riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) Wow...9:15 and 9:45 sell outs...Just with Presales, both the 10:00 pm ones are expected to be sold out by the time they start, which is just as good as yesterday, about $95 000 to 100 000.And what makes it more impressive is that there is school tomorrow for the first time in 2 weeks, so younger people generally are even more less likely to go to Late Nights. Edited March 26, 2012 by riczhang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So you guys think Sunday actuals will be higher than 36M ?Definitely 40+M I say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So you guys think Sunday actuals will be higher than 36M ?I sure do. Just remember... we're talking gigantic numbers here. If they underestimated Sunday by even 5%, that's an extra $2m right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) I'm currently working on a theory that might shed some more light on how these huge midnights affect the dynamics of blockbuster films' opening weekend breakdowns as well as what they mean in context of the total gross.This film should be a good test. Based on that theory, I'm now anticipating a Sunday drop of around 18-19% with solid potential for an even better hold. Really, I'm not interested in how accurate it turns out to be, I'm more interested in how this plays out in terms of fitting in with the theory, so there's no room for disappointment.^^Yes, I do see it potentially hitting 40+ Edited March 26, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 From Fandango, the Regal Fenway in Boston apparently sold out 10/26 today:2:50, 3:00, 3:10, 3:30, 4:00, 6:30, 6:40, 7:30, 7:40, 7:50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 http://jaysonb593.blogspot.com/2012/03/hunger-games-slays-potter-and-twilight.html I cant believe how many records Hunger Games has broken. My math may be off, correct me if im wrong please, but Twilight 2 had a 48% increase over Twilight 1, if Catching Fire did that, its OW, would be over 220M! Thats just a theory, i may be wrong, but if HG can gain this much of a fanbase in weeks, imagine from now to next November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 http://jaysonb593.bl...d-twilight.html I cant believe how many records Hunger Games has broken. My math may be off, correct me if im wrong please, but Twilight 2 had a 48% increase over Twilight 1, if Catching Fire did that, its OW, would be over 220M! Thats just a theory, i may be wrong, but if HG can gain this much of a fanbase in weeks, imagine from now to next November.I guess we'll see how TDKR opens as a projection for Catching Fire... it's gonna be an interesting few years with this franchise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 http://jaysonb593.bl...d-twilight.html I cant believe how many records Hunger Games has broken. My math may be off, correct me if im wrong please, but Twilight 2 had a 48% increase over Twilight 1, if Catching Fire did that, its OW, would be over 220M! Thats just a theory, i may be wrong, but if HG can gain this much of a fanbase in weeks, imagine from now to next November.220M would mean that the theatres were at near full capacity round the clock all weekend, near impossible without 3D. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 I personally think 220M OW is too high for a movie in 2013, i just based it off the Twilight increase, but itll be interesting to see what TDKR can do and too see how much the fanbase expands between now and then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) ^^Yes, I do see it hitting 40+Then it will hit 160M !! Edited March 26, 2012 by firedeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 I personally think 220M OW is too high for a movie in 2013, i just based it off the Twilight increase, but itll be interesting to see what TDKR can do and too see how much the fanbase expands between now and thenCF wont have that big increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) People... you can't just take one random percentage and use it for another movie, Twilight had much more room to grow, its opening was relatively modest (compared to uber blockbusters). Plus the math is wrong, the opening increased over 100% from 1 to 2. Edited March 26, 2012 by Elessar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 (edited) So this has a small chance of beating TDK's OW?? Edited March 26, 2012 by vc2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So you guys think Sunday actuals will be higher than 36M ?Yep. $41-$42m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So this has a small chance of beating TDK's OW?? Much better than small. Sunday projection was pretty conservative. We haven't heard from Nikki tonight, which is odd. When TDK's Sunday overperformed, she did an update around 8 PM Pacific saying it was headed for well over $40m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 So this has a small chance of beating TDK's OW?? Yes. Most of us here agree that Sunday is severely understated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 People... you can't just take one random percentage and use it for another movie, Twilight had much more room to grow, its opening was relatively modest (compared to uber blockbusters). Plus the math is wrong, the opening increased over 100% from 1 to 2.I said it might be wrong, but thank you for that analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 Much better than small. Sunday projection was pretty conservative. We haven't heard from Nikki tonight, which is odd. When TDK's Sunday overperformed, she did an update around 8 PM Pacific saying it was headed for well over $40m.But that was going to have a ridiculous 8.5% hold, this is heading to ~15% or a bit less, I'm actually thinking that this could go as high as 45 million. (But, please don't shoot me for this, I'm being optimistic) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 But that was going to have a ridiculous 8.5% hold, this is heading to ~15% or a bit less, I'm actually thinking that this could go as high as 45 million. (But, please don't shoot me for this, I'm being optimistic) That would be a ridiculous figure and put it within a few million or so of DH2.This fucker anhialated DH2s OW ticket sales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 40M Sunday is enough ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
