BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

Hobbit with about 1,02 million admissions this weekend in Germany - that's about a 5% drop, and came out of nowhere - in Austria, which usually is very similar, H1 dropped about 27% which is also good, but in no way spectacular, and more in my line of reasoning (hectic christmas shopping weekend). Next weekend is where H1 should show its real strength.

[Fake]

So 6m admissions possible?

[IndustriousAngel]

I think 7mil is in play with the strong weekends until Jan 6th. Not locked or anything, but possible.6mil is as good as locked, it's already at nearly 3mil today, with the strongest weekend yet coming.

Edited December 24, 2012 by IndustriousAngel

[Fake]

Sounds good.....BTW where is Skyfall looking to finish?

[IndustriousAngel]

7.5million at the least I would say.

[Fullbuster]

7.5million at the least I would say.

Skyfall will pass Intouchables in Germany!

[IndustriousAngel]

Skyfall will pass Intouchables in Germany!

By dollars, yes. By admissions, not.

[IndustriousAngel]

First trend for the 5-day-weekend admissions in Germany (Wed-Sun):

H1: 1.300k

LoP: 500k (opening)

PitchP: 275k

Vampirschwestern: 200k (opening)

Jesus liebt mich: 160k

Skyfall: 150k

Sammy2: 125k

BD2: 115k

WiR: 105k

Both openers better than expected; LoP really good (the book is far from well-known here) and german "Vampirschwestern" - well, teens will watch anything as long as there's a vampire in the title I guess.

Hobbit of course very good after its "soft" start, the demand is still there and 7mil total is now very probable.

Edited December 28, 2012 by IndustriousAngel

[Olive]

2 mil adm. for Pi?That's close to $30M?

[efialtes76]

2 mil adm. for Pi?That's close to $30M?

No. 2 mil adm. are $20.5-21M

[IndustriousAngel]

Difficult to say atm but 2mil seems like a stretch. This is a 5-day-weekend plus opening bonus, plus there's only one more holiday weekend left. 1.5mil would be a sensible goal (that would "only" be a 3x-multiplier but this weekend is the strongest of 2012, same as 2007 where this same weekend was top, and so even a 3x-multiplier would be really excellent. A 3x-multiplier from here on out would push The Hobbi 1 well past 7mil admissions)

[Poseidon]

Pi should do more with that OW, even without wednesday and previews it would open better than "Australia" in 2008 and that one made 1,5m easily.

[IndustriousAngel]

Yep but usually the bigger the opening the smaller the multiplier, and Australia had near exactly 4x. Of course it would be excellent if Pi managed a 4x multiplier!

[Poseidon]

Yep but usually the bigger the opening the smaller the multiplier, and Australia had near exactly 4x. Of course it would be excellent if Pi managed a 4x multiplier!

2012 is the year of big multipliers, so...And "Australia" had way less competition in 2008, admissions will be much higher on this years weekend.

[IndustriousAngel]

Yes, this will be a wekend to remember, just like 2007! Perfect constellation of holidays.

[Fake]

Excellent for Hobbit and Pi.

[IndustriousAngel]

It's excellent for about everything ... 150k for Skyfall in week #9 are nothing to be ashamed about either! It's very similar to the same weekend 2007 which had the same constellation of holidays and was not only the best weekend for 2007 but one of the best overall I believe (would have to check those facts...)

Edited December 28, 2012 by IndustriousAngel

[Fake]

What will be the cume for Hobbit after this weekend?

[Olive]

What will be the cume for Hobbit after this weekend?

4.5m adm.

[IndustriousAngel]

well that depends on the weekend - if the 1.3mil from 1st trend come true, about 4.5mil. The weekend after should see sizeable drops, surely the first <1mil-weekend, but near to 1mil anyway, so with weekdays the total should be about 5.5mil after Jan 6th, and 6mil should be toast the weekend after (Jan 13). 7mil is still a long way but definitely doable. RotK was the most frontloaded of the franchise and had a total multiplier of 1.12 after Jan 14 - from 6mil this would mean 6.7mil total, or vice versa: Hobbit1 needs to be at 6.3mil by Jan 13 to make 7mil with RotK-legs.