KATCH-2D2 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 (edited) I find it ironic that John Carter kind of over-performed here when SW7 might fell to live up to the hype.. Edited December 26, 2015 by KATCH-2D2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 (edited) 30 minutes ago, juni78ukr said: 44 mln RUB or 625k on Friday http://www.kinobusiness.com/kassa_kinoprokata/day/2015/12/25.12.2015/ Wow. -78% from last Friday. It is actually lower than it's Monday and Wednesday. I think lower than it's Tuesday as well. 25m is dead I think. Maybe 20-21m total? Does that sounds right Juni? Edited December 26, 2015 by James Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 (edited) -71% Friday to Friday drop for SW7. If saturday and sunday will decrease around 71% too, weekend collapse will be 73-74%. Only 3.1-3.5 mln $ weekend and 17.5-18 mln $ total after sunday. But I doubt saturday rise will be that good again. Of course no 2 billion roubles total. I believe SW7 won't make it to #2 in local currency (Minions are currently there with 1866 mln rubles). Even 25 mln $ seems too hard to reach now (with upcoming holidays). Btw. In Russia Christmas is on January 7th. Till 31st desember are normal weekdays, then 10(!) holidays in a row. Too many films for that period, but it seems likely that none of them will do in total what SW7 did on OW. Edited December 26, 2015 by Onri 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 11 minutes ago, Onri said: -71% Friday to Friday drop for SW7. If saturday and sunday will decrease around 71% too, weekend collapse will be 73-74%. Only 3.1-3.5 mln $ weekend 17.5-18 mln total after sunday. But I doubt saturday rise will be that good again. Of course no 2 billion roubles total. I believe SW7 won't make it to #2 in local currency (Minions are currently there with 1866 mln rubles). Even 25 mln $ seems too hard to reach now (with upcoming holidays). Btw. In Russia Christmas is on 7th January. Till 31st desember are normal weekdays, then 10(!) holidays in a row. Too many films for that period, but it seems likely that none of them will do in total what SW7 did on OW. The Next Big movie will be KFP3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 11 minutes ago, Onri said: -71% Friday to Friday drop for SW7. If saturday and sunday will decrease around 71% too, weekend collapse will be 73-74%. Only 3.1-3.5 mln $ weekend 17.5-18 mln total after sunday. But I doubt saturday rise will be that good again. Of course no 2 billion roubles total. I believe SW7 won't make it to #2 in local currency (Minions are currently there with 1866 mln rubles). Even 25 mln $ seems too hard to reach now (with upcoming holidays). Btw. In Russia Christmas is on 7th January. Till 31st desember are normal weekdays, then 10(!) holidays in a row. Too many films for that period, but it seems likely that none of them will do in total what SW7 did on OW. Oh yeah. It opened on Thursday. My bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 59 minutes ago, James said: Maybe 20-21m total? I think it's the floor. Too hard to predict with such a horrible drop. New Year's competition gonna be really low (Point Break and The Little Prince perform mediocre/soft, The Peanuts Movie bombs). But there are still no signs of SW7 stamina 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 http://www.kinobusiness.com/news/kassa-uik-enda-24-27-dekabrya-2015-onlayn/ 71% drop and 18.1 mln total. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 18 hours ago, juni78ukr said: http://www.kinobusiness.com/news/kassa-uik-enda-24-27-dekabrya-2015-onlayn/ 71% drop and 18.1 mln total. Wasn't this the same drop for MINIONS and it was assumed it was steep due to bad WOM in Russia? Does this mean WOM for SW7 is also mediocre? Or that MINIONS and SW7 were just frontloaded? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PPZVGOS Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 A real shame for TFA with massive new markets such as Russia & Brazil going through epic currency devaluations. TFA came out literally in the worst possible period in Russia, with oil (which determines ruble value) at multi-year lows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 6 hours ago, MinaTakla said: Wasn't this the same drop for MINIONS and it was assumed it was steep due to bad WOM in Russia? Does this mean WOM for SW7 is also mediocre? Or that MINIONS and SW7 were just frontloaded? Minions dropped 68%, not that bad. Toon had much stronger weekdays and finally found some late legs. SW7 is frontloaded but WOM is mediacore too. SW7 is keeping enough shows through holidays but seem like gonna fall short of Minions final result anyway Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted December 30, 2015 Share Posted December 30, 2015 (edited) -38% Tuesday to Tuesday drop for SW7 More coming holidays that a stamina actually. But it finally stop falling 60%+ Point Break, The Little Prince and The Peanuts Movie will lose too many shows on New Years day Edited December 30, 2015 by Onri 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 So we have holidays 01-10 jan. No official numbers till January, 11 Steve Jobs totally bombing! SW7 doing well, Point Break and The Little Prince ok as for now. The Peanuts Movie remains dead. Russian toon and 2 local comedies are on fire actually. But not sure they all will hold well even through holidays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 (edited) SW7 increased better than any other live-action movie on January, 2. And even better than local toon which is currently #1. Seems like The force awakens had the best PTA on our second holiday! The Peanuts Movie had the best jump. Steve Jobs is only 14th (!!!) on it's second day of release. 4 in Top5 are local films :Ъ Very rought for 2 days: SW7 1.8 mln $ Point Break 0.85 The Little Prince 0.4 Krampus 0.33 (weak start) The Peanuts Movie 0.2 Steve Jobs 0.13 (total disaster & worst PTA) Edited January 3, 2016 by Onri Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 (edited) SW7 having really good holidays despite dropping to #3 on tuesday and wednesday. TFA (about 1745 mln rubles through wednesday) is on track to be really close to Minion's #2 alltime in rubles (1866). It can beat it if it survive The Revenant and huge previews of The Hateful Eight, both starts today. Tarantino's film hits alltime Russia's PTA record playing only one show a day on 70 mm in Moscow for 6 days before it's wide previews. SW7 loses only about 35% of it's shows on January, 7, that's second best index in top10 this time after current #1 local animation. Point Break holds good too, but losing 57% of it's shows today Edited January 7, 2016 by Onri Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 (edited) Early estimates: 155-160 mln RUB for The Revenant. Possibly The best ever OD for 2D release. Edited January 8, 2016 by juni78ukr 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 5 hours ago, juni78ukr said: Early estimates: 155-160 mln RUB for The Revenant. Possibly The best ever OD for 2D release. Wait....what??!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Maybe even more. Looks like my projections were too conservative. 4 mln USD in 2 days even with those awful exchange rates. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 9 hours ago, juni78ukr said: Maybe even more. Looks like my projections were too conservative. 4 mln USD in 2 days even with those awful exchange rates. Di Caprio must be a HUGE draw in Russia....holy shit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 11 hours ago, juni78ukr said: Maybe even more. Looks like my projections were too conservative. 4 mln USD in 2 days even with those awful exchange rates. Wow. Thats huge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Onri Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 (edited) The Revenant is on track to be first billion rubles movie of 2016 & easily biggest movie since SW7, exceeding all holiday releases. 4.25 mln $ / 2 days SW7 will be #2 movie all time in local currency passing Minions next week. 1.8 bln rubles through yesterday First official data since last year still to come only on Monday Edited January 9, 2016 by Onri 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
