BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[el sid]

The Monday update from insidekino.de:

#1 Anyone But You 225k (+16%)/530k total admissions
#2 Migration 100k/1.627.5M
#3 The Beekeeper 100k (only -23%)/472.5k
#4 Poor Things 72.5k/180k
#5 Wonka 72.5k/2.265M
...
The Holdovers 55k
Mean Girls 50k
Die Chaosschwestern 42.5k
The Marsh King's Daughter 17.5k
Home Sweet Home 17.5k
Stella 15k

Oppenheimer, Barbie and Anatomie eines Falls saw increases from last weekend.

[keysersoze123]

 

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend_

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Anyone But You	224.280	571	393	528.942	5.155.602	+16	2
2	Migration	101.244	710	143	1.627.708	14.649.106	-17	6
3	The Beekeeper	99.824	585	171	472.035	4.918.460	-23	3
4	Poor Things	72.410	187	387	179.546	1.814.073	+1	2
5	Wonka	71.806	657	109	2.266.518	21.095.289	-28	8
6	Aquaman 2	47.511	459	104	1.281.859	14.759.623	-35	6
7	Wish	44.241	604	73	1.828.737	15.491.787	-28	9
8	Mean Girls	43.411	390	111	51.355	480.270	-	1
9	The Holdovers	40.028	176	227	57.944	535.879	-	1
10	The Boy and the Heron	34.804	418	83	488.060	4.950.368	-39	3
11	Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul	30.672	588	52	42.779	331.983	-	1
-	Le Dernier Jaguar	30.280	437	69	30.280	234.000	-	0
12	Perfect Days	22.511	217	104	297.746	2.851.513	-3	6
-	MET: Carmen (LEO)	18.197	185	98	18.197	551.152	-	0
13	Anatomie d'une chute	17.550	156	113	319.988	3.274.203	+63	13
14	The Hunger Games Prequel	15.563	232	67	1.632.554	18.219.985	-39	11
15	Lohusa	15.026	47	320	15.026	148.766	-	1
16	Girl You Know It's True	14.790	310	48	358.665	3.690.336	-20	6
17	Stella. Ein Leben	13.650	130	105	14.740	145.804	-	1
18	Home Sweet Home	11.510	214	54	18.648	157.243	-	1
19	Checker Tobi 2	11.509	226	51	1.120.578	8.244.627	+61	17
20	Oppenheimer	11.369	230	49	4.156.179	47.235.084	+511	28

A nice weekend (again, under current circumstances …) with a lot of releases >10k admissions and a surprising increase for last week's Anyone But You - good! Award contenders were on the rise, even Oppenheimer is back to 5 digits and Holdovers did ok! Poor Things continues with its excellent PTA, hopefully we'll see a slight increas in screens! Mean Girls was the disappointment among openers.

In Austria, similar numbers (but a bit higher for most everything), plus domestic dramedy Rickerl on #6 with an increase from the OW.

Next weekend: After this week's 30k previews (which were published, rare for Germany), Le Dernier Jaguar will open officially. Other openers: Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten, actioner Argylle - and Austrian movie Rickerl finally gets to Germany too after the two ok weekends in its domestic market.

[Issac Newton]

Anyone But You (Austria)

 

WKend 1 - €270K (€323K incl. Previews)

WKend 2 - €310K / €760K 

 

+14.81% LW !!!

[Flip]

8 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Germany's Top20 last weekend_

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Anyone But You	224.280	571	393	528.942	5.155.602	+16	2
2	Migration	101.244	710	143	1.627.708	14.649.106	-17	6
3	The Beekeeper	99.824	585	171	472.035	4.918.460	-23	3
4	Poor Things	72.410	187	387	179.546	1.814.073	+1	2
5	Wonka	71.806	657	109	2.266.518	21.095.289	-28	8
6	Aquaman 2	47.511	459	104	1.281.859	14.759.623	-35	6
7	Wish	44.241	604	73	1.828.737	15.491.787	-28	9
8	Mean Girls	43.411	390	111	51.355	480.270	-	1
9	The Holdovers	40.028	176	227	57.944	535.879	-	1
10	The Boy and the Heron	34.804	418	83	488.060	4.950.368	-39	3
11	Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul	30.672	588	52	42.779	331.983	-	1
-	Le Dernier Jaguar	30.280	437	69	30.280	234.000	-	0
12	Perfect Days	22.511	217	104	297.746	2.851.513	-3	6
-	MET: Carmen (LEO)	18.197	185	98	18.197	551.152	-	0
13	Anatomie d'une chute	17.550	156	113	319.988	3.274.203	+63	13
14	The Hunger Games Prequel	15.563	232	67	1.632.554	18.219.985	-39	11
15	Lohusa	15.026	47	320	15.026	148.766	-	1
16	Girl You Know It's True	14.790	310	48	358.665	3.690.336	-20	6
17	Stella. Ein Leben	13.650	130	105	14.740	145.804	-	1
18	Home Sweet Home	11.510	214	54	18.648	157.243	-	1
19	Checker Tobi 2	11.509	226	51	1.120.578	8.244.627	+61	17
20	Oppenheimer	11.369	230	49	4.156.179	47.235.084	+511	28

A nice weekend (again, under current circumstances …) with a lot of releases >10k admissions and a surprising increase for last week's Anyone But You - good! Award contenders were on the rise, even Oppenheimer is back to 5 digits and Holdovers did ok! Poor Things continues with its excellent PTA, hopefully we'll see a slight increas in screens! Mean Girls was the disappointment among openers.

In Austria, similar numbers (but a bit higher for most everything), plus domestic dramedy Rickerl on #6 with an increase from the OW.

Next weekend: After this week's 30k previews (which were published, rare for Germany), Le Dernier Jaguar will open officially. Other openers: Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten, actioner Argylle - and Austrian movie Rickerl finally gets to Germany too after the two ok weekends in its domestic market.

if Anyone but You holds steady or increases next weekend 2m admits should be more likely than not

[IndustriousAngel]

7 hours ago, Flip said:

if Anyone but You holds steady or increases next weekend 2m admits should be more likely than not

I was thinking the same ... with Valentine's Day on the horizon, and WOM obviously good, we're seeing a medium-sized hit here.

[IndustriousAngel]

early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

 

#1: Anyone But You - 200k (-11%, fine)

#2/3: Eine Million Minuten / Le dernier Jaguar with about 120k each without previews

#4: Migration - 110k (+9%, nice)

#5: Argylle - 102k

 

so, 5 movies >100k admissions, not too bad, we've had years with less 6-digit-movies on this weekend. Let's hope the trend continues; sadly, we're still missing anything really blockbustery.

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Anyone But You 200k
#2 Ella und der schwarze Jaguar 160k
#3 Eine Million Minuten 152.5k
#4 Migration 110k
#5 Argylle 100k
#6 The Beekeeper 70k
#7 Wonka 60k
#8 Poor Things 60k
#9 The Holdovers 32.5k
#10 Wish 32.5k
#11 Aquaman 2 30k

...

Butterfly Tale 15k

[el sid]

The final trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Anyone But You 195k
#2 Eine Million Minuten 180k
#3 Ella und der schwarze Jaguar 155k
#4 Argylle 105k
#5 Migration 95k
#6 The Beekeeper 72.5k
#7 Poor Things 60k
#8 Peppa's Kino-Party 60k
#9 Wonka 52.5k
#10 The Holdovers 32.5k
#11 Wish 30k
#12 Aquaman 2 30k

...

Butterfly Tale 12.5k

[Issac Newton]

Heron no more at the Top 20? 

 

Admission will be hard but I think Heron can ross Italy Gross (did €6.679.133 / 907.466 admits as of Saturday)

Edited February 4 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

Anyone But You (Austria)

 

WKend 1 - €270K (€323K incl. Previews)

WKend 2 - €310K / €760K

WKend 3 - €283K / €1.17M

 

-9% LW // 3rd WKend > 1st WKend | Now ahead of "The Bee Keeper" €1.15M (€165K WKend)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Everyone But You	190.390	595	320	790.514	7.700.295	-15	3
2	Eine Million Minuten	159.185	618	258	184.191	1.895.120	-	1
3	Le Dernier Jaguar	142.605	520	274	172.967	1.404.955	-	1
4	Migration	104.877	712	147	1.749.349	15.641.717	+4	7
5	Argylle	102.767	526	195	110.485	1.205.975	-	1
6	The Beekeeper	71.828	481	149	566.347	5.870.898	-28	4
7	Peppas Kino Party	68.440	237	289	68.440	378.509	-	1
8	Poor Things	64.290	232	277	277.285	2.805.905	-11	3
9	Wonka	55.272	520	106	2.336.575	21.708.327	-23	9
10	The Holdovers	35.259	187	189	112.442	1.075.555	-12	2
11	Wish	34.673	500	69	1.869.081	15.822.033	-22	10
12	Aquaman 2	29.009	277	105	1.320.297	15.171.280	-39	7
13	Lohusa	23.024	63	365	44.348	434.439	+53	2
14	Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul	22.949	584	39	71.714	549.372	-25	2
15	Mean Girls	22.552	387	58	85.778	791.435	-48	2
16	The Boy and the Heron	22.491	306	74	523.478	5.298.665	-35	4
17	Perfect Days	20.294	206	99	329.872	3.146.813	-10	7
18	Anatomie d'une chute	19.576	188	104	348.376	3.567.305	+12	14
19	Checker Tobi 2	13.620	202	67	1.148.993	8.838.611	+18	18
20	Butterfly Tale	12.912	297	43	13.047	102.918	-	1

Another "ok" weekend for Germany, at least 5 releases >100k. Domestic dramedy Eine Million Minuten opened stronger than I expected, as did Le Dernier Jaguar, but the surprise was kiddie release Peppas Kino Party which had the strongest PTA among family releases - hopefully it will expand next weekend! Argylle stayed behind expectations with a poor PTA. Among holdovers, Everyone But You, The Beekeeper and Migration plus the award contenders continued with nice holds or even increases, while last week's Mean Girls fell from a disappointing OW into the worst drop on the chart …

In Austria, the weekend was much better once more (details later).

Next weekend: The Color Purple (probably not hit material, presales very low) and a ton of new family releases (holidays!), none of them really interesting (the latest Fireman Sam movie might attract some business - the series' admissions have been volatile but a >50k OW seems possible). This week's leaders should stay safely in front.

[IndustriousAngel]

Comparison Germany - Austria:

As mentioned a few times, Austria's admissions have been crawling away from Germany's for some time now; the last weekend was a prime example. Here's a table comparing the numbers for some actual and some big older releases:

 

	admissions Germany		admissions Austria
title	WE (4day)	total	WE (3day)	total	% total
Everyone But You	190.390	790.514	31.444	114.569	14,4%
Le Dernier Jaguar	142.605	172.967	16.202	18.565	10,7%
Migration	104.877	1.749.349	15.672	231.992	13,2%
The Beekeeper	71.828	566.347	15.330	96.071	17,0%
Poor Things	64.290	277.285	9.588	49.822	18,0%
Wonka	55.272	2.336.575	11.744	318.199	13,6%
Aquaman 2	29.009	1.320.297	8.105	166.887	12,6%
Wish	34.673	1.869.081	?	ca 250.000	13,4%
Barbie		ca. 5.996.000		ca. 800.000	13,3%
Oppenheimer		ca. 4.165.000		ca. 510.000	12,2%
Super Mario Bros.		5.311.966		691.863	13,0%
Elemental		2.069.699		263.660	12,7%
GotG 3		2.002.576		245.299	12,2%
Avatar 2		10.203.912		1.161.090	11,4%
Top Gun 2		3.748.283		602.342	16,1%
No Time To Die		6.024.915		584.864	9,7%
Spider-Man NWH		4.642.898		592.935	12,8%
Minions 2		4.171.424		537.940	12,9%

 

Germany has 84,6mil inhabitants, Austria 9,1 (10,8% of Germany's). Austria has a bigger share of non-German-speaking inhabitants than Germany; counting only the native speakers, Austria has 10,4% of Germany's - so that's not making that much of a difference.

Given the very similar market, you would expect Austria's admissions to be near that number, too - and that has been true for a long time with a bit more in favour for Austria, say, 11-11,5% instead of 10,5%, because Austrians just went to the movies a bit more often. The other difference is that Austria's Opening Weekends tend to be bigger (I guess, because there are more seats/capita, so easier to get good tickets) but legs shorter, so it makes sense to compare totals, not weekends.

 

But in the after-Covid and during-Ukraine crisis market, that gap has become wider as seen in the right column where I give Austria's admisisons as percent from Germany's total. Of course, for movies still in release, those will still change because the aforementioned better German legs.

The one notable exception here is James Bond, No Time To Die actually did better in Germany than in Austria! But for other non-domestic releases, we're now mostly >12%, with family releases seemingly pulling further ahead, around 13%. So, while the Austrian market is facing difficulties, too, it's not as bad as in Germany.

Edited February 6 by IndustriousAngel

[IndustriousAngel]

early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Le Dernier Jaguar - 165k (+16%, great number if true)

#2: Eine Million Minuten - 150k (-6%)

#3: Anyone But You - 130k (-32%, the first real drop)

 

With about 25k admissions, the rerelease of Dune stayed behind expectations but it's not that bad a number, there were not that many shows. The Color Purple is barely in the 5-digits range, instant flop.

[el sid]

The worse second trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Ella und der schwarze Jaguar 150k
#2 Eine Million Minuten 140k
#3 Anyone But You 130k
#4 Migration 90k
#5 Argylle 70k
#6 The Beekeeper 52.5k
#7 Poor Things 47.5k
#8 Wonka 45k
#9 Night Swim 55k
#10 Wish 27.5k
#11 The Holdovers 25k
...
Dune 20k
The Color Purple 12.5k

[el sid]

The final trend from insidekino.de - some changes:

#1 Eine Million Minuten 147.5k
#2 Anyone But You 130k
#3 Ella und der schwarze Jaguar 125k
#4 Migration 75k
#5  Argylle 65k
#6 The Beekeeper 50k
#7 Poor Things 45k
#8 Wonka 40k
#9 Night Swim 50k
#10 Feuerwehrmann Sam - Tierische Helden 37.5k
#11Wish 25k

...
Dune 20k
The Color Purple 12.5k

[el sid]

At least the Monday update looks better (insidekino.de):

#1 Eine Million Minuten 150k/495k total admissions
#2 Ella und der schwarze Jaguar 132.5k/350k
#3 Anyone But You 127.5k/972.5k
#4 Migration 85k/1.862.5M
#5 Argylle 70k/205k
#6 The Beekeeper 50k/632.5k - it's now the most successful original Statham film since 14 years
...

Night Swim 52.5k
Feuerwehrmann Sam 45k
Dune 20k
The Color Purple 12.5k

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Eine Million Minuten	150.269	655	229	396.311	4.024.523	-6	2
2	Le Dernier Jaguar	133.345	600	222	351.502	2.840.052	-6	2
3	Anyone But You	128.754	615	209	973.752	9.495.629	-32	4
4	Migration	85.308	702	122	1.862.172	16.553.622	-19	8
5	Argylle	70.223	523	134	206.151	2.215.373	-32	2
6	The Beekeeper	51.114	442	116	632.221	6.542.102	-29	5
7	Poor Things	46.158	239	193	350.588	3.547.819	-28	4
8	Fireman Sam	44.164	620	71	44.164	221.443	-	1
9	Night Swim	42.225	337	125	54.031	511.868	-	1
10	Wonka	42.172	476	89	2.394.869	22.214.843	-24	10
11	Wish	26.762	445	60	1.904.472	16.113.487	-23	11
12	La Passion de Dodin Bouffant	26.613	122	218	32.327	310.460	-	1
13	The Holdovers	24.052	187	129	150.541	1.457.368	-32	3
14	Lohusa	21.677	75	289	72.340	708.397	-6	3
15	Dune	20.097	339	59	1.899.652	19.820.775	-	1
16	All of Us Strangers	19.721	70	282	19.721	185.742	-	1
17	Aquaman 2	18.301	213	86	1.346.014	15.445.067	-37	8
18	Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul	16.708	528	32	97.164	735.357	-27	3
19	Anatomie d'une chute	16.677	187	89	373.705	3.286.477	-15	15
20	Perfect Days	15.083	183	82	355.551	3.386.292	-26	8

An ok weekend once more; while there's still no blockbuster in sight, at least a lot of releases >15k admissions - a wide selection of attractive releases, good for the industry. The one with the highest PTA was Turkish dramedy Lohusa! #1 went to domestic Eine Million Minuten, also a dramedy - the super hold (as for Le Dernier Jaguar) indicates excellent WOM.

In Austria, once more, a better weekend, with the exception of Eine Million Minuten which only made #5 here. all other releases were as high, most a lot higher than in Germany.

Next week(end): Valentine's Day will boost Anyone But You (at least mid-week), and it will be difficult for any opener to make the Top5. Madame Web doesn't look very attractive (presales very low); the openers with the highest PTA will probably be Bob Marley: One Love and Voyage au pôle sud, both with a lower screen- and show count. No new family releases.

[IndustriousAngel]

early weekend estimates for Germany from insidekino.de:

#1: Le Dernier Jaguar - 150k (+12% but it went down with actuals last weekend so probably lower)

#2: Eine Million Minuten - 135k (-10%)

#3: Anyone But You - 110k (-15%)

 

Best opener: Bob Marley - 130k incl. previews; Madame Web is not an instant flop with >110k.

[IndustriousAngel]

Saturday update from insidekino.de, as expected, Jaguar is dropping a bit, so with actuals the Top3 should stay the same as last weekend