charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 34 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: 8m is still pretty likely? yeah that is truly a lock. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 Austria Christmas weekend for record Rang Titel Verleih Besuche Wochenende Besuche gesamt 1 Avatar 2: The Way of Water Disney 67.673 288.196 2 Gestiefelte Kater, Der: Der letzte Wunsch UPI 24.002 35.650 3 Räuber Hotzenplotz, Der Const/STCanal 10.801 46.733 4 Weihnachtsfest für Teddy, Ein Polyfilm 8.613 47.409 5 Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Disney 3.335 178.705 6 Strange World Disney 3.222 38.506 7 Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody Sony 2.338 3.786 8 Violent Night UPI 2.128 31.392 9 Magic Flute, The - Das vermächtnis der Zauberflöte Const/Tobis 2.826 24.893 10 Oskars Kleid Warner Bros 1.989 2.615 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 As of Sunday Avatar 2 is the 18th highest grossing movie at the german BO, €63,49M from 4,716M admissions. ATP is down to 13,46€. Still hoping for 6M admissions next Sunday and €80M cume... List of highest grossing movies in Germany: https://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm And it just had the 9th biggest 3rd WE: Admissions / theaters / average / year / title 1 1.357.107 1.233 1.101 02 Harry Potter 1 2 1.315.675 1.070 1.230 02 Lord of the rings 1 3 1.297.669 1.266 1.025 03 Lord of the rings 2 4 1.243.964 971 1.281 96 Independence Day 5 1.236.363 888 1.392 12 The Hobbit 6 1.167.468 1.341 871 04 Lord of the rings 3 7 1.118.415 749 1.493 98 Titanic 8 1.072.267 874 1.227 13 The Hobbit 2 9 1.067.150 737 1.448 22 Avatar 2 10 1.028.384 872 1.179 09 Ice Age 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 (edited) 10 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: yeah that is truly a lock. A lock? I wouldn't say something that absolute, but I agree it's highly likely. I thought about the coming weeks again and I am still thinking it's heading towards 9m, but I might have overshot how likely that is (probably like 30-40% right now) - still wouldn't rule out 10m (like 10%) - we have to know how it will hold next weekend. If it drops to like 700k then 8m is probably the ceiling, if it gets to 1000k it should approach 9m and maybe, maybe even can get past that. Rogue One dropped 31% for Avatar 2 which would mean a 735k weekend, but that would spell trouble because Rogue One had Passenger opening on that weekend, which opened with 413k - probably more than any movie opening in January will make in total. - unless maybe ??? surprised during the last January weekend. So a clearer January should mean better holds on top of it already holding way, way better than RO. Edited January 3, 2023 by Taruseth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 4 hours ago, Aristis said: As of Sunday Avatar 2 is the 18th highest grossing movie at the german BO, €63,49M from 4,716M admissions. ATP is down to 13,46€. Still hoping for 6M admissions next Sunday and €80M cume... List of highest grossing movies in Germany: https://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm And it just had the 9th biggest 3rd WE: Admissions/theaters / average / year / title 1 1.357.107 1.233 1.101 02 Harry Potter 1 2 1.315.675 1.070 1.230 02 Lord of the rings 1 3 1.297.669 1.266 1.025 03 Lord of the rings 2 4 1.243.964 971 1.281 96 Independence Day 5 1.236.363 888 1.392 12 The Hobbit 6 1.167.468 1.341 871 04 Lord of the rings 3 7 1.118.415 749 1.493 98 Titanic 8 1.072.267 874 1.227 13 The Hobbit 2 9 1.067.150 737 1.448 22 Avatar 2 10 1.028.384 872 1.179 09 Ice Age 3 Needs 1,283,724 Admissions for that. Taking RO weekdays to the weekend ratio for 3rd week, the weekdays should be 640k and the following weekend 735k, that alone would mean 6090k. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Taruseth said: A lock? I wouldn't say something that absolute, but I agree it's highly likely. I am saying 8M is absolute certain and will need something very bad to miss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 2 hours ago, Taruseth said: Needs 1,283,724 Admissions for that. Taking RO weekdays to the weekend ratio for 3rd week, the weekdays should be 640k and the following weekend 735k, that alone would mean 6090k. I too thought it was locked to happen but this 13 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: 9M looked like a lock if it had followed Rogue One for next 3 days but yeah MON isn't looking as big as it would have, so 9M is no longer lock made me think it's lower than following RO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, Aristis said: I too thought it was locked to happen but this made me think it's lower than following RO. Naa its well ahead, just that RO jumped 50% on Jan 2, A2 jumped only 19 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted January 3, 2023 Author Share Posted January 3, 2023 Germany's Top16 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Avatar 2 1.067.150 737 1.448 4.716.276 63.488.134 +45 3 2 Puss in Boots 2 206.072 613 336 566.575 4.795.187 +70 2 3 Der Räuber Hotzenplotz 88.794 723 123 475.497 3.468.588 +101 4 4 Oskars Kleid 75.985 526 144 195.501 1.785.398 +93 2 5 I Wanna Dance with Somebody 46.394 408 114 129.749 1.307.275 +98 2 6 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 35.050 382 92 2.441.302 17.862.994 +246 14 7 Was man von hier aus sehen kann 28.004 124 226 32.266 287.609 - 1 8 Black Panther 2 21.475 204 105 1.462.067 16.623.074 +52 8 9 Einfach mal was Schönes 19.527 360 54 575.915 5.331.545 +134 7 10 Hui Buh und das Hexenschloss 14.644 308 48 491.033 3.750.782 +154 9 11 Strange World 13.676 307 45 257.752 2.039.143 +40 6 12 Triangle of Sadness 10.950 132 115 407.349 3.906.383 +201 12 13 Teddybjørnens jul 10.950 309 35 232.249 1.652.245 -54 7 14 The Menu 10.858 155 70 286.813 2.699.080 +99 7 15 Rheingold 9.804 99 99 974.551 9.714.309 +15 10 16 She Said 8.700 158 55 101.010 915.037 +69 4 Wow, some good numbers - Avatar 2 is laying down a bid for 9mil total or more, Puss in Boots 2 is having the numbers I expected for OW and domestic longrunner Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2 quintupled last week's numbers and has a chance at 2,5mil. total! Not too shabby for the only decent opener either (I wasn't aware this got so few theaters …). Next weekend: No big openers as the holiday season closes; The Banshees Of Inisherin comes with critical acclaim but few expectations and the latest Guy Ritchie crime comedy Operation Fortune: Ruse De Guerre will probably see some mild success, but Avatar 2 will continue to dominate the market all evening long which makes it really hard for other grown-up releases to survive. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 The most admitted movie in the past 10 years are Intounchable and SW7 at around 9m. I love to see A2 become join the elite club of this decade or even the first 10m movie since Avatar 1. German cinema needs some booster now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 3, 2023 Share Posted January 3, 2023 215k admissions on Monday. Is it good or less than expected ? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 15 hours ago, LPLC said: 215k admissions on Monday. Is it good or less than expected ? Okay, I guess, 640k weekdays won't be easy though with that. Probably more like 550k for the weekdays. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 8 minutes ago, Taruseth said: Okay, I guess, 640k weekdays won't be easy though with that. Probably more like 550k for the weekdays. Though the InsideKino prediction has it at 6,2M after Sunday of an 854k WE which would be ~640k midweek and in theory he should know a bit more about the numbers... So I still hope for a week that high. https://www.insidekino.de/DProg/Prog5JAN2023.htm 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 Yesterday, on Tuesday, Avatar 2 cracked the Top 10 highest grossing movies in Germany with €69,1M from 5,15M admissions. After Sunday it should be around €82M+ and #6 - though I hope for #5 passing FotR (€83,12M). http://www.insidekino.com/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 With 1,73M admissions Avatar 2 had the 2nd biggest 3rd week ever. 1,64M (-) 1,81M #68th biggest OWeek 1,84M (+10%) 3,65M 1,73M (-6%) 5,37M #2nd biggest 3rd week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 In Austria its past 600k admissions. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, Taruseth said: In Austria its past 600k admissions. till when? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dale Cooper Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 (edited) So it made 660k weekdays despite weak Monday? Seems quite good to me. Anyway, it seems the trend better on weekends than weekdays compared to Rogue One and it keeps improving compared to it. It made about 230% of Rogue One's third set of weekdays compared to 170% over the second set of weekdays. It did about 230% of Rogue One's third weekend. If it keeps improving in about the same rate it could triple Rogue One's third weekend for close to a million? Maybe that's too much to ask for. Edited January 5, 2023 by Dale Cooper 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 9-10m admits doable 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 12 minutes ago, Bruce said: till when? I think Tuesday. 3 minutes ago, Dale Cooper said: So it made 660k weekdays despite weak Monday? Seems quite good to me. Anyway, it seems the trend better on weekends than weekdays compared to Rogue One and it keeps improving compared to it. It made about 230% of Rogue One's second set of weekdays compared to 170% over the second set of weekdays. It did about 230% of Rogue One's third weekend. If it keeps improving in about the same rate it could triple Rogue One's third weekend for close to a million? Maybe that's too much to ask for. It does. 1m will be really, really, really hard - but I don't want to say impossible. I just wouldn't expect it 850-900k would already be really great. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...