BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[kayumanggi]

 

[Issac Newton]

One Night Event becoming real!! 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	433.208	723	599	3.991.546	39.811.062	-21	4
2	Evil Dead Rise	129.951	438	297	138.212	1.393.900	-	1
3	John Wick 4	76.047	535	142	1.585.998	18.163.522	+2	6
4	Manta Manta 2	56.799	628	90	1.156.613	11.399.166	-18	5
5	Dungeons & Dragons - HaT	44.401	456	97	624.333	6.258.518	-5	5
6	The Whale	30.784	161	191	45.103	394.442	-	1
7	Roter Himmel	21.666	106	204	60.072	548.612	+3	2
8	Cocaine Bear	21.034	391	54	131.712	1.228.716	-15	3
9	Suzume	16.494	274	60	199.969	2.473.826	-45	3
10	The Pope's Exorcist	15.904	298	53	183.051	1.792.957	-34	4
11	Une belle course	14.987	189	79	77.847	710.245	+6	3
12	Beautiful Disaster	14.848	333	45	178.710	1.696.562	-17	4
13	Überflieger - Das Geheimnis …	13.720	539	25	245.785	1.825.895	+5	6
14	Sonne und Beton	10.360	228	45	1.060.941	9.977.263	-1	9

An ok weekend with good holds and ok openings - The Whale with a fine PTA though last week's Roter Himmel even had a better one. Evil Dead Rise opened within expectations, but seemed a little frontloaded. And Mario Bros. continued its dominance, will probably miss 6mil total but 5,5 are looking good.

In Austria, similar numbers for the Top3 (Mario Bros. and Evil Dead even stronger); but The Whale opened much higher (>6k for the 3day weekend compared to Germany's 30k for the 4dayWE). Mario Bros. crossed 500k total on Sat and is on its way to well beyond 600k total, 700k are still possible.

Next weekend: The big opener will be Guardians of the Galaxy 3, it should become #1 but the question is if it can reach GotG2 (750k OW but a crappy multiplier) - presales don't give that impression. While for the longest time, Marvel sequels always managed to increase, this trend was already broken and will be broken again, I fear - I'd say a 500k OW would be ok for the Guardians. No other big openers, so family films should see ok drops (weather conditions so-so).

[Issac Newton]

Seeing a Japanese Release in Germany on Top 10 for 3 Weekend is a rare artifact. Thank you Germany!

[Brainbug]

25 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Seeing a Japanese Release in Germany on Top 10 for 3 Weekend is a rare artifact. Thank you Germany!

 

This is just a personal/subjective observation from my side, but i believe that the anime fan community has grown significantly in Germany over the last 5 years. Talking about anime shows and movies is a lot more common now among (mostly younger) people, its a lot closer to becoming more mainstream than like 10 years ago, when anime was still extremely niche.

[Issac Newton]

TOP10 - Japanese Film 

	Titre		Sortie	Démarrage	Cumul Entrées
1		Pokemon	13/04/2000	1 049 479	3 222 452
2		Pokemon 2, le pouvoir est en toi	21/12/2000	468 170	1 843 086
3		Invasion planète X	17/02/1967	-	825 000
4		Pokemon 3	21/06/2001	-	704 763
5		L'Empire des sens	27/01/1978	-	693 628
6		Digimon	08/03/2001	-	667 563
7		Les Aventures de Chatran	00/00/1987	-	626 219
8		Le Voyage de Chihiro	19/06/2003	-	428 975
9		Furyo	02/12/1983	-	423 778
10		Le Château ambulant	25/08/2005	60 572	387 245
11		One Piece Film - Red	13/10/2022	230 986	302 424
12		Yu-Gi-Oh! Le film	00/00/2004	-	278 827
13		Ran	00/00/1986	-	222 862
14		Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0	29/03/2022	42 662	183 669
15		Suzume	13/04/2023	93 662	199 969

[Issac Newton]

9 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

This is just a personal/subjective observation from my side, but i believe that the anime fan community has grown significantly in Germany over the last 5 years. Talking about anime shows and movies is a lot more common now among (mostly younger) people, its a lot closer to becoming more mainstream than like 10 years ago, when anime was still extremely niche.

Back in 1990s, Germany was supporting our content a lot strongly like 3.2M admits for Pokemon 1999. I wonder happen later. But, with no doubt, Germany is still our 2nd Biggest European Market after France. &I really hope that Our Content reaches Germany Core Audiences!

[GOGODanca]

First Trend:

 

GotG3: 500k admissions over 5 days

 

 

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

estimates for the top4 from insidekino.de

#1: GotG3: 500k (that's within expectations but really a big step down from GotG2, let's hope for better legs

#2: Mario Bros. - 300k (-31%, ok hold)

#3: EvilDeadRise - 70k (-46%, ugh)

#4: JW4 - 50k (-34%)

 

Depending on the  weather, we might get only 3 releases >50k, so overall a dull weekend ... GotG3 is opening about as high as the first one, but since sequels tend to have shorter legs, it might end up with the worst total of the three.

 

Edited May 5, 2023 by IndustriousAngel

[George Parr]

No change with the second trend.

 

I think there is a small typo in the numbers you listed yesterday though. John Wick 4 was at 40k, not 50k.

[charlie Jatinder]

550 doable.

[IndustriousAngel]

final estimates from insidekino.de:

GotG3 - 525k

Mario - 250k

Evil - 60k

Wick - 35k

So, GotG3 a little better but overall worse

[Samwise the Brave]

I really hope 2M is possible maybe 2.25M but for now we have to wait for 1.75M

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top10 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Guardians of the Galaxy 3	474.136	660	718	549.076	6.718.929	-	1
2	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	234.835	711	330	4.386.801	43.704.807	-46	5
3	Evil Dead Rise	60.890	458	133	234.487	2.362.799	-53	2
4	John Wick 4	34.574	456	76	1.641.763	18.787.090	-55	7
5	Manta Manta 2	24.443	536	46	1.196.956	11.798.270	-57	6
6	Das Lehrerzimmer	22.929	145	158	28.602	254.385	-	1
7	The Whale	17.261	180	96	76.092	685.787	-44	2
8	Dungeons & Dragons - HaT	17.022	365	47	657.073	6.582.739	-62	6
9	Roter Himmel	12.759	122	105	82.492	755.242	-41	3
10	Une belle course	10.270	232	44	96.603	879.097	-31	4

Not a good weekend, GotG3 opened within expectations but a lot lower than #2 - 1,7mil total should still be possible though if it doesn't  completely crumble next weekend (the one weekend it has without strong competition). The movie hit hardest among leftovers was D&D (as was to be expected).

In Austria, similar numbers but averall a bit higher, GotG3 was at about 65k after Sunday, Mario came in stronger too with >30k and already about 575k total by now.

Next weekend: No big releases, so the Top2 should be safe. I don't know about Germany but in Austria, the latest Asterix movie gets a pre-opening on Sat+Sun; presales look poor though so probably no big impact on other releases.

[Aristis]

1st Trend

 

#1 GOTG3 425k (-10%/-23%) 1,095M

#2 Mario 250k (+6%) 4,68M

#3 EDR 45k (-26%) 295k

#4 BookClub 57,5k (i.P.) 

#5 JW4 25k (-29%) 1,678M

 

https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm

[IndustriousAngel]

43 minutes ago, Aristis said:

1st Trend

 

#1 GOTG3 425k (-10%/-23%) 1,095M

#2 Mario 250k (+6%) 4,68M

#3 EDR 45k (-26%) 295k

#4 BookClub 57,5k (i.P.) 

#5 JW4 25k (-29%) 1,678M

 

https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm

Rainy weather always makes for wonderful BO weekends!

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Rainy weather always makes for wonderful BO weekends!

 

May in generel looks on the rainy and colder and miserable side of things, so thats obviously great.

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de:

 

#1 GotG3 400k

#2 Super Mario 250k

#3 EDR 42.5k

#4 Book Club 50k

#5 JW4 27.5k

#6 Das Lehrerzimmer 25k

#7 Sisu 22.5k

 

So overall a bit worse but maybe MarkG is conservative. It's as always grey and pretty cold where I live, maybe that's similar in other regions and the third trend will look better again. 

 

[el sid]

Sadly not . The weather in Northern Germany is better than predicted (once again you can see the big impact). No wonder nobody wants to report the final trend:

#1 GotG3 325k
#2 Super Mario 175k
#3 EDR 40k
#4 Book Club 45k (with previews)
...
Sisu 20k

Overall the holds are still good. And at least the next days are predicted to become very mixed. Next weekend should be sunnier but they often predicted better weekend weather and then it was way worse.

[GOGODanca]

3rd Trend:

 

1. GoTg3 - 325k

2. Super-Mario - 175k

3. Book Club - 45k

4. Evil Dead Rise- 40k

 

Apparently weather was really good