The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric Prime]

On 5/23/2023 at 1:13 PM, Prince Eric said:

The Little Mermaid Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	164	3238	29410	11.01%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 387

 

Comp - T-3

2.321x of Sonic 2 (14.51M)

1.041x of Jurassic World 3 (18.74M)

2.022x of Black Adam (15.37M)

0.878x of Avatar 2 (14.93M)

0.614x of Mario (19.47M)

The Little Mermaid Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	180	3687	31572	11.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 449

 

Comp - T-2

2.078x of Sonic 2 (12.99M)

1.053x of Jurassic World 3 (18.96M)

1.913x of Black Adam (14.54M)

0.904x of Avatar 2 (15.37M)

0.534x of Mario (16.94M)

[ChipDerby]

1 hour ago, raegr said:

guys im so sad. i was really looking forward to flash doing well  

 

relax my man, lmao

[Eric Prime]

On 5/23/2023 at 1:39 PM, Prince Eric said:

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	123	1942	23838	8.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 75

 

Comp - T-10

3.058x of Sonic 2 (19.11M)

0.998x of Jurassic World 3 (17.97M)

0.316x of Thor 4 (9.18M)

2.400x of Black Adam (18.24M)

0.886x of Avatar 2 (15.06M)

0.426x of Ant-Man 3 (7.46M)

0.935x of Mario (29.64M)

0.555x of Guardians 3 (9.71M)

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	123	2079	23838	8.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 137

 

Comp - T-9

3.098x of Sonic 2 (19.36M)

1.031x of Jurassic World 3 (18.55M)

0.330x of Thor 4 (9.56M)

2.429x of Black Adam (18.46M)

0.894x of Avatar 2 (15.19M)

0.442x of Ant-Man 3 (7.73M)

0.940x of Mario (29.8M)

0.572x of Guardians 3 (10M)

[raegr]

8 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:

 

relax my man, lmao

lol, its disappointing. im not going to cry about it but it sucks the dceu didn't catch on. i really loved the lore and just feel so disappointed. everything dc film related has just been associated with so much pain and disappointment for the fans and then the one project that looks promising doesn't do well. we can't have anything man, this stinks 

[Wesley]

2 minutes ago, raegr said:

lol, its disappointing. im not going to cry about it but it sucks the dceu didn't catch on. i really loved the lore and just feel so disappointed. everything dc film related has just been associated with so much pain and disappointment for the fans and then the one project that looks promising doesn't do well. we can't have anything man, this stinks 

He is saying relax because it can still have a great opening. Sales is not even bad at all. We all know DC isn't as fans driven as MCU. That this has close to 3 times more sales than Black Adam Which opened to $65M is very good.

[Eric Prime]

The Flash Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	98	1025	18907	5.42%

 

Comp - T-23

0.126x of Doctor Strange 2 (4.53M)

0.755x of Jurassic World 3 (13.6M)

0.250x of Thor 4 (7.25M)

0.922x of Avatar 3 (15.67M)

0.298x of Ant-Man 3 (5.21M)

0.373x of Guardians 3 (6.52M)

[ChipDerby]

What were the best comps for Black Adam?

[dallas]

1 hour ago, cooldude97 said:

while I'm sure the flash going to do great I'm not sure why people are overestimating how much the older generation is willing to sit through a CGI fest Flash movie to see 20 minutes of Michael Keaton, especially with an Indiana jones movie 2 weeks after that looks like would appeal to them more 

Apparently Indiana Jones is a CGI fest too.

[misterpepp]

At least one major theater chain has Jurassic Park booked to open on June 9 for its 30th anniversary. I'm not sure yet if it'll be nationwide at all chains, or if it's exclusive to this one.

[cooldude97]

16 minutes ago, Wesley said:

He is saying relax because it can still have a great opening. Sales is not even bad at all. We all know DC isn't as fans driven as MCU. That this has close to 3 times more sales than Black Adam Which opened to $65M is very good.

Pretty sure we have statistics in this thread that shows that dc movies outside of batman are pretty fan driven like the mcu

[The GOAT]

22 minutes ago, raegr said:

lol, its disappointing. im not going to cry about it but it sucks the dceu didn't catch on. i really loved the lore and just feel so disappointed. everything dc film related has just been associated with so much pain and disappointment for the fans and then the one project that looks promising doesn't do well. we can't have anything man, this stinks 

tbf this thread also said Avatar 2 ( the best blockbuster of the decade )  would be disappointing due to the pre-sale data.

So you have to take these people, and their projections, with a grain of salt. 

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Elemental T-23: 36.95% Awareness

The Flash T-23: 57.99%

Asteroid City T-30: 16.52%

 

About My Father T-2: 29.47% Awareness

Final Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

 

Kandahar T-2: 27.53% Awareness

Final Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

 

The Little Mermaid T-2: 67.83% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 92% chance of 50M, 83% chance of 60M, 75% chance of 70M, 50% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 67% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 100M

 

The Machine T-2: 26.15% Awareness

Final Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

 

You Hurt My Feelings T-2: 16.71% Awareness

Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Original - Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse T-9: 55.5% Awareness

Final Awareness: 40% chance of 50M, 27% chance of 60M, 20% chance of 90M, 13% chance of 100M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M

 

Haunted Mansion T-65: 28.55% Awareness

T-60 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 28% chance of 20M, 13% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M

Known IP Awareness: 33% chance of 40M

[JustLurking]

6 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

tbf this thread also said Avatar 2 ( the best blockbuster of the decade )  would be disappointing due to the pre-sale data.

So you have to take these people, and their projections, with a grain of salt. 

Ava'2 opening was disappointing tbh. That Cameron is such an incredible filmmaker he can produce a WOM monster every single time doesn't really change that.

[cooldude97]

7 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

tbf this thread also said Avatar 2 ( the best blockbuster of the decade )  would be disappointing due to the pre-sale data.

So you have to take these people, and their projections, with a grain of salt. 

It made a lot of money but critical wise and GA wise it is not the best blockbuster of the last decade 

[Porthos]

10 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

tbf this thread also said Avatar 2 ( the best blockbuster of the decade )  would be disappointing due to the pre-sale data.

So you have to take these people, and their projections, with a grain of salt. 

 

What_Do_You_Mean_You_People DOT gif HERE

 

====

 

I was very much one of the people here reminding folks that A2 would be a leggy property, as were a couple of other Thread Regulars.

 

Not that this is the thread to re-hash/re-litigate that debate.  

 

Also this thread is naturally gonna be focused on pre-sales/openings and not leggy runs, so faulting this thread for not focusing on the legs of a movie seems... Misplaced to say the least.

 

Either way, Avatar 2 is a mighty poor argument here, both because its success was outside the scope of this thread *AND* you had folks here reminding others that openings are not necessarily the end all and be all.

 

(apologies for the slight offtopicness, but really thought this should be addressed)

Edited May 24, 2023 by Porthos

[ringedmortality]

The Flash 600 DOM confirmed

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Boogeyman

 

THURSDAY 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
26	87	2661	3.3%

^{*Numbers taken as of 4:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Thinking it finishes about 3x of Hypnotic so $600K previews? Not really sure what hypnotics previews were

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Boogeyman

 

THURSDAY

 

T-9

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
26	99	2661	3.7%

^{*Numbers taken as of 4:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

12

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-37 *First 24 hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	1319	23376	5.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 12:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Looking more like a Fast X type of opening than say a mega opening of $100M+

It's still very early so lots of time for recovery 

 

COMPS

First 24 hours

 

(0.352x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.2M THUR PREVIEWS 

 

(0.579x) of ACROSS THE SPIDERVERSE

 

(1.630x) of TRANSFORMERS RISE OF THE BEAST

 

(1.040x) of FAST X

~$7.8M THUR PREVIEWS 

 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-36 

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
103	1365	23376	5.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 4:00pm EST}

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

46

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Don't have comps this far out

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1190	22296	5.3%

^{*Numbers taken as of 4:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

hmm, this has slowed down a bit. Feels like Transformers is getting loss in the vast summer slate 

 

COMPS

T-16

 

Fast X

(0.847x) ~$6.4M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY includes EA 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
108	1234	22296	5.5%

^{*Numbers taken as of 4:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

44

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-15

 

Fast X

(0.867x) ~$6.5M THUR Previews

[ChipDerby]

55 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:

What were the best comps for Black Adam?

 

Looks like Shang Chi.

 

Anyone want to comp Flash and Shang Chi?