The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Joyous Legion]

This should be an excellent comps for the other McU this year, especially if they have similar length window.

[XXR & Friends]

22 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This should be an excellent comps for the other McU this year, especially if they have similar length window.

I’m curious when Thor tickets will go on sale. My current prediction is June 21/22. They won’t drop during Ms. Marvel release week and I feel like they won’t overshadow Lightyear either, so do they go long with a 38-ish day window (like June 1) or short with June 21/22?

Edited April 10, 2022 by KnucklesXXR

[boogiezen888]

Any update for The Northman? 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Still no Northman listed at Cinemark. Either it's not playing there meaning staggered "wide" release (1000 theaters) or added later, but the AMC:

 

Thursday (21st)

(13)

Friday (27)

DOLBY: 440 (8), 810 (18) (26)

340 (1), 710 (0)

 

Meh.

 

I don't think Last Duel low (4m), probably over Green Knight's 6m as well, but not seeing much more yet. Double digits OW, we'll see. But still 2 weeks out. All things considered, fact this has any PS is enlightening. 

[Porthos]

On 4/8/2022 at 11:51 PM, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-27 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	33094	40916	7822	19.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

419

 

Day Three Comps:

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	51.23		628	15268		0/298	21158/36426	41.92%		28183	27.75%		25.62m
Batsy:	230.60		157	3392		0/248	28906/32298	10.50%		11757	66.53%		49.81m

NOTE: The Batman had two days of sales where only a limited number of early access showings were available for purchase - those two days of sales accounted for 475 tickets sold.

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	85.06%	11.76
SC:	5847	133.78%	11.77
LTBC:	7712	101.43%	11.77
ET:	6409	122.05%	11.59
NWH:	28183	27.75%	13.88
Batsy:	11757	66.53%	14.37

 

Regal:     1764/10901  [16.18% sold]
Matinee:    406/4632  [8.77% | 5.19% of all tickets sold]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-26 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	32809	40916	8107	19.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

285

 

Day Four Comps:

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	51.38		511	15779		0/298	20647/36426	43.32%		28183	28.77%		25.69m
Batsy:	230.44		126	3518		0/248	28780/32298	10.89%		11757	68.95%		49.78m

NOTE: The Batman had two days of sales where only a limited number of early access showings were available for purchase - those two days of sales accounted for 475 tickets sold.

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	88.16%	12.19
SC:	5847	138.65%	12.20
LTBC:	7712	105.12%	12.19
ET:	6409	126.49%	12.02
NWH:	28183	28.77%	14.38
Batsy:	11757	68.95%	14.89

 

Regal:     1830/10901  [16.79% sold]
Matinee:    437/4632  [9.43% | 5.39% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

"Day of" comps removed as of tomorrow...

Edited April 10, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

On 4/8/2022 at 11:52 PM, Porthos said:

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-6 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	171	23351	24768	1417	5.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

101

 

T-6 Comps

	%		Sold T-6	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	72.22		188	1962		0/111	15649/17611	11.14%		5847	24.23%		6.36m
NTTD	99.30		125	1427		0/145	21026/22453	6.36%		7712	18.37%		6.16m
Dune	124.19		93	1141		0/79	11187/12328	9.26%		2915	48.61%		6.33m
GB:A	177.57		62	798		0/115	16561/17359	4.60%		3034	46.70%		7.99m
Morbius	125.40		85	1130		0/151	20284/21414	5.28%		3477	40.75%		7.15m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

PRE-SALE NOTE: No Time to Die tickets had been on sale for four days more than Secrets of Dumbledore has been at this at this point in tracking while Shang-Chi, Dune. Ghostbusters: Afterlife, and Morbius's tickets have all been on sale for one more day than FB3.

  

Regal:        201/6790  [2.96% sold]
Matinee:    104/4082  [2.55% | 7.34% of all tickets sold]

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	178	23915	25468	1553	6.10%

 

Total Showings Added Today	7
Total Seats Added Today	700
Total Seats Sold Today	136

 

T-5 Comps

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	72.40		183	2145		0/113	15466/17611	12.18%		5847	26.56%		6.37m
NTTD	100.45		119	1546		0/145	20907/22453	6.89%		7712	20.14%		6.23m
Dune	128.99		63	1204		0/79	11124/12328	9.77%		2915	53.28%		6.58m
GB:A	168.80		122	920		0/117	16629/17549	5.24%		3034	51.19%		7.60m
Morbius	126.78		95	1225		0/151	20222/21447	5.71%		3477	44.66%		7.23m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

  

Regal:       229/6790  [3.37% sold]
Matinee:    118/4082  [2.89% | 7.60% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

This should be an excellent comps for the other McU this year, especially if they have similar length window.

 

[Joyous Legion]

33 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Hey, *I’m* trying to help you out. Get a load of this guy  : 

3 hours ago, KnucklesXXR said:

they go long with a 38-ish day window (like June 1)

 

[EmpireCity]

16 hours ago, Porthos said:

Oh, yeah, been meaning to comment on this.

 

MoM seems to be getting more of a 3D push than other recent CBMs.  A bit more showtimes locally and in a few more in the matinee window (which could be read a few different ways).

 

I've seen some musing about whether or not this will translate into more 3D ticket sales or not, especially as the concept might be more 3D friendly (plus low grade Avatar 2 teaser mumblings)

 

Right now 3D tickets account for 9.03% of all sales in the region (706/7822).  For comparison, NWH after day 3 had 6.57% of all sales in the region (1003/15268).  So not a huge jump, but an increase nonetheless. 

 

Something I'm gonna be keeping an eye on, especially if the Avatar 2 teaser drops (not that I expect that to be a major push in this day and age of instant access to trailers, but I am still... curious).

 

 

 

Disney is requiring theaters that have 3D to add 3D showing.  They haven't done that in a long time, and they are doing it to get theaters ready for Avatar 2.  I said this a couple years ago, but the choice for theaters in December is going to be a hard one.

 

Either they need to spend thousands to fix and update their 3D equipment that has sat dormant for years and is essentially a dead technology that the general public rejected or they have to skip out on the "hook" for one of the biggest movies of the year.

 

3D won't suddenly make a comeback either.  It will be for this one film, and the rest of the time they will have 3D shows of other films clogging their theaters creating low admits.  

[Brainbug]

3D is the bane of my existence. It is useless, distracting and makes the movie experience for me worse.

[EmpireCity]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

3D is the bane of my existence. It is useless, distracting and makes the movie experience for me worse.

 

I agree for 99% of films.  Avatar is still the only movie I have seen where the 3D truly was mind blowing and improved the experience.

 

That is why it will be a tough choice, and while I'll never really bet against Cameron, I think Avatar 2 will not be the mega hit that everyone thinks it will be.  

[XXR & Friends]

41 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I think Avatar 2 will not be the mega hit that everyone thinks it will be.  

 

Have a DOM or WW prediction? 

[Tinalera]

2 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

 

I agree for 99% of films.  Avatar is still the only movie I have seen where the 3D truly was mind blowing and improved the experience.

 

That is why it will be a tough choice, and while I'll never really bet against Cameron, I think Avatar 2 will not be the mega hit that everyone thinks it will be.  

I think 2* will be close to a mega hit only in that kind of its been a long time since the original and people are pumped about it. HOWEVER, there are still some people who are going by the old (and I think Cameron has confirmed to the contrary as much) info that he was going after a Glasses Free 3D, it was an old idea and Cameron I believe has since said that no it won't be glasses free-but there will that old expectation from some who will no doubt come out "I thought it was supposed to be glasses free!" But they will be minority IMO. Majority IMO will be of the "well that was cool, but it wasn't as special as the 1st". 

Now the *-I think 2 will get that massive sales, however once people see the film, and if the 3D effects are not a major upgrade from the first, I think it WILL hurt the sequels of 3, 4, 5. And I think that will be where it hits the most. 

Edited April 10, 2022 by Tinalera

[Eric is Quiet]

On 4/9/2022 at 10:06 AM, Eric the Hedgehog said:

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	967	16391	5.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 77

 

Comp

0.578x of Shang-Chi T-6 (5.09M)

0.849x of No Time to Die T-6 (5.35M)

0.955x of Dune T-6 (4.87M)

0.443x of Eternals T-6 (4.21M)

1.274x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-6 (5.73M)

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	79	1039	16391	6.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 72

 

Comp

0.581x of Shang-Chi T-5 (5.12M)

0.854x of No Time to Die T-5 (5.38M)

0.976x of Dune T-5 (4.98M)

0.446x of Eternals T-5 (4.24M)

1.295x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-5 (5.83M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 4/9/2022 at 10:17 AM, Eric the Hedgehog said:

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	7300	45297	16.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 410

 

Comp

0.547x of Spider-Man: NWH's First Three Days of Sales (27.35M)

1.730x of The Batman's First Three Days of Sales (37.37M)

 

Gonna get rid of these "First X Days of Sales" stuff starting tonight. So I guess I just...won't have any comps for a while. Oh well!

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	7564	45297	16.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 264

[ZackM]

Numbers from last night:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-26 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago
Showings Added	111	6,659
Seats Added	20,059	1,128,589
Seats Sold	8,773	231,342
4/9/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	427	6,770	240,115	1,148,648	20.90%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	4	31	136	405	724
ATP
$17.04

[XXR & Friends]

I was curious about something so I went to check my emails and I discovered that in April 2019, I bought 4 adult tickets for IMAX at 7PM on previews night for Avengers: Endgame. I paid $59.96 total ($14.99 each). 

In April 2022, I bought 4 adult tickets in IMAX at 730PM Thursday for Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness. The exact same seats (literally) that I had for Endgame. I paid $73.96 total ($18.49 each)!

 

That's a 23.3% price increase 3 years! 

 

[Brainbug]

3 minutes ago, KnucklesXXR said:

I was curious about something so I went to check my emails and I discovered that in April 2019, I bought 4 adult tickets for IMAX at 7PM on previews night for Avengers: Endgame. I paid $59.96 total ($14.99 each). 

In April 2022, I bought 4 adult tickets in IMAX at 730PM Thursday for Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness. The exact same seats (literally) that I had for Endgame. I paid $73.96 total ($18.49 each)!

 

That's a 23.3% price increase 3 years! 

 

 

Now imagine the pain of my bank account when Dominion releases.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

That’s so bleak lol

 

Dr. Strange prices:

XD: $10 ($8 matinee

IMAX: $15.99. $12.99 (child). 

Dolby: $13.39 (adult). $11.29 (child). $16.99 evening. $13.99 evening child.

[Inceptionzq]

On 4/8/2022 at 5:03 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1200

3886

30.88%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

866

3590

24.12%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
5480	386	37834	14.48%	15	261

 

AMCs sold	3433
Cinemarks sold	860
Regals sold	698
Harkins sold	489

 

0.492x NWH Day 3 (24.60M)

 

0.633x Batman Final (13.67M)

0.237x NWH Final (11.85M)

1.23x Eternals Final (11.69M)

1.36x Shang-Chi Final (11.97M)

0.861x Black Widow Final (11.37M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1268

3886

32.63%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

905

3590

25.21%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
5796	316	38261	15.15%	15	266

 

AMCs sold	3612
Cinemarks sold	917
Regals sold	752
Harkins sold	515

 

0.669x Batman Final (14.45M)

0.250x NWH Final (12.50M)

1.30x Eternals Final (12.35M)

1.43x Shang-Chi Final (12.58M)

0.911x Black Widow Final (12.03M)