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LPLC

Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread

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This is my updated expectations :

 

 

 

DOM : $730M

 

 

Europe :

 

UK : $106M

France $58M

Germany $42M

Italy : $27M

Spain : $24M

Nordics : $30M

Netherlands : $7M

Rest $55M

Total : $349M

 

 

Asia :

 

South Korea : $64M

Japan : $40M

India : $38M

Russia : $35M

Thailand + Philippines : $30M

Indonesia : $24M

Taiwan : $17M

Hong Kong : $16M

Malaysia : $15M

Singapore : $7M

Vietnam : $5M

Total : $291M

 

 

Middle East / Africa :

 

Saudi Arabia : $13M

UAE : $10M

Israel : $7M

Africa : $5M

Egypt : $4M

Turkey : $3M

Rest : $18M

Total : $60M

 

 

Oceania : 

 

Australia : $53M

New Zealand : $6M

Total : $59M

 

 

Latin America : 

 

Mexico : $72M

Brazil : $56M

Argentina : $21M

Rest : $75M

Total : $224M

 

 

OS = $983M 

+ $730M

= $1713M

 

 

Will be very tight between JW, TLK and NWH

 

At this point, Charlie said on Twitter that $700M DOM is locked and I think $900M OS is almost locked, so expect $1,6B MINIMUM and WITHOUT CHINA for NWH

 

 

 

Edited by LPLC
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2 minutes ago, LPLC said:

This is my updated expectations :

 

 

 

DOM : $730M

 

 

Europe :

 

UK : $106M

France $58M

Germany $42M

Italy : $27M

Spain : $24M

Nordics : $30M

Netherlands : $7M

Rest $55M

Total : $349M

 

 

Asia :

 

South Korea : $64M

Japan : $40M

India : $38M

Russia : $35M

Thailand + Philippines : $30M

Indonesia : $24M

Taiwan : $17M

Hong Kong : $16M

Malaysia : $15M

Singapore : $7M

Vietnam : $5M

Total : $291M

 

 

Middle East / Africa :

 

Saudi Arabia : $13M

UAE : $10M

Israel : $7M

Africa : $5M

Egypt : $4M

Turkey : $3M

Rest : $18M

Total : $60M

 

 

Oceania : 

 

Australia : $53M

New Zealand : $6M

Total : $59M

 

 

Latin America : 

 

Mexico : $72M

Brazil : $56M

Argentina : $21M

Rest : $75M

Total : $224M

 

 

OS = $983M 

+ $730M

= $1713M

 

 

Will be very tight between JW, TLK and NWH

 

 

 

You really see the OS gross that close 1 billion? Would be awesome but seems too optimistic don't you think?

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2 minutes ago, infamous5445 said:

You really see the OS gross that close 1 billion? Would be awesome but seems too optimistic don't you think?

No, I think it's realistic, but it depends a lot of Japan where I don't really know and $40M is just what I hope

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1 hour ago, LPLC said:

This is my updated expectations :

 

 

 

DOM : $730M

 

 

Europe :

 

UK : $106M

France $58M

Germany $42M

Italy : $27M

Spain : $24M

Nordics : $30M

Netherlands : $7M

Rest $55M

Total : $349M

 

 

Asia :

 

South Korea : $64M

Japan : $40M

India : $38M

Russia : $35M

Thailand + Philippines : $30M

Indonesia : $24M

Taiwan : $17M

Hong Kong : $16M

Malaysia : $15M

Singapore : $7M

Vietnam : $5M

Total : $291M

 

 

Middle East / Africa :

 

Saudi Arabia : $13M

UAE : $10M

Israel : $7M

Africa : $5M

Egypt : $4M

Turkey : $3M

Rest : $18M

Total : $60M

 

 

Oceania : 

 

Australia : $53M

New Zealand : $6M

Total : $59M

 

 

Latin America : 

 

Mexico : $72M

Brazil : $56M

Argentina : $21M

Rest : $75M

Total : $224M

 

 

OS = $983M 

+ $730M

= $1713M

 

 

Will be very tight between JW, TLK and NWH

 

At this point, Charlie said on Twitter that $700M DOM is locked and I think $900M OS is almost locked, so expect $1,6B MINIMUM and WITHOUT CHINA for NWH

 

 

 

 

"Rest" of Africa/Middle East and rest of Latin America both seems very generous, and why is Russia in Asia? 😅

 

But apart from that I agree on everything, more than 900M outside of USA/Canada should be certain

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22 minutes ago, MG10 said:

 

"Rest" of Africa/Middle East and rest of Latin America both seems very generous, and why is Russia in Asia? 😅

 

But apart from that I agree on everything, more than 900M outside of USA/Canada should be certain

Because Russia is with Asia on BOM

 

"Rest" of Africa/Middle East include 

- Nigeria

- Lebanon

- Kuwait

- Qatar

- Kuwait

- Jordan

- Baharin

- Oman

 

It may be a bit too much but it remains close to reality, Furious 7 was +$10M in these countries. AEG was also huge there.

 

For "rest" of Latin America I take numbers between those of AIW and those of AEG so the also maybe a little too much but in the end it will not be too far from reality.

 

If I take $15M away from my predictions there will still be $968M OS

 

 

Edited by LPLC
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31 minutes ago, Bruce said:

Local currency, NWH 46m ,EG 43m

 

43 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Doesn't really mean anything now with super inflation in country. Just like Argentina, admissions is what matters.

 

                             Endgame   vs.     NWH  [Admissions]

1st Weekend  -     1317.9k      vs.    934.5k

Week 1            -     517.2k       vs.   390k

2nd Weekend  -     281.5k       vs.   368k

Week 2    -             109k          vs.   154k

3rd Weekend -      105k          vs.    

 

EG - 2.480m [11 Week run] vs. NWH - 1.849m [2 Week Run]

 

Hopefully, NWH will cross EG in admission too.

 

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Today, No Way Home will cross Aladdin which had made 36.69m EGP in 2019 to become 2nd highest grossing Hollywood movie in Egypt. Endgame's Total gross was 29.4m EGP in 2019.

 

Edit: Joker is at 40.09 m EGP ~ 

Edited by Shanks
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2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

$1B is a very good possibility.

Is this 960+ OS-C-J then? Mid 900s OS-C-J seemed like it should happen from tues of release week or so, glad omicron didn’t kill us.   
 

final WW-C optimistic maybe 1.8s, realistic 1.7s, pessimistic 1.6s

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