BO Germany/Austria: Inside Out 2 #1 with best 2024 OW

[Fullbuster]

5 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Preliminary numbers are worse than estimates (once more) ... another "might-have" weekend which ends up behind hopes (and last year's of course). There's still some buns in the oven but I fear this won't be a pretty year.

 

Ouch

Let's hope that FB and Rogue One will limit the damages.

[IndustriousAngel]

The biggest damage-limiter should be Dory - MarkG has pegged it at 7mil total in his 2016 prognosis ... a number that's optimistic but doable if the movie delivers (it should be noted that neither Pets nor IA5 lived up to his expectations ... there seems to be some serious cannibalization at work between family stuff this year, nearly every family movie did worse than expected with Pets and Zoo coming at least near ... the biggest success story is still Bibi&Tina3 with its near 2mil total which is a sizeable step up from 1 + 2)

MarkG's prognosis for Rogue was 5,3mil total which seems a sensible number, as the 3,7mil for FB. In fact I can see Rogue going even higher while I have my doubts about FB (of course I'll be glad if proven wrong there)

[Giesi]

FB has a shot at 5mil total, the fantasy fans are still out here and never underestimate them (look at Hobbit 2 &3)

I'm not so sure about RO anymore, it could finish with less than half of TFA's audience. I'm blaming the lack of connection to the original trilogy. On Friday they showed ANH on TV and it didn't exactly do a stellar job.

[Fullbuster]

37 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

The biggest damage-limiter should be Dory - MarkG has pegged it at 7mil total in his 2016 prognosis ... a number that's optimistic but doable if the movie delivers (it should be noted that neither Pets nor IA5 lived up to his expectations ... there seems to be some serious cannibalization at work between family stuff this year, nearly every family movie did worse than expected with Pets and Zoo coming at least near ... the biggest success story is still Bibi&Tina3 with its near 2mil total which is a sizeable step up from 1 + 2)

MarkG's prognosis for Rogue was 5,3mil total which seems a sensible number, as the 3,7mil for FB. In fact I can see Rogue going even higher while I have my doubts about FB (of course I'll be glad if proven wrong there)

 

I hope he's right for Dory

I'm optimistic for FB, I agree with Griesi there is potential

 

Rogue One will do very well, Darth Vader guys!!!

Edited September 26, 2016 by Fullbuster

[Aristis]

Dory should at least become the biggest OW this year. This year is a bit boring yet... No big Openers, no big movies.

Deadpool will fall, I'm sure (If the weather doesn't turn out to be great)

1

713.887

523

1.365

Deadpool

 

But if Dory, FB and RO all disappoint - could this year end without any 6M+ movie??? The last time that happened was 2010, before that 1992, so that's clearly a rare phenomenon.

[efialtes76]

Weekend:

 

Bad Moms 190/235
Mag7 122,5 
The Purge 3 III 107,5 
SMS 105 
Nerve 90 
Snowden 70/87,5
Tschick 70 
Don't Breathe 60 
Pets 55 
Squad 30 
Conni 22,5

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Bad Moms	190.571	447	426	263.513	2.133.383	-	1
2	The Magnificent Seven	122.196	508	241	122.196	1.132.414	-	1
3	The Purge 3	108.396	371	292	391.369	3.309.203	-50	2
4	SMS für Dich	106.030	652	163	391.569	3.207.435	-39	2
5	Nerve	90.131	389	232	505.581	4.015.833	-43	3
6	Snowden	70.162	281	250	87.677	749.073	-	1
7	Tschick	69.055	566	122	243.336	1.882.381	-44	2
8	Don't Breathe	58.255	406	143	352.544	2.997.111	-44	3
9	The Secret Life of Pets	54.273	721	75	3.457.082	28.702.343	-59	9
10	Suicide Squad	28.766	400	72	1.565.167	16.216.016	-61	6
11	Conni & Co	22.589	621	36	406.722	2.543.815	-56	6
12	Pete's Dragon	16.719	499	34	224.643	1.667.432	-59	5
13	Schweinskopf al dente	14.181	200	71	474.868	3.628.257	-59	7
14	Toni Erdmann	12.878	179	72	624.292	5.566.877	-37	11
15	Ice Age 5	12.251	333	37	2.835.441	22.259.838	-60	13
16	Jason Bourne	11.196	179	63	914.028	8.055.737	-63	7
17	Captain Fantastic	10.302	164	63	189.569	1.384.346	-44	6
18	24 Wochen	10.110	100	101	18.755	132.066	-	1
19	Now You See Me 2	9.118	124	74	271.007	2.189.456	-51	5
20	Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates	8.333	290	29	341.078	2.683.689	-82	4

 

Bad drops and mediocre openings (except Snowden which did better than I expected) - another forgettable weekend in a long line this year …

 

Next weekend: There's only one story and that's the opening for Finding Dory. Everybody's looking forward to the end of the BO depression; I really hope Dory can fulfill this role. An opening in the 800k range seems possible even if Nemo was a long time ago; weather should not be a problem this time so family stuff as a whole might recover the ground it lost this weekend.

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Next weekend: There's only one story and that's the opening for Finding Dory. Everybody's looking forward to the end of the BO depression; I really hope Dory can fulfill this role. An opening in the 800k range seems possible even if Nemo was a long time ago; weather should not be a problem this time so family stuff as a whole might recover the ground it lost this weekend.

Dory is a hard one to predict. I would be OK with every weekend that is the biggest OW 2016. A 1M OW would be great but is probably too much to ask. Whatever, I'm looking forward

[Quigley]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Next weekend: There's only one story and that's the opening for Finding Dory. Everybody's looking forward to the end of the BO depression; I really hope Dory can fulfill this role. An opening in the 800k range seems possible even if Nemo was a long time ago; weather should not be a problem this time so family stuff as a whole might recover the ground it lost this weekend.

 

How big was Nemo's opening and total in admissions?

[IndustriousAngel]

Nemo had nearly 9mil admissions total from a 2mil opening weekend ... those were the times

[Aristis]

37 minutes ago, Quigley said:

 

How big was Nemo's opening and total in admissions?

2.032.136, 9th best OW of all time, second best for an animation (after Ice Age 2) - big footprints

[George Parr]

On 26.9.2016 at 9:29 AM, Giesi said:

FB has a shot at 5mil total, the fantasy fans are still out here and never underestimate them (look at Hobbit 2 &3)

I'm not so sure about RO anymore, it could finish with less than half of TFA's audience. I'm blaming the lack of connection to the original trilogy. On Friday they showed ANH on TV and it didn't exactly do a stellar job.

 

The 4595845th repeat of ANH isn't really something I would use as any hint of what Rogue One could do. It's not like the ratings were bad either.

 

Do you mean a lack of connection between Rogue One and the original trilogy, or a lack of connection between the general public and the old Star Wars movies?

I don't think the former fits to the rest of the post, so I'll assume it's the latter. Not that  I see a lack of connection to the original trilogy among the audience either. TFA got to 9 million admissions mostly because of its connection to those movies. People went to see it because of Han, Luke and Leia returning.

 

Rogue One won't have any of the 'big three', and it's not one of the regular episodes, which should cost it a bit. On the other hand, it couldn't be more connected to ANH, and it will have Vader in it. It's hard to say where this movie will end up, but I could definately see it land somewhere in the Episode II and III range.

[Quigley]

5 hours ago, Aristis said:

2.032.136, 9th best OW of all time, second best for an animation (after Ice Age 2) - big footprints

 

Wow, that is certainly a number Dory will struggle to live up to.

[Fullbuster]

9 minutes ago, Quigley said:

 

Wow, that is certainly a number Dory will struggle to live up to.

 

1m OW would be pretty huge these days..

[CoolK]

Finding Nemo is with 8.8 million visitors the most successful CGI animated film of all time . During the continuation Finds Dorie in the US may well compete with the regions of its predecessor, it was in many international markets for the sequel clearly down (for example in France of 9.5 million to 3.3 million and in Spain of 5, 0 million to 3.2 million visitors down). But in many countries, there was little distance Pets and IA5 , which is different in Germany, so I see at least 4.8 million visitors.

 

Insidekino expects close to 5m admissions total..that will translate to roughly 30mn euros ~ 33.7mn dollars

[Giesi]

9 hours ago, CoolK said:

Finding Nemo is with 8.8 million visitors the most successful CGI animated film of all time . During the continuation Finds Dorie in the US may well compete with the regions of its predecessor, it was in many international markets for the sequel clearly down (for example in France of 9.5 million to 3.3 million and in Spain of 5, 0 million to 3.2 million visitors down). But in many countries, there was little distance Pets and IA5 , which is different in Germany, so I see at least 4.8 million visitors.

 

Insidekino expects close to 5m admissions total..that will translate to roughly 30mn euros ~ 33.7mn dollars

5m adm should be around €40mio =  $45mio.

[Olive]

I'll be satisfied with 3M...

[Fullbuster]

10 hours ago, CoolK said:

Finding Nemo is with 8.8 million visitors the most successful CGI animated film of all time . During the continuation Finds Dorie in the US may well compete with the regions of its predecessor, it was in many international markets for the sequel clearly down (for example in France of 9.5 million to 3.3 million and in Spain of 5, 0 million to 3.2 million visitors down). But in many countries, there was little distance Pets and IA5 , which is different in Germany, so I see at least 4.8 million visitors.

 

Insidekino expects close to 5m admissions total..that will translate to roughly 30mn euros ~ 33.7mn dollars

 

More than enough to reach $1B

[Aristis]

Saturday, Sunday are predicted to have bad weather, Monday is a Holiday and it seems that there are some good early numbers.  Then Dory will be the only family movie in the Autumn-Holidays - I'm really faithfull now

[Quigley]

I'd like to see at least 2/3rds of the original (5.9M). But I guess at this point anything that takes it above $1B will do...