BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

IndustriousAngel · September 9, 2022

First weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de; still very unsure but as expected holdovers win the weekend with increases:

#1: Minions 2 - 100k (+47%)

#2: Crawdads - 80k (+34%)

#3/4: After - 70k (-25%)

Känguru2 - 70k (-3%)

#5: Guglhupf - 60k (+2%)

Best opener: orphan2 with about 50k admissions

Aristis · September 9, 2022

On 9/2/2022 at 6:16 PM, Aristis said:

Thursday

#1 After Ever Happy 17,5k (-50%)

#2 Crawdads 12k (+9%)

#3 Känguru 2 11k (-39%)

#4 Guglhupfgeschwader 10k (-33%)

#5 Dragon Ball Super 5,5k

Thursday

#1 Crawdads 12,7k (+6%)

#2 After Ever Happy 10,9k (-38%)

#3 Minions 9k (at least +65%)

#4 Guglhupfgeschwader 8,6k (-14%)

#5 Känguru 2 8,6k (-22%)

Orphan was the best opener with 5,6k at 8th place which is better than the 5th last week so quite some increases this WE!

Edited September 9, 2022 by Aristis

Aristis · September 10, 2022

2nd Trend

#1: Minions 2 - 100k (+47%) 3,67M

#2: Crawdads - 85k (+%)

#3: After - 72,5k (-22%)K

#4 Känguru2 - 62,5k (-13%)

#5: Guglhupf - 57,5k (-3%) 1,195M

Orphan 50k

TG:M 47,5k (+13%) ~3,44M

Bullet Train 45k (+7%)

...

SM:NWH RR 30k

Edited September 10, 2022 by Aristis

IndustriousAngel · September 10, 2022

GOOD news (finally) - the "Kinofest" in Germany seems to work, cheaper tickets this Sat+Sun are drawing the crowds in and we should see much nicer actual numbers than first estimates!

Aristis · September 11, 2022

3rd Trend

#1 Minions2 140k (+106%) 3,71M

#2 Crawdads 90k (+50%) 445k

#3 Känguru2 90k (+25%) 355k

#4 After 85k (-9%) 480k

#5 TG:M 85k (+102%) ~3,48M

...

SM:NWH RR 45k

There are 14 movies above 30k atm which probably didn't happen for quite some time!

Edited September 11, 2022 by Aristis

Taruseth · September 11, 2022

1 hour ago, Aristis said:

2nd Trend

#1 Minions2 140k (+106%) 3,71M

#2 Crawdads 90k (+50%) 445k

#3 Känguru2 90k (+25%) 355k

#4 After 85k (-9%) 480k

#5 TG:M 85k (+102%) ~3,48M

...

SM:NWH RR 45k

There are 14 movies above 30k atm which probably didn't happen for quite some time!

Maybe Minions can leg it out to 4m adm and TG:M to 3.7m - even without the Kinofest both had really good legs - I know that next weekend drops will be ugly, but think both could have a shot, though I'd say it should be easier for Minions and TG:M will end around 3.65m, still more than twice of what I expected during OWend.

el sid · September 12, 2022

The even better Monday update:

#1 Minions 2 147.5k

#2 After 105k/500k total admissions

#3 Crawdads 100k/455k

#4 Känguru 100k/365k

#5 TGM 92.5k/3.480M

#6 Gugelhupfgeschwader 70k/1.205M

#7 Bullet Train 70k/610k

#8 Orphan - First Kill 75k

#9 Super Pets 65k/562.5k

#10 NWH 55k/4.610M

#11 Alle für Ella 45k

scabab · September 12, 2022

So what's Dragon Ball at there now?

IndustriousAngel · September 13, 2022

Germany's Top 20 last weekend:

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Minions 2

147.009

699

210

3.718.922

32.024.100

+117

11

2

After Ever Happy

104.948

567

185

499.444

4.289.624

+13

3

Where the Crawdads Sing

99.147

640

155

454.058

4.070.159

+66

4

Känguru 2

98.573

647

152

364.335

2.958.956

+37

3

5

Top Gun 2

92.371

572

161

3.480.724

35.296.798

+121

16

6

Guglhupfgeschwader

71.707

513

140

1.206.667

10.688.649

+21

6

7

Bullet

70.555

375

188

609.918

5.766.112

+68

6

8

Orphan

68.335

224

305

75.980

466.420

-

1

9

DC League of Super-Pets

66.796

533

125

562.876

4.045.665

+124

7

10

Spider-Man - No Way Home

55.706

371

150

4.608.706

46.181.820

+

39

11

Bibi & Tina

45.309

559

81

621.272

4.430.143

+82

8

12

Alle für Ella

40.921

492

83

44.246

267.706

-

1

13

Mein Lotta-Leben

37.966

506

75

158.359

1.072.535

+80

4

14

Freibad

34.078

257

133

78.803

572.223

+51

2

15

Qu'est-ce qu'on … 3

28.865

379

76

642.298

5.665.348

+85

8

16

Thor 4

28.368

255

111

1.871.372

19.184.023

+41

10

17

Der junge Häuptling Winnetou

23.718

455

52

155.646

1.071.351

+104

5

18

Three Thousand Years of Longing

16.107

177

91

35.678

278.015

+23

2

19

En corps

16.058

88

182

23.769

159.591

-

1

20

Jurassic World 3

15.888

198

80

2.149.698

23.680.112

+88

14

Well, that event with cheaper tickets was a success, really strong Sat+Sun! There were bound to be increases but there's not a single release here which dropped from last weekend - cool! Outstanding performances from family relases and once more Top Gun Maverick! Where the Crawdads Sing is making up for the lukewarm opening - this weekend should have generated some additional WOM which seems quite good anyway!

In Austria, no event, so "normal" numbers, no release >10k admissions but Minions2 and Guglhupf came close.

Next weekend: With Ticket to Paradise, there's finally a halfway strong opener again, but I dont know if it can push the Minions from #1.

Issac Newton · September 14, 2022

Germany WKend Additional Numbers

⚪ Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero - €98,679 / €1,409,291

⚪ Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy - €8,775 / €38,556

⚪ Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - €6,030 / €2,538,861

⚪ Moneyboys - €1,210 / €18,936

Issac Newton · September 14, 2022

Austria Weekend

1. Guglhupfgeschwader - €96,853 / €2,687,735

2. Minions 2 - €88,709 / €4,676,817

3. Orphan First Kill - €77,170 / €89,031

4. After Forever - €76,203 / €710,658

5. Good Luck to You, Leo Grande - €75,272 / €195,000

Misc.

⚪ Top Gun Maverick - €72,749 / €6,369,719

⚪ No Way Home - €34,648 / €7,250,416

IndustriousAngel · September 16, 2022

Ticket to Paradise seems indeed to become #1 for the weekend, surprisingly strong opening! Otherwise, steep drops after the event-inflated numbers last weekend; Crawdads still pretty good though, excellent WOM makes for a very leggy run!

Aristis · September 16, 2022

On 9/9/2022 at 11:24 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

#1 Crawdads 12,7k (+6%)

#2 After Ever Happy 10,9k (-38%)

#3 Minions 9k (at least +65%)

#4 Guglhupfgeschwader 8,6k (-14%)

#5 Känguru 2 8,6k (-22%)

Thursday

#1 Ticket to Paradise 22k

#2 Crawdads 8,3k (-35%)

#3 Moonage Daydream 4,8k

#4 After Ever Happy 4,7k (-57%)

#5 Chase 4,3k

el sid · September 17, 2022

The second trend:

#1 Ticket to Paradise 200k
#2 Minions 2 70k
#3 Crawdads 60k
#4 After 37.5k
#5 Chase 62.5k (a bit strange that insidekino already put it behind After, maybe it had large previews?)

#6 TGM 35k
#7 Känguru 35k
#8 Orphan 2 32.5k
#9 Bullet Train 32.5k

#10 Guglhupfgeschwader 30k
#11 Super-Pets 27.5k
#12 Jeepers Creepers Reborn 25k
...
Lieber Kurt 35k (with previews)

Where I live it's cold and grey and if it looks similar in other regions then the weekend numbers should rather improve than go down in the third trend/Monday update.

Edited September 17, 2022 by el sid

IndustriousAngel · September 17, 2022

1 hour ago, el sid said:

#5 Chase 62.5k (a bit strange that insidekino already put it behind After, maybe it had large previews?)

I think it had a lot of "sneaks" which is included here.

el sid · September 18, 2022

The final trend:

#1 Ticket to Paradise 220k
#2 Minions2 70k
#3 Crawdads 57.5k

#4 Chase 65k
#5 Känguru 40k
#6 Super-Pets 37.5k
#7 After Forever 37.5k
#8 TGM 37.5k
#9 Orphan2 32.5k
#10 Bullet Train 32.5k
#11 Guglhupfgeschwader 30k
#12 Lieber Kurt 37.5k (with previews)
#13 Jeepers Creepers Reborn 25k (with previews)

el sid · September 19, 2022

The Monday update:

#1 Ticket to Paradise 230k
#2 Minions2 75k/3.805M
#3 Crawdad 60k/550k

#4 Känguru 42.5k/420k
#5 Super-Pets 42.5k/610k

...

Chase 65k
Lieber Kurt 40k
Jeepers Creepers 25k

IndustriousAngel · September 20, 2022

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Ticket to Paradise

189.359

603

314

227.334

2.134.940

-

1

2

Minions 2

75.281

627

120

3.806.277

32.704.502

-49

12

3

Where the Crawdads Sing

61.358

667

92

550.574

4.960.010

-38

5

4

Känguru 2

42.615

572

75

421.482

3.435.463

-57

4

5

DC League of Super-Pets

41.777

484

86

608.699

4.373.522

-37

8

6

After Ever Happy

38.171

491

78

558.317

4.812.111

-64

4

7

Top Gun 2

36.661

409

90

3.532.744

35.823.485

-60

16

8

Last Seen Alive (Chase)

36.461

362

101

64.046

479.795

-

1

9

Guglhupfgeschwader

35.128

403

87

1.257.041

11.169.899

-51

7

10

Orphan 2

32.543

230

141

120.119

857.977

-52

2

11

Bullet Train

31.219

305

102

651.422

6.161.124

-56

7

12

Bibi & Tina

27.856

481

58

652.470

4.648.622

-39

9

13

Lieber Kurt

26.742

415

64

42.151

350.870

-

1

14

Jeepers Creepers Reborn

24.926

222

112

24.926

226.959

-

1

15

Mein Lotta-Leben

23.689

489

48

184.687

1.252.700

-38

5

16

Freibad

18.523

278

67

109.130

901.938

-46

3

17

Alle für Ella

16.486

494

33

65.011

423.439

-60

2

18

Moonage Daydream

16.314

253

64

16.425

184.498

-

1

19

Der junge Häuptling Winnetou

13.635

375

36

170.670

1.172.886

-57

6

20

Qu'est-ce qu'on … 3

12.991

231

56

675.164

5.946.431

-60

9

After last week' increases, drops were bound to be steep but thanks to the surprisingly strong opening weekend of Ticket to Paradise, overall still a good weekend with a lot of releases >10k! These kind of movies tend to be leggy so it wouldn't surprise me if Ticket could reach 1mil in the end. In Austria, similar results but the openers were bigger - Ticket >30k!

Next weekend: The "biggest" real opener will probably be Don't Worry Darling, but Avatar gets a re-release starting Thursday which seems to sell pretty good, at least it's selling much better than the real opener at my theater!

IndustriousAngel · September 20, 2022

As an aside, Guglhupfgeschwader, the 8th installment in the series of Rita Falk crime comedy adaptions, is now the most succesful one with its 1,26mil admissions, overtaking Leberkäsjunkie (6th in the series, 1,24mil total) with still something in the tank! While reviews were a bit mixed and the final multiplier will be lower, the franchise is still gaining new audiences it seems - congratulations!

Issac Newton · September 20, 2022

Germany WKend (Additional Numbers)

⚪ No Way Home - €108,046 / €46,345,658

⚪ The Deer King - €57,364

⚪ Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero - €27,112 / €1,496,684

⚪ Brahmastra - €25,885 / €104,021

⚪ Wheel of Fortune and Fantasy - €4,706 / €47,450

⚪ Moneyboys - €830 / €19,766

⚪ Fantastic Beasts 3 - €226 / €29,785,991 (Final Update)

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BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

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