BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top16 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	The Beekeeper	165.381	528	313	180.757	1.926.415	-	1
2	Migration	165.107	688	240	1.370.525	12.482.991	-46	4
3	Wonka	142.230	757	188	2.060.671	19.239.283	-44	6
4	Aquaman 2	108.588	610	178	1.131.254	13.145.800	-50	4
5	The Boy and the Heron	93.627	440	213	349.550	3.576.136	-33	2
6	Wish	90.867	633	144	1.707.472	14.497.510	-48	7
7	The Hunger Games Prequel	40.193	351	115	1.576.889	17.601.279	-41	9
8	Perfect Days	36.665	192	191	223.935	2.153.489	-22	4
9	Napoleon	33.601	451	75	1.120.114	12.730.723	-41	8
10	Girl You Know It's True	32.406	524	62	309.884	3.194.624	-43	4
11	Priscilla	27.226	186	146	82.240	791.268	-26	2
12	Saw 10	18.434	277	67	436.449	4.579.758	-39	7
13	Next Goal Wins	17.526	330	53	74.741	658.848	-56	2
14	Anatomie d'une chute	17.372	170	102	277.380	2.837.570	+10	11
15	791km	11.248	246	46	148.770	1.406.644	-31	5
16	15 Jahre	10.941	77	142	14.345	125.612	-	1

Ok for a post-holiday weekend and a very close race for #1 which The Beekeeper won by 274 admissions … of course, moneywise, it led by much more. Wonka has crossed 2mil total, Aquaman 2 1mil … not bad numbers for those releases, it's just something blockbustery is missing, as was the case throughout the holidays. The boy and the Heron had an impressive hold compared to other family releases; Next Goal Wins however had the worst drop on the chart and that from an already disappointing OW.

In Austria, similar numbers except for Beekeeper; the actioner opened much better than in Germany, no close race here.

Next weekend: Romcom Anyone But You tries catering to a (lately) neglected market and SciFi drama Poor Things is also targeting an audience currently underserved, so both should find their place - the romcom might even make #1! In Austria, Adrian Goiginger's latest movie Rickerl is opening; his three prior directorial works have made him Austria's most interesting director (imho). His first and third movies each got >100k admissions in Austria, no mean feat for domestic arthouse dramas - Rickerl is his first comedy (or at least dramedy) so I'm hoping for an even better result!

[Issac Newton]

Austria

1. The Beekeeper - €312K (i.p. €370K)
2. Wonka - €168K / €2.87M
3. Aquaman &The Lost Kingdom - €164K / €2.18M

[Issac Newton]

Top Grossers ~ Austria

1. Barbie - 799.811
2. The Super Mario Bros. Movie - 691.863
3. Oppenheimer - 506.192
4. Rehragout Rendezvous - 316.939
5. Griechenland - 273.355
6. Elemental - 263.660
7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 - 245.299
8. Fast X - 235.708
9. John Wick Chapter IV - 227.945
10. Wonka - 224.249

[cannastop]

25 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Elemental - 263.660

surprising placement in the top 10 to be honest. A welcome surprise though

[Youngstar]

19 minutes ago, cannastop said:

surprising placement in the top 10 to be honest. A welcome surprise though

In Germany it placed very high as well. (probably number 5, since Wonka will suprass it):
http://insidekino.com/DJahr/D2023.htm

(and gross wise it's number 8 I think(?))

Edited January 17 by Youngstar

[IndustriousAngel]

6 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Top Grossers ~ Austria

...

Rehragout Rendezvous - 316.939

Griechenland - 273.355

Nice to see a Bavarian movie hit the Golden Ticket (the predecessor did already cross the 300k mark but Rehragout increased a bit) and Griechenland - a domestic production - coming pretty close!

[IndustriousAngel]

early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany:

#1: Anyone But You - 175k (incl. a few previews)

#2: The Beekeper - 120k (-27%, ok hold)

#3: Migration - 115k (-30%)

#4: Wonka - 110k (-23%)

 

Poor Things trending >80k, that's fine given the low number of theaters - so, both "big" openers successful.

[IndustriousAngel]

Sat updated estimates from insidekino.de higher for Anyone and Migration, lower for Wonka and Poor Things - overall still a good weekend.

[LegendaryBen]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Sat updated estimates from insidekino.de higher for Anyone and Migration, lower for Wonka and Poor Things - overall still a good weekend.

That has to mean a $3M OW for ABY? If so, that's outstanding and I hope I can leg out a final total of $13M+

[IndustriousAngel]

2 hours ago, LegendaryBen said:

That has to mean a $3M OW for ABY? If so, that's outstanding and I hope I can leg out a final total of $13M+

yep, that's a pretty good opening. there were some "Ladies' Nights" on Wed but despite that it doesn't seem to be frontloaded, so WOM seems at least decent and it might leg it to 1mil admissions (Valentine's Day coming up, should give it a decent mid-run push)

[IndustriousAngel]

final estimates have Anyone But You even higher; 215k incl previews - excellent start!

[el sid]

The Monday update from insidekino.de:

#1 Anyone But You 222.5k
#2 The Beekeeper 130k/342.5k total admissions
#3 Migration 122.5k/1.510M
#4 Wonka 100k/2.180M
#5 Aquaman 2 72.5k/1.220M
#6 Poor Things 72.5k (only 142 theaters)
#7 Wish 60k/1.777.5M
#8 The Boy and the Heron 57.5k/435k

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top18 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Anyone But You	192.573	503	383	232.277	2.263.569	-	1
2	The Beekeeper	128.999	563	229	344.026	3.613.821	-22	2
3	Migration	122.626	692	177	1.510.485	13.676.356	-26	5
4	Wonka	99.475	725	137	2.179.024	20.322.884	-30	7
5	Aquaman 2	73.033	558	131	1.220.764	14.109.236	-33	5
6	Poor Things	72.019	143	504	72.019	734.849	-	1
7	Wish	61.143	623	98	1.776.917	15.072.044	-33	8
8	The Boy and the Heron	57.483	462	124	434.472	4.425.405	-39	2
9	The Hunger Games Prequel	25.686	318	81	1.610.549	17.978.769	-36	10
10	Perfect Days	23.300	217	107	261.425	2.511.486	-36	5
11	Napoleon	19.096	373	51	1.146.565	13.033.533	-43	9
12	Girl You Know It's True	18.433	455	41	335.914	3.460.566	-43	5
13	Priscilla	15.336	194	79	106.753	1.026.298	-44	3
14	Kolpacino 4 4'lük	13.649	61	224	13.649	142.072	-	1
15	Saw 10	12.046	257	47	449.833	4.722.965	-36	8
16	Anatomie d'une chute	10.786	170	63	294.893	3.015.985	-38	12
17	The Palace	10.351	214	48	15.436	136.415	-	1
18	Next Goal Wins	7.150	334	21	85.303	750.832	-59	3

Excellent opening for Anyone But You - should reach 1mil total without any problem. Also excellent OW for Poor Things - a PTA of >500, with often only one or two shows per day on smaller screens, means this was running close to capacity. Among holdovers, The Beekeeper seems to have good WOM, and Migration had the best hold among family releases and flew past 1,5mil total. Overall, a good weekend.

In Austria, once more, numbers were much better - the openers 30% ahead of Germany, and Beekeeper 50% ahead. Plus domestic dramedy Rickerl on #6, so overall much friendler.

Next weekend: A few wide openers will rough up the chart but I see no one dethroning this week's leader. The most potent openers will probably be Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul (a domestic family release) and Mean Girls. Also opening: The Holdovers (not a BO story), The Marsh King's Daughter, and domestic horror thriller Home Sweet Home.

 

As an aside: Keep in mind - if I'm calling this a "good" weekend, that's in the context of the German post-Covid market and the general shitty state of the BO at the moment. In pre-Covid-times, this would have been an awful weekend. The top ten last WE add up to about 856k admissions; in 2020 and earlier years, a January weekend was always >1mil, usually >1,2mil for the Top10.

[IndustriousAngel]

Mean Girls seems floppy, at least at my venue it's selling less tickets today than last week's Poor Things; the strongest opener here is Holdovers (except maybe the kiddie movie Chaosschwestern; always difficult to predict because there are never much presales for those ...)

[Flip]

Mark G at insidekino is predicting 4m admits for Mufasa. It does have the holidays to help it out but given that its a prequel to a movie that did 5.6 admits and the moviegoing climate is signifcantly worse moviegoing climate I don't understand it.

[IndustriousAngel]

4 hours ago, Flip said:

Mark G at insidekino is predicting 4m admits for Mufasa. It does have the holidays to help it out but given that its a prequel to a movie that did 5.6 admits and the moviegoing climate is signifcantly worse moviegoing climate I don't understand it.

The reasoning might run something like "there HAVE to be some big earners so why not this"

 

early weekend estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's weekend, no big openers:

#1: Anyone But You - 200k (+4%, nice)

#2: Migration - 100k (-18%)

#3: Beekeeper - 90k (-30%)

despite the good holds, this is obviously another weekend <1mil admissions

 

Holdovers opening to about 50k, good

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de (new releases incl. previews):

#1 Anyone But You 225k
#2 Migration 100k
#3 The Beekeeper 92.5k
#4 Poor Things 75k
#5 Wonka 65k
#6 Aquaman 2 45k
#7 Mean Girls 50k
#8 Wish 40k
#9 Die Chaosschwestern und Pinguin Paul 50k
#10 The Holdovers 52.5k
#11 The Boy and the Heron 32.5k

...

Home Sweet Home 17.5k
The Marsh King's Daughter 17.5k
Stella 15k

Edited January 27 by el sid

[JustLurking]

Poor Things holding pretty much even or slightly up is excellent - looking like it'll have solid increases over The Favourite in most of Europe other than the UK

[IndustriousAngel]

Final estimates for Germany a bit better for many releases (Beekeeper might hit 6 digits once more) - Anyone But You with a surprising increase, obviously the only real Date Movie atm

[Valonqar]

Mean Girls is not connecting. Beekeeper is a surprise of January so far.