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9 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

DEAPOOL & WOLVERINE T-1 PRE-SALES COMPS

 

Despicable Me 4 (364%): R$9.8M

Inside Out 2 (72%): R$12.8M

GotG3 (636%): R$19.7M

Oppenheimer (734.2%): R$16.9M

Barbie (46.3%): R$10.5M

 

Pre-sales have slowed down a little since last time I tracked. To be clear I am not sure anymore on a possible R$90M opening anymore despite the Guardians of the Galaxy 3 comp pointing at one. The comps with IO2 and Barbie points out to an opening on the R$70M range, what would still be insane mind out, and it would be a top 5 opening of all time.

 

All in all, it will be a hard one to track since the 18+ rating makes it a little uncharted territory and makes the weekend legs really unpredictable.

This is funny.

In any other country, DM4 would have the highest comp but its lowest here.

I think Barbie might be good enough. So like 10 + 10 + 12 + 18 + 15 = 65

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This weekend's screen count:

 

- Deadpool & Wolverine: >2000 screens

- Teca e Tuti: 65 screens

- Wicked Little Letters: 60 screens

- Evil Does Not Exist: 22 screens

- Fausto: 9 screens

- Mungunzá: 5 screens

 

D&W Will have the third biggest rollout for a Disney movie (Behind IO2 and Endgame), and the biggest one for a 18+ movie.

 

Also, Warner confirmed to be re-releasing on brazilian theaters Tim Burton's Batman a week before Joker 2 and the original Beetlejuice a week before the sequel too.

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I went yesterday and for the first time I saw teenagers under 18 not being allowed in the cinema (16 ~ 18 are allowed with a parent and no one under 16 can see it). Not even in the first 2 Deadpools I saw that.

 

This will definitely limit the movie a bit.

Edited by UnapologeticKenny
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Mid-week box office (22-24 july)

 

1) Despicable Me 4: R$10.2M/   600k admissions

2) Deadpool & Wolverine: R$9.1M/   440k admissions (wednesday only)

3) Inside Out 2: R$7M/   530k admissions

4) Twisters: R$2.2M/   120k admissions

5) A Quiet Place-D1: R$1.5M/  80k admissions

 

Surprise surprise, Despicable Me 4 reached first place for the first (and probably only) time.

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Box office 25-28 july

  Movie Box Office (R$)             Change (%) Total (R$)    Admissions    Admissions total (Est)    Weeks
1 Deadpool & Wolverine 45.300.000 --- 54.530.000 1.960.000 2.410.000 1
2 Despicable Me 4 10.730.000

-44.7%

121.860.000 517.860 6.200.000 4
3

Inside Out 2

10.680.000 -36.2% 421.020.000 498.020 21.130.000 6
4 Twisters 910.000 -70.9% 12.880.000 40.740 572.000 3
5 A Quiet Place: Day One 420.000 -78.4% 28.680.000 17.560 1.410.000 5
6

Wicked Little Letters

210.000 --- 210.000 7.580 7.580 1
7 MaXXXine 70.000 -85.1% 2.690.000 3.940 138.500 3
8 Luccas e Gi em: Dinossauros 60.000 -87.7% 1.150.000 3.240 65.490 3
9 Evil Does Not Exist 40.000 --- 60.000 2.100

2.930

1
10 Kidnapped: The Abduction of Edgardo Mortara 40.000 --- 190.000

2.060

8.480

2

 

This weekend sold R$69M (nice) and 3M admissions, up 51% from last weekend.

 

D&W had the best opening for a movie with a 18+ rating (and also compared to the 16+ movies). The opening was slightly above The Batman's R$45M and tied on admissions, and up the R$30M opening of Joker. Also managed a spot as the 10th best opening of all time. Deadpool is in a weird spot where the opening was stupid high but at the same time is ok to be disapointed giving initial expectations. The first day of pre-sales was 3x higher than Barbie only to open with a bit more than half of Barbie's opening. But at the same time remember how rare it is for a blockbuster to get a 18+ rating in Brazil. That rating is way more strict and did hurt the movie's true potential.

 

Inside Out 2 lost quite a bit of screens and fell to third place, bellow DM4. It will probably still reach R$450M but I warn is not locked anymore. School vacations are over this week and we will see how this will impact both animated movies.

 

Rest of the list was rough with everyone making space for Deadpool.

 

Next weekend releases Tuesday, The Exorcism, Presença and the re-release of Estômago (Stomach).

Edited by ThatWaluigiDude
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14 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Box office 25-28 july

  Movie Box Office (R$)             Change (%) Total (R$)    Admissions    Admissions total (Est)    Weeks
1 Deadpool & Wolverine 45.300.000 --- 54.530.000 1.960.000 2.410.000 1
2 Despicable Me 4 10.730.000

-44.7%

121.860.000 517.860 6.200.000 4
3

Inside Out 2

10.680.000 -36.2% 421.020.000 498.020 21.130.000 6
4 Twisters 910.000 -70.9% 12.880.000 40.740 572.000 3
5 A Quiet Place: Day One 420.000 -78.4% 28.680.000 17.560 1.410.000 5
6

Wicked Little Letters

210.000 --- 210.000 7.580 7.580 1
7 MaXXXine 70.000 -85.1% 2.690.000 3.940 138.500 3
8 Luccas e Gi em: Dinossauros 60.000 -87.7% 1.150.000 3.240 65.490 3
9 Evil Does Not Exist 40.000 --- 60.000 2.100

2.930

1
10 Kidnapped: The Abduction of Edgardo Mortara 40.000 --- 190.000

2.060

8.480

2

 

This weekend sold R$69M (nice) and 3M admissions, up 51% from last weekend.

 

D&W had the best opening for a movie with a 18+ rating (and also compared to the 16+ movies). The opening was slightly above The Batman's R$45M and tied on admissions, and up the R$30M opening of Joker. Also managed a spot as the 10th best opening of all time. Deadpool is in a weird spot where the opening was stupid high but at the same time is ok to be disapointed giving initial expectations. The first day of pre-sales was 3x higher than Barbie only to open with a bit more than half of Barbie's opening. But at the same time remember how rare it is for a blockbuster to get a 18+ rating in Brazil. That rating is way more strict and did hurt the movie's true potential.

 

Inside Out 2 lost quite a bit of screens and fell to third place, bellow DM4. It will probably still reach R$450M but I warn is not locked anymore. School vacations are over this week and we will see how this will impact both animated movies.

 

Rest of the list was rough with everyone making space for Deadpool.

 

Next weekend releases Tuesday, The Exorcism, Presença and the re-release of Estômago (Stomach).


yeah the 18yo restriction in Brazil and Latin America seems to have a bigger than expected negative impact on D&W. Disney projected 10M for D&W in Brazil, the actuals shows 300K less (9.7M). Early projection on MX thread was 450M lc, then 370M, ended up being 352M lc. 
 

How how much this age restriction can affect D&W legs in Brazil?

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58 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

Box office 25-28 july

  Movie Box Office (R$)             Change (%) Total (R$)    Admissions    Admissions total (Est)    Weeks
1 Deadpool & Wolverine 45.300.000 --- 54.530.000 1.960.000 2.410.000 1
2 Despicable Me 4 10.730.000

-44.7%

121.860.000 517.860 6.200.000 4
3

Inside Out 2

10.680.000 -36.2% 421.020.000 498.020 21.130.000 6
4 Twisters 910.000 -70.9% 12.880.000 40.740 572.000 3
5 A Quiet Place: Day One 420.000 -78.4% 28.680.000 17.560 1.410.000 5
6

Wicked Little Letters

210.000 --- 210.000 7.580 7.580 1
7 MaXXXine 70.000 -85.1% 2.690.000 3.940 138.500 3
8 Luccas e Gi em: Dinossauros 60.000 -87.7% 1.150.000 3.240 65.490 3
9 Evil Does Not Exist 40.000 --- 60.000 2.100

2.930

1
10 Kidnapped: The Abduction of Edgardo Mortara 40.000 --- 190.000

2.060

8.480

2

 

This weekend sold R$69M (nice) and 3M admissions, up 51% from last weekend.

 

D&W had the best opening for a movie with a 18+ rating (and also compared to the 16+ movies). The opening was slightly above The Batman's R$45M and tied on admissions, and up the R$30M opening of Joker. Also managed a spot as the 10th best opening of all time. Deadpool is in a weird spot where the opening was stupid high but at the same time is ok to be disapointed giving initial expectations. The first day of pre-sales was 3x higher than Barbie only to open with a bit more than half of Barbie's opening. But at the same time remember how rare it is for a blockbuster to get a 18+ rating in Brazil. That rating is way more strict and did hurt the movie's true potential.

 

Inside Out 2 lost quite a bit of screens and fell to third place, bellow DM4. It will probably still reach R$450M but I warn is not locked anymore. School vacations are over this week and we will see how this will impact both animated movies.

 

Rest of the list was rough with everyone making space for Deadpool.

 

Next weekend releases Tuesday, The Exorcism, Presença and the re-release of Estômago (Stomach).

I’m seeing some slightly different numbers, no idea which one is correct:

 

 

TOP 10 ESTIMADO (25.07.2024 – 28.07.2024)

PO.

FILME

ARR.

ARR. T.

S. EM C.

P.S.A

1

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE

45.671.000

54.935.000

ESTREIA

-

2

DIVERTIDA MENTE 2

10.854.000

420.837.000

6

1

3

MEU MALVADO FAVORITO 4

10.758.000

121.950.000

4

2

4

TWISTERS

943.000

12.880.000

3

3

5

UM LUGAR SILENCIOSO - DIA UM

430.000

28.680.000

5

4

6

PEQUENAS CARTAS OBSCENAS   

221.000

221.000

ESTREIA

-

7

MAXXXINE

75.000

2.690.000

3

5

8

LUCCAS E GI EM: DINOSSAUROS

68.000

1.150.000

3

8

9

O SEQUESTRO DO PAPA

52.000

190.000

2

-

10

O MAL NÃO EXISTE

42.000

60.000

ESTREIA

-

PO – Posição; ARR. – Arrecadação; ARR. T. – Arrecadação total; S. Em C. – Semanas em cartaz; P.S.A. – Posição na semana anterior. Os filmes em preto são as estreias, os verdes são aqueles que subiram de posição, os vermelhos são aqueles que caíram de posição e os azuis são aqueles que permaneceram na mesma posição em relação à semana anterior.


 

For example, from Walugi’s numbers, Despicable Me 4 was second and Inside Out 2 is third, but the numbers I’m seeing actually Inside Out 2 is second and Despicable Me 4 is third, other than some slight different figures. 

Edited by ZattMurdock
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1 hour ago, ZattMurdock said:

I’m seeing some slightly different numbers, no idea which one is correct:

 

 

 

TOP 10 ESTIMADO (25.07.2024 – 28.07.2024)

PO.

FILME

ARR.

ARR. T.

S. EM C.

P.S.A

1

DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE

45.671.000

54.935.000

ESTREIA

-

2

DIVERTIDA MENTE 2

10.854.000

420.837.000

6

1

3

MEU MALVADO FAVORITO 4

10.758.000

121.950.000

4

2

4

TWISTERS

943.000

12.880.000

3

3

5

UM LUGAR SILENCIOSO - DIA UM

430.000

28.680.000

5

4

6

PEQUENAS CARTAS OBSCENAS   

221.000

221.000

ESTREIA

-

7

MAXXXINE

75.000

2.690.000

3

5

8

LUCCAS E GI EM: DINOSSAUROS

68.000

1.150.000

3

8

9

O SEQUESTRO DO PAPA

52.000

190.000

2

-

10

O MAL NÃO EXISTE

42.000

60.000

ESTREIA

-

PO – Posição; ARR. – Arrecadação; ARR. T. – Arrecadação total; S. Em C. – Semanas em cartaz; P.S.A. – Posição na semana anterior. Os filmes em preto são as estreias, os verdes são aqueles que subiram de posição, os vermelhos são aqueles que caíram de posição e os azuis são aqueles que permaneceram na mesma posição em relação à semana anterior.


 

For example, from Walugi’s numbers, Despicable Me 4 was second and Inside Out 2 is third, but the numbers I’m seeing actually Inside Out 2 is second and Despicable Me 4 is third, other than some slight different figures. 

There is 3 big trackers in Brazil, Ancine, Comscore and Filme B, this weekend I used the numbers from Comscore and it looks like this page is using Filme B. Sometimes these 3 might disagree, specially when the movie is going too big, and that is ok. Remember these are all estimates that will be adjusted later on. Anyway, when there is difference is rarely major.

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