AnDr3s Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 i think an increase in the 4 day weekend over last weekend could happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jiffy Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Elessar said: FRI 7.5m SAT 15m SUN 12.5m Is there precedent for a film grossing this much having a 100% Saturday increase on a 4-day weekend? Idk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jiffy said: Is there precedent for a film grossing this much having a 100% Saturday increase on a 4-day weekend? Idk. No way home jumped 67% last year. Avatar jumped 66%. Rogue one jumped 77%. So I can't feasibly see a 100% increase, maybe the upper limit is something like 85% but that's only with a big over performance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Jiffy said: Is there precedent for a film grossing this much having a 100% Saturday increase on a 4-day weekend? Idk. Jumanji jumped 186% on Friday during MLK weekend and another 96% jump on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I'm most interested in seeing how large a bump this will get from Thursday to Friday. It should be able to do over +100%, but I think a good goal would be a NWH jump which would give it 7.35 off a 3m Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Borobudur said: Jumanji jumped 186% on Friday during MLK weekend and another 96% jump on Saturday. Jumanji was a big weekend movie in January tbf, it was regularly jumping 200% and more. I think the peak for a Thursday-Friday jump for Avatar is right around 170%, just a tad above 8m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 3.2m 19 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaFlexi Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Interesting, hoping actuals will be around 3.5 as on monday. 3.5 today and tomorrown would be 15 million for the weekdays. With a 45million+ MLK weekend would bring it to 575+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
todos Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Pfft my own meltdown if it drops below 3 actual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I hope Puss in Boots is above $825K for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Right within expectations. Feels like it needs 3.2M thursday atleast for 8M Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just seen that Lyle Lyle Crocodile is up to $146.3m. Didn’t realise it had such a delayed international release. Still has Asia to come. Looks like it’ll be headed for over $200m. Double what Clifford did. That’s good on a $50m budget. A win for Sony. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaFlexi Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 charlie jatinder be like -drop 3 numbers without context that are all closer than estimates -leaves for the rest of the day i don't know how he gets his information but thank you Charlie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeadPeople1 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Krissykins said: Just seen that Lyle Lyle Crocodile is up to $146.3m. Didn’t realise it had such a delayed international release. Still has Asia to come. Looks like it’ll be headed for over $200m. Double what Clifford did. That’s good on a $50m budget. A win for Sony. Jeez. I forgot that this thing came out at all. That’s honestly not bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3.2 would be basically the same Tuesday to Wednesday drop as last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 I am hoping a better number in actual, if not we can't close the week-to-week drop leading up to weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 hours ago, DaFlexi said: charlie jatinder be like -drop 3 numbers without context that are all closer than estimates -leaves for the rest of the day i don't know how he gets his information but thank you Charlie! He has directish access, hence why his numbers trend closer to the final than the others when looking at 1 chain or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tokugennumataka Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Borobudur said: I am hoping a better number in actual, if not we can't close the week-to-week drop leading up to weekend. It doesn't have to close the drop. Fri jump will be twice as much as last week's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 On 1/10/2023 at 9:28 AM, M37 said: Off a ~$3.4 Monday, I've got: $4.8/$3.6/$3.6 // $7.5/$14/$10.5/$8 For a $32-33M 3-day (9x), ~$40M 4-day (11x+). Really going to have to feast on Sat/Sun (+Tue), but 3 weeks of NFL Playoffs & Super Bowl will likely apply some downward pressure on those days, before Titanic steals PLFs and Quantamania steals its thunder Having a difficult time seeing an $8M+ Fri and $35M weekend for Avatwo off these weekday numbers (even presuming the actual for Wed is closer to $3.4M). Still thinking its heading towards lower $30Ms for the weekend, but a fair amount of assumptions baked into that math, as we don't yet have a "normal" week for a baseline, and even this weekend will be holiday impacted a bit on Friday and especially Sun & Mon, into Tue 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 (edited) I’ve got it high 20s but so far I’ve been like 15% low on avatar holdover wknds on avg so 🤷♂️ Spoiler Legion thinking 27/.85~=32 real Edited January 12, 2023 by Legion in Boots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
