Fullbuster Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Nikki says 2.1M OD for Battleship.But she calls it early estimates so take it with a grain of salt.Not great if it's true, we'd go to a $8m OW.Not bad, but a little bit disappointing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Not great if it's true, we'd go to a $8m OW.Not bad, but a little bit disappointing.No. The lowest possible multiplyer should be 5.5. Usually movies increase on Friday, then again on Saturday and slightly fell on Sunday, Like 1-1.2-1.7-1.6. It's the worst case scenario. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Nikki says 2.1M OD for Battleship.But she calls it early estimates so take it with a grain of salt.She keeps writing strong numbers..And i keep thinking meh number Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 No. The lowest possible multiplyer should be 5.5. Usually movies increase on Friday, then again on Saturday and slightly fell on Sunday, Like 1-1.2-1.7-1.6. It's the worst case scenario.Ah, I understimated it, good news :)So we can expect more than $10m OW, I would like it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Ah, I understimated it, good news :)So we can expect more than $10m OW, I would like it His 5 numbers ads to 7,7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 This must go over 10M OW! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 This must go over 10M OW!agree.. But will it?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Ah, I understimated it, good news :)So we can expect more than $10m OW, I would like it Fast Five was a sequel for a well-known franchise and still managed around 5. Thor had 6+. Normally weekend multiplyers outside of summer are between 6 and 8. For kids movies could be up to 13-16. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Fast Five was a sequel for a well-known franchise and still managed around 5. Thor had 6+. Normally weekend multiplyers outside of summer are between 6 and 8. For kids movies could be up to 13-16.By the way, do you have the best opening weeks in Russia? I would be curious to see this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Nikke is smoking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 (edited) By the way, do you have the best opening weeks in Russia? I would be curious to see this Top opening weekends in RUB (29.5 RUB = 1 USD) 1. Pirates Of The Caribbean: On Stranger Tides 749.1 mln 4 day - 879.6 mln 5day 2. Shrek Forever After 604.4 mln 3. Avatar 601.9 mln 4. Ice Age 3 512.5 mln - 652.7 mln 5 1/2 day 5. John Carter 492.3 mln 6. The Twilight Saga - Breaking Dawn - Part 1 487.3 mln 7. Tranformers 3 474.5 mln 4 day - 615 mln 5 day 8. 2012 469.1 mln 9. Puss in Boots 450.1 mln 10. Madagascar 2 441.7 mln 11. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows. Part 2 433 mln 4 day - 551.1 mln 5 day 12. Alice in Wonderland 411.2 mln 13. The Very Best Film 403.7 mln 14. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 394.2 mln 3 day opening 15. Kung Fu Panda 2 385 mln 4 day - 425 mln 5 day 16. Wrath of The Titans 370.2 m 17. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen 370.1 mln (definitely with previews but no full data available) 18. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End 359.4 mln 19. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse 350.8 mln - 473.6 mln 5 day 20. Vysotskiy 345.9 mln 21. Clash of the Titans 345.6 mln 22. Fast Five 326.6 mln 23. The Inhabited Island: Part I 317.8 mln 24. Shrek the Third 312.1 mln 25. Mummy 3 310.6 mln Edited April 19, 2012 by juni78ukr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Thanks $29m OW for Pirates of the Caribbean 4??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 I added top OW on the first page. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Thanks $29m OW for Pirates of the Caribbean 4??? $26.7m 4day and $31.45 dayAny multiplyer higher than 2.5 here is pretty good. Week 3 means sudden death for most of the movies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Do you think Ice Age 4 will increase over the third? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/cis/opening/Mojo numbers in USD but there might be inaccuracy is some numbers. And exchange rates fluctuations also can change a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 Do you think Ice Age 4 will increase over the third?Yes, Ice Age 3 has been released in 2009, the market is way higher now, and for the moment Russians didn't get a big animation movie, I'm sure they look forward about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 To make $50-60 mln total you should have at least $20-25 mln opening nowadays. For 70-80 mln at least $30-35 mln opening. And this might be close to current market capacity. Such huge numbers will depend on other factors. Like weather for example. Screen count and average number of shows are also very important. This is always a tough game between theaters and distributors. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 20, 2012 Author Share Posted April 20, 2012 To make $50-60 mln total you should have at least $20-25 mln opening nowadays. For 70-80 mln at least $30-35 mln opening. And this might be close to current market capacity. Such huge numbers will depend on other factors. Like weather for example. Screen count and average number of shows are also very important. This is always a tough game between theaters and distributors.I want a movie above $100m!!! Avatar did it with a smaller market after all! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 I want a movie above $100m!!! Avatar did it with a smaller market after all!Avatar did it with 5.8 multiplyer. For a summer release any multiplyer above 2.5 would be pretty good. 3 is like a miracle.For a movie above $100m normally you will need at least a $40m+ opening. The highest cumulative weekend so far was around $36m on Christmas holidays. Pirates of the Caribbean is the most popular franchise here and still made "only" $26.4 mln on 1716 screens. With totally empty market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
