predictions factor into getting the ball rolling, but I'll do as much as I can right now.

 

MAY
Mass Effect: Ascension -- $62M OW / $201M DOM

Brickleberry: Armoogeddon -- $2.6M OW / $6.3M DOM

Facepaint -- $6.5M OW / $22M DOM

Lumberjanes: Secret of the Eye -- $48.3M OW / $131M DOM

Double Chronomance -- $12.7M OW / $33.5M DOM

Green Arrow -- $58M OW / $177M DOM

 

JUNE

Teyonnah and the Renegades: a Righteous Sextext -- $26.1M DOM Total

Pikmin -- $19.4M OW / $55.8M DOM

The App: The Jeremy Renner App - The Movie -- $32M OW / $80.4M DOM

USS SeaWolf -- $26M OW / $78M DOM

Forgiveness -- $9.5M OW / $33.3M DOM

Rhino Riders -- $10.4M OW / $36.3M DOM

Bummer Camp -- $14.8M OW / $39.7M DOM

 

JULY

He-Man IV: Sons of the Serpent -- $80.19OW / $203.77M DOM

Yolanda Dreams of Yogurt -- $23.79M DOM Total

Plus One -- $35.2M OW / $161M DOM

The Academy -- $19M OW / $48M DOM

God of War: Kingdom Come -- $35.62M OW / 103.02M DOM

Borrasca -- $32M OW / $115M DOM

Hoops 2 -- $5.4M OW / $15.6M DOM

De Blob -- $47M OW / $136M DOM

 

More to come soon. 

Edited by SLAM!
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1 minute ago, Xillix said:

Not at all at this point, I'm starting actuals once I finish reviews.

 

Thank you for this; I was pretty worried that me not putting in predictions was holding actuals back for some reason. Between this and "3.0 ends in Y11," I don't have a clue where I get my generalizations.

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7 minutes ago, SLAM! said:

I'm not sure how much predictions factor into getting the ball rolling, but I'll do as much as I can right now.


Mass Effect: Ascension -- $62M OW / $201M DOM

 

Lumberjanes: Secret of the Eye -- $48.3M OW / $131M DOM

 

The App: The Jeremy Renner App - The Movie -- $32M OW / $80.4M DOM

 

USS SeaWolf -- $26M OW / $78M DOM

 

Forgiveness -- $4.5M OW / $10.83M DOM

 

 

:thinking:

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That would be HORRIBLE for Forgiveness. Chastain, Scott (from her in game world) and Theron would have more than enough star power to get it higher, and the lack of more female appealing films in the year plus the strong reviews will help it.

 

Are you using Tully as a comp? Because that was in like 35% of the theatres Forgiveness is in.

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24 minutes ago, Spaghetti said:

Are you using Tully as a comp? Because that was in like 35% of the theatres Forgiveness is in.

 

I used Our Brand is Crisis, the Sandra Bullock movie, as a comp.

Edited by SLAM!
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15 minutes ago, SLAM! said:

 

I used Our Brand is Crisis, the Sandra Bullock movie, as a comp.

Eh, this has better reviews, a less congested release date, and a more accessible premise/concept. I can see low teens for it but anything else would just be godawful, tbh.

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9 hours ago, SLAM! said:

I'm not sure how much predictions factor into getting the ball rolling, but I'll do as much as I can right now.

 

MAY
Mass Effect: Ascension -- $62M OW / $201M DOM

Brickleberry: Armoogeddon -- $2.6M OW / $6.3M DOM

Facepaint -- $6.5M OW / $22M DOM

Lumberjanes: Secret of the Eye -- $48.3M OW / $131M DOM

Double Chronomance -- $12.7M OW / $33.5M DOM

Green Arrow -- $58M OW / $177M DOM

 

JUNE

Teyonnah and the Renegades: a Righteous Sextext -- $26.1M DOM Total

Pikmin -- $19.4M OW / $55.8M DOM

The App: The Jeremy Renner App - The Movie -- $32M OW / $80.4M DOM

USS SeaWolf -- $26M OW / $78M DOM

Forgiveness -- $4.5M OW / $10.83M DOM

Rhino Riders -- $10.4M OW / $36.3M DOM

Bummer Camp -- $14.8M OW / $39.7M DOM

 

JULY

He-Man IV: Sons of the Serpent -- $80.19OW / $203.77M DOM

Yolanda Dreams of Yogurt -- $23.79M DOM Total

Plus One -- $35.2M OW / $161M DOM

The Academy -- $19M OW / $48M DOM

God of War: Kingdom Come -- $35.62M OW / 103.02M DOM

Borrasca -- $32M OW / $115M DOM

Hoops 2 -- $5.4M OW / $15.6M DOM

De Blob -- $47M OW / $136M DOM

 

More to come soon. 

Some of these are honestly kinda off the charts.

 

And Our Brand is Crisis was a poorly received late October dump job that released in two thirds of the theaters Forgiveness is in. I don’t see how they’re comparable.

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9 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

Eh, this has better reviews, a less congested release date, and a more accessible premise/concept. I can see low teens for it but anything else would just be godawful, tbh.

 

2 hours ago, cookie said:

Some of these are honestly kinda off the charts.

 

And Our Brand is Crisis was a poorly received late October dump job that released in two thirds of the theaters Forgiveness is in. I don’t see how they’re comparable.

That makes sense. I increased Forgiveness. Next time I do predictions, I'll pay more attention to the theater counts.

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2 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

I don’t really get why Mass Effect 2 would decrease 

I agree. It has basically everything going for it — liked first film, better reviews so far, only two year gap, prime release date, no major action film since at least Thermal, nearly all of May to itself outside of Green Arrow and a pretty lackluster June. Losing a third of its audience on OW would be implausible IMO.

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April

Super Mario Bros. - $105.1m

Children of Eden - $61.4m

Pandas - $8.02m

Home Invasion Part II: Abduction - $15.68m

Pixies in the Backyard - $11.71m

Jane and Tony - $9.48m

The Thin, The Fat and The Felon - $30.06m

The Blushing - $10.95m

Nights Into Dreams - $21.59m

 

May

Mass Effect: Ascension - $138.15m

Brickleberry: Armoogeddon - $6.66m

Facepaint - $10.76m

Lumberjanes: Secret of the Eye - $41.6m

Double Chronomance - $17.39m/$22.98m

Green Arrow - $51.03m/$62.91m

 

June

Pikmin - $22.48m

Teyonnah and the Renegades - $9.05m (wide OW)

Jeremy Renner - $9.84m

USS Seawolf - $52.2m

Forgiveness - $19.83m

Rhino Riders - $25.95m

Edited by Rorschach
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