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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

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The Whisper Numbers:

Split 245/620
La La Land 160/825
Wendy 125/340
Blind Date 117.5/315
Rings over 100k
Sing 95/1845
xXx 80/515
Timm Thaler 75/85
RE6 72.5/220

Plötzlich Papa 70/770
Hidden Figures 60/80
Passengers 57.5/1155
Kundschafter 52.5/135
Sing 50/2310
Monster Trucks 47.5/115 (stayed almost flat)
A Streetcat Named Bob 40/240
Rogue One 27.5/3910
Manchester 27.5/130
Why Him? 25/400
The Great Wall 22.5/440
Live by Night 20/22.5

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4 minutes ago, el sid said:

The Whisper Numbers:

Split 245/620
La La Land 160/825
Wendy 125/340
Blind Date 117.5/315
Rings over 100k
Sing 95/1845
xXx 80/515
Timm Thaler 75/85
RE6 72.5/220

Plötzlich Papa 70/770
Hidden Figures 60/80
Passengers 57.5/1155
Kundschafter 52.5/135
Sing 50/2310
Monster Trucks 47.5/115 (stayed almost flat)
A Streetcat Named Bob 40/240
Rogue One 27.5/3910
Manchester 27.5/130
Why Him? 25/400
The Great Wall 22.5/440
Live by Night 20/22.5

For last weekend?

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44 minutes ago, nVIDIADriver said:

For last weekend?

Yes. The first numbers are the weekend numbers and the second ones are the total admission numbers incl. Sunday. Or, for the new releases, the admissions counted with previews.

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a lot of releases with decent business atm but not a single sell-outer; well that will change very soon :)

 

In Austria, Rings led the chart; the surprise here is Why Him? that dropped <20%; LaLaLand is also doing excellent and prolongued business here. Austria is always a bit more frontloaded than Germany - bigger openings but steeper drops as a rule. So, Why Him? counting 15k admissions in its 4th weekend, after 40k OW, is really strong. Of course, 50SoG will hit equally hard here and occupy most good screens at least OW.

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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Split

246.167

494

498

621.907

5.358.327

-8

2

2

La La Land

160.143

466

344

830.864

7.275.866

+3

4

3

Wendy

126.593

605

209

343.334

2.240.381

-11

2

4

Mein Blind Date mit dem Leben

117.172

360

325

327.569

2.664.634

-1

2

5

Rings

101.269

304

333

101.269

913.746

-

1

6

Moana

95.434

679

141

1.830.042

14.129.581

-1

7

7

xXx 3

81.186

570

142

518.511

5.708.138

-34

3

8

Timm Thaler oder Das verkaufte Lachen

75.729

557

136

87.788

587.739

-

1

9

Resident Evil 6

73.607

450

164

220.357

2.474.355

-35

2

10

Demain tout commence

70.532

479

147

782.116

6.432.730

-22

5

11

Hidden Figures

59.216

132

449

96.293

668.220

-

1

12

Passengers

56.061

424

132

1.151.283

11.762.207

-33

5

13

Kundschafter des Friedens

51.454

174

296

159.663

1.251.978

-9

2

14

Sing

49.025

481

102

2.309.011

18.246.149

-7

9

15

Monster Trucks

46.907

288

163

112.747

869.107

-8

2

16

A Streetcat Named Bob

38.584

422

91

237.644

1.859.695

-0

4

17

Ballerina

32.260

400

81

198.534

1.350.647

-6

4

18

Manchester by the Sea

28.268

112

252

128.460

1.083.689

-9

3

19

Rogue One

27.752

246

113

3.909.887

43.947.846

-34

8

20

Feuerwehrmann Sam - Außerirdische

26.846

490

55

228.668

1.425.279

-25

5

 

With no big openers, the market was very friendly for holdovers - La La Land with its 3rd increase in as many weeks, and Split is a surprise success, too. Moana will cross 2mil total, very good after the weak start. Look at those PTA's, many of the releases seem to be very well received!

 

Next weekend: 50 Shades Darker will top the weekend by a wide margin. The first one counted 1,35 mil admissions OW and seemed to satisfy so we might even see a bit more this time, theaters sure are trying to milk that cow for what it's worth. As contrast program, The Lego Batman Movie is perfectly placed, it takes many afternoon and early evening shows - The Lego Movie was not that big an opener but was extremely well received and Batman is of course a draw, so we should see >500k admissions. We have quite a few bookings for it, too, a sure sign that it is able to transcend the families-only barrier. The Space Between Us and other small releases won't make much of a splash amongs such competition … Holdovers are bound to suffer because of screen anaemia but I can definitely see something like LaLaLand or comedies have comparatively nice drops, again.

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And with the official FFA-Numbers we know that 2016 was at least above 120M admissions...

 

121,1M (-13% against last year), €1.023M (-12,4%). I feared that worse could happen... But it's a pretty bad number.

 

2017 can only get better...

Edited by Aristis
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5 hours ago, Aristis said:

And with the official FFA-Numbers we know that 2016 was at least above 120M admissions...

 

121,1M (-13% against last year), €1.023M (-12,4%). I feared that worse could happen... But it's a pretty bad number.

 

2017 can only get better...

And the unfortunate part in all this is that the film industry can celebrate the 4th best year ever - in terms of revenue. 

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The Thursday estimates (source insidekino.de/forum):

New Releases:

Fifty Shades Darker: 159k (starts in 710 theaters, pretty bad reviews between 2 and 6/10 - a little bit worse than part 1, had 1.35M admissions on its first weekend two years ago)
The LEGO Batman Movie: 6k evening only! (535, ok to very good reviews, often in very small cinema halls in the evening, The Lego Movie had 1.3M total admissions three years ago)
The Space Between Us: under 1k (168, ok reviews)
The Girl with All the Gifts: ?k (ca. 90, very good reviews)
Madame Christine und ihre unerwarteten Gäste: ?k (ca. 80, mixed reviews)
Der Eid: ?k (ca. 50, good reviews)

Holdovers:

Split: 16k (30k)
La La Land: 15k (22k)
Mein Blind Date mit dem Leben: 8.5k (12.5k)
Hidden Figures: 7.5k (7k) – a very good hold
Resi Evil 6: 5.5k (9k)
xXx3: 6k (8k) - not bad, maybe it works as an alternative program
Rings: 4.5k (15k)

So still some good holds but as IndustriousAngel said, many holdovers suffer because of the screen anaemia.

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47 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

50SoG2 number seems weak ... of course, this year we had a lot of previews and Ladie's evenings so a lot of demand was moved to Wed.

Yes, I read it had showtimes in ca. 600 theaters on Wednesday so a Thursday-Thursday comparison wouldn't make any sense.
But from the look at the reservations in several theaters, the demand seemed not to be overwhelming today. The mathäser reservations (ok, it's pretty male-dominated) were of course good but far from "we need an extra cinema hall".

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7 hours ago, el sid said:

Yes, I read it had showtimes in ca. 600 theaters on Wednesday so a Thursday-Thursday comparison wouldn't make any sense.
But from the look at the reservations in several theaters, the demand seemed not to be overwhelming today. The mathäser reservations (ok, it's pretty male-dominated) were of course good but far from "we need an extra cinema hall".

same here ... maybe the craze was shortlived and is ebbing already. Still will make a shitload of money, with production costs as low, so we'll see some more of them I guess.

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The 1st Trend is not that good in my eyes...

 

FSOG 2 925k (MarkG says that 1M isn't impossible but that would, probably, require WOM, this movie does not have...) FSOG 1 1,35M

Lego Batman 275k :( (about the same as The Lego Movie, I hoped for better...)

Split 150k (-40%)

La La Land 105k (-35%)

Wendy 95k (-25%)

 

Edited by Aristis
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Some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

New Releases:

50SD: 140k
The LEGO Batman Movie: 25k whole day
The Space Between Us: 2.5k
Madame Christine: 2.7k

Holdovers:

Split: 18k
La La Land: 15k – the first time the estimate was right ;)
Mein Blind Date mit dem Leben: 8k
 

The LEGO Batman Movie number – 25k – is also almost equivalent with the The Lego Movie number two years ago. I didn't expect more just because it shows „only“ Batman. And maybe it has the same legs, the trailer is cute and the WOM (also from moviegoers so far, not only critics) is fine. By the way I read several reviews now where it said it is by far not only a kids movie, more the other way around.

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13 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

first estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: 50SoG2 - 925k (incl. previews), a bit of a letdown

#2: Lego Batman - 275k (was hoping for more, too)

#3: Split - 150k (-40%)

#4: LaLaLand - 105k (-35%)

#5: Wendy - 95k (-25%)

 

Overall a lot weaker than I was hoping :(

FSD lose out bigtime sat compared to FSOG,  Wed prev- Fri looking to be about same as FSOG Th-Fri

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