Weekdays Thread (7-10 Mar 22) - Batman weekdays 10.82M, 10.77M, 8.46M, 8.45M

[Tokugennumataka]

3 minutes ago, Caylu said:

was last week deal only for Sony's films? Because i see other movies this week have got bigger jumps between. especially NWH has one of the smallest jump or is it just losing steam. 

17.2, 14.8, 15.2, 14.9 - The last 4 Tue jumps for NWH when no holidays or super discounts were in play. This week is right on par. Wed will ease just 15% or so. 

[setna]

6 hours ago, Villain Legion said:

Not quite sure where to put this. I guess here is as good a place as any since the weekend thread doesn’t exist, maybe I’ll cross post there when it does.   
 

Legion Weekend Forecast

Batman 55-63M (59M)

Uncharted 8.15M

Dog 5.25M

NWH 4.6M

Nile 2.3M

Sing 1.5M

Jackass 1.15M

Cyrano 510k

Scream 500k

Marry Me 330k

Couple of these are higher than I had last week, LOL

 

4,6 million for Spidey next weekend???!!!!
i don´t see it at all will increase from last weekend....

[Coneilg93]

Is the box office weekend forecast for the 2nd weekend based on pre sales tracking ? 

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, Coneilg93 said:

Is the box office weekend forecast for the 2nd weekend based on pre sales tracking ? 

Nope. Presales tracking for 2nd weekends is very rare, I think we had a little bit for NWH and Endgame but that’s pretty much it. Generally all weekends after OW people make forecasts based on past days and historical comps, including info like demos, calendar, etc

[Tokugennumataka]

24 minutes ago, setna said:

 

4,6 million for Spidey next weekend???!!!!
i don´t see it at all will increase from last weekend....

I think they're basing it on last weekend being a bit depressed and no major release this weekend. NWH might be able to add more shows this wknd. I don't think $4.6 is feasible simply because of impending spring break next week and some weekend business might shift to weekdays. $4M is still possible but needs a good Thursday increase to set up that possibility. Anything above $4.1 n I'm content (enough for top 10 13th wknds) 

Edited March 10, 2022 by Tokugennumataka

[Cooper Legion]

Just noticed that Batman got a 33rd place OW, and my projections for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th are also very close to 33rd rank.

[Cooper Legion]

31 minutes ago, setna said:

 

4,6 million for Spidey next weekend???!!!!
i don´t see it at all will increase from last weekend....

 

14 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

I think they're basing it on last weekend being a bit depressed and no major release this weekend. NWH might be able to add more shows this wknd. I don't think $4.6 is feasible simply because of impending spring break next week and some weekend business might shift to weekdays. $4M is still possible but needs a good Thursday increase to set up that possibility. 

Toku basic nailed it, though I would also say that the weekdays look good for it assuming wed and th ~flat from mon. I know some smart people who think it could go higher than 4.6 👀  

 

BOP is at just 4M, so 🤞
 

Though fwiw over 12 weeks, NWH actuals have been 10% higher than BOP’s forecast on avg, which would give 4.4  

Edited March 10, 2022 by Villain Legion

[Tokugennumataka]

Most days above $100k since Avatar (including it) 

1. Silver Linings Playbook - 133

2. Green Book - 124

2. Life of Pi - 124

4. Frozen - 117

5. Avatar - 115

6. The Force Awakens - 108

6. Lincoln - 108

8. The Kings Speech - 105 (108) 

9. The Descendants - 104

10. Bohemian Rhapsody - 103

11. Avengers: Endgame - 101

11. The Shape of Water - 101

 

I'm sure I've missed a few though

Think NWH can take out Frozen. 

[Tokugennumataka]

 

[AdrianL]

Strong Wednesday, good to see. 

[DAJK]

That's actually a pretty great Wednesday hold given the muted Tuesday! Bodes well.

[Tokugennumataka]

Uncharted - $820K (-27% || -39%) 

Spiderman: NWH - $375K (-16% || -27%) 

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

[Dragoncaine]

1 hour ago, AdrianL said:

Strong Wednesday, good to see. 

Weekend will be $60m+, calling it now. Personally thinking $61.5-62m

[infamous5445]

5 hours ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Most days above $100k since Avatar (including it) 

1. Silver Linings Playbook - 133

2. Green Book - 124

2. Life of Pi - 124

4. Frozen - 117

5. Avatar - 115

6. The Force Awakens - 108

6. Lincoln - 108

8. The Kings Speech - 105 (108) 

9. The Descendants - 104

10. Bohemian Rhapsody - 103

11. Avengers: Endgame - 101

11. The Shape of Water - 101

 

I'm sure I've missed a few though

Think NWH can take out Frozen. 

What's NWH at right now?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

7 minutes ago, infamous5445 said:

What's NWH at right now?

83 through Wednesday 

[Porthos]

WHAT THE HECK HAPPEND TO THE NUMBERS WEBSITE!!!!!

[Porthos]

13 minutes ago, Porthos said:

WHAT THE HECK HAPPEND TO THE NUMBERS WEBSITE!!!!!

 

Not even saying it's bad, but it's change and I HATE CHANGE!!!      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Late edit.

 

(actually kinda like the redesign  - I was just shocked that it had been upgraded and hadn't heard about it 'till now )

Edited March 10, 2022 by Porthos

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

6 hours ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Most days above $100k since Avatar (including it) 

1. Silver Linings Playbook - 133

2. Green Book - 124

2. Life of Pi - 124

4. Frozen - 117

5. Avatar - 115

6. The Force Awakens - 108

6. Lincoln - 108

8. The Kings Speech - 105 (108) 

9. The Descendants - 104

10. Bohemian Rhapsody - 103

11. Avengers: Endgame - 101

11. The Shape of Water - 101

 

I'm sure I've missed a few though

Think NWH can take out Frozen. 

Interesting list. Missed the days when adult dramas legged out for like half a year just due to WOM and Oscar buzz

[setna]

24 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Not even saying it's bad, but it's change and I HATE CHANGE!!!      

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Late edit.

 

(actually kinda like the redesign  - I was just shocked that it had been upgraded and hadn't heard about it 'till now )

 

Yeah, it´s hard to assume it after some many years in the same way.  i still i´´m going to therapy to recover from the shock i got when BOM changed in that horrible way....

 

[Cooper Legion]

The BOM change destroyed the site.

 

The-numbers change is a little disorienting at first but basically neutral.   
 

Bat wed even closer to what I though, uncharted NWH exactly what I expected.