LPLC Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, ElsaRoc said: Nothing is ever truly locked. 340 is likely, tho. Final talky will largely depend on how it holds through the holidays. (it's not likely to repeat F1's amazing post New Year performance, so that period won't have a big effect) Yes it's true, my prediction for frozen 2 is between Finding Dory and Beauty and the best maybe around $490M, anything abode $500M would be very fantastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Frozen II Walt Disney $3,187,895 -84% -75% 4,440 $718 $292,033,026 11 2 (2) Knives Out Lionsgate $1,708,419 -70% 3,461 $494 $43,122,512 6 3 (3) Queen & Slim Universal $1,060,270 -64% 1,690 $627 $17,061,060 6 4 (5) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $773,882 -68% -48% 3,235 $239 $35,065,648 11 5 (4) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $749,191 -73% -56% 3,585 $209 $81,780,519 18 6 (6) 21 Bridges STX Entertai… $378,093 -68% -57% 2,665 $142 $19,598,874 11 7 (8) Midway Lionsgate $263,808 -67% -56% 2,377 $111 $50,478,116 25 8 (7) Playing with Fire Paramount Pi… $176,019 -81% -71% 2,679 $66 $39,412,076 25 9 (11) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $153,081 -58% -60% 2,003 $76 $15,032,365 18 10 (9) Last Christmas Universal $149,350 -66% -61% 1,852 $81 $31,835,600 25 11 (10) Joker Warner Bros. $131,115 -65% -64% 1,146 $114 $330,654,740 60 12 (12) Harriet Focus Features $120,220 -67% -68% 1,084 $111 $39,577,540 32 13 (14) Charlie’s Angels Sony Pictures $100,125 -65% -74% 3,156 $32 $16,938,628 18 14 (15) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $81,979 -67% -63% 730 $112 $18,439,352 46 - (-) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $67,138 -64% -73% 877 $77 $30,628,244 25 - (13) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $65,949 -78% -77% 1,090 $61 $111,615,883 46 - (-) Terminator: Dark Fate Paramount Pi… $63,141 -69% -60% 782 $81 $61,244,526 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 3, 2019 Author Share Posted December 3, 2019 Damn you Disney. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Dan Kaluuya is a low-key boxoffice draw. Q&S held better than the rest and it beat the shit out of Boseman's 21 Bridges on OW and is soon going to pass it. Marvel must be kicking themselves for wasting him in Wakabi role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 Looking at last year's increases on the first Tuesday of December, clearly I'm out to lunch in predicting around a 50% bump for F2. Ralph Breaks the Internet increased 85.6%(!!). Creed II increased 62.8%. Pretty much everything, adult movie, family movie, whatever, increased over 60%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, Valonqar said: Dan Kaluuya is a low-key boxoffice draw. Q&S held better than the rest and it beat the shit out of Boseman's 21 Bridges on OW and is soon going to pass it. Marvel must be kicking themselves for wasting him in Wakabi role. Cmon man, there are like a dozen real box office draws in the world at this point. Dan Kaluuya isn’t one of them. Q&S is doing well because of the movie itself, not the actors attached (outside of giving a performance in the movie that of course affects how much people like it overall). I can pretty much guarantee you that nobody at Marvel has ever thought “oh no, we ‘wasted’ the box office drawing power of Daniel Kaluuya with his BP casting.” Nor should they have. Edited December 4, 2019 by Arendelle Legion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 53 minutes ago, JB33 said: Looking at last year's increases on the first Tuesday of December, clearly I'm out to lunch in predicting around a 50% bump for F2. Ralph Breaks the Internet increased 85.6%(!!). Creed II increased 62.8%. Pretty much everything, adult movie, family movie, whatever, increased over 60%. I bet it was available on Moviepass Tuesday but not Monday. 2018 Q3 and Q4 are kind of mucked up by that effect. 2017 — Coco +42% 2016 — Moana +36% Of course Tuesday we’re weaker generally back then, so I think 60-70ish should be pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 41 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I bet it was available on Moviepass Tuesday but not Monday. 2018 Q3 and Q4 are kind of mucked up by that effect. 2017 — Coco +42% 2016 — Moana +36% Of course Tuesday we’re weaker generally back then, so I think 60-70ish should be pretty good. Didn't think of that. Good point. What about Knives Out? 50% too high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, JB33 said: Didn't think of that. Good point. What about Knives Out? 50% too high? I went to look up Creed 2 and got 37%... and 44% for WIR2. I think you were looking a week later. Starting to look to me like post-Thanksgiving Tues bumps are a bit depressed, maybe 45 KO and 62 F2 if I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 53 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I went to look up Creed 2 and got 37%... and 44% for WIR2. I think you were looking a week later. Starting to look to me like post-Thanksgiving Tues bumps are a bit depressed, maybe 45 KO and 62 F2 if I had to guess. I was. I didnt know whether to compare post-Thanksgiving Tuesdays OR the same Tuesday on the calendar. Usually they're one and the same, except for Thanksgiving being a week later than usual this year (or a week earlier last year, both are determined by the November calendar configuration). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 At MTC1 F2 is down 76% from last tuesday. So around 5.4m if the national ratio is the same. But it will vary slightly for sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted December 4, 2019 Share Posted December 4, 2019 57 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: At MTC1 F2 is down 76% from last tuesday. So around 5.4m if the national ratio is the same. But it will vary slightly for sure. $5.4M would be a 69.5% bump. Seems just about right. I would figure on a 45%-ish Wednesday drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...