ELEMENTAL | 342.0M overseas | 496.4M worldwide

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[pepsa]

24 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

Elemental vs TGD:

 

TGD didn't get released in china so that just extra.

 

SK: after it's second weekend it has already outgrossed TGD by $1.4m

 

Mexico: bad start for Elemental, was hopping for 100lc, should still match TGD total of $13.2m, should be able to 3x OW for atleast $13.8m.

 

Argentina: Opened to $1m last weekend, $1.1m less than TGD, this week it added another $2m, closing the gap to $500k with TGD.

 

France: opened 500k lower than TGD, TGD had very good legs in France so it might be hard to match but shoudn't be far off.

 

Australia: it's bad, it's very bad, opened to $1.1m last weekend, atleast it held well but had to see it gross more than $6m, way below $10m of TGD.

 

Italy: it opened 200k below TGD should be able to match the $6.45m in the end.

 

Germany: It opened 500k higher than TGD, with cooler tempratures next week it should help boxoffice out and $10m seems doable vs $5.5m TGD.

 

Brazil: Well this is just very very bad, only opening to $1.5m, TGD made $11.9m in Brazil, it should make half of that but anything over 4x multi is just guess work / hoping.

Edited June 25, 2023 by pepsa

[Issac Newton]

Overseas / global

Elemental declined only -18% in overseas holdover markets, which still only takes its earnings up to $55.6M overseas and $121.1M globally.

Here’s how that compares to the global totals for Pixar’s most recent theatrical releases:

• 2022’s Lightyear ($218.7M)
• March 2020’s pandemic-curtailed Onward ($133.3M)
• December 2020’s Soul, which only received a theatrical release in select overseas markets ($118.7M)

Elemental’s top five overseas market totals are:

1. China ($11.1M)
2. South Korea ($9.6M)
3. Mexico ($4.6M)
4. Argentina ($3.1M)
5. France ($2.7M)

In particular, the China gross looks to fall far short of that earned by 2017’s Coco ($177.8M).

[AniNate]

Coco OS numbers aren't happening, but as long as it doesn't totally tank in any other big markets I think hitting like 300 overseas isn't impossible. Seems to have much better audience reception than Good Dinosaur and Lightyear, which I don't think even got China releases so anything they add here will help with the comparison.  

Edited June 26, 2023 by AniNate

[Issac Newton]

On 6/23/2023 at 10:00 PM, Issac Newton said:

18K admits Peru THU

120K OW

[JustLurking]

On 6/25/2023 at 6:36 PM, pepsa said:

Elemental vs TGD:

 

TGD didn't get released in china so that just extra.

 

SK: after it's second weekend it has already outgrossed TGD by $1.4m

 

Mexico: bad start for Elemental, was hopping for 100lc, should still match TGD total of $13.2m, should be able to 3x OW for atleast $13.8m.

 

Argentina: Opened to $1m last weekend, $1.1m less than TGD, this week it added another $2m, closing the gap to $500k with TGD.

 

France: opened 500k lower than TGD, TGD had very good legs in France so it might be hard to match but shoudn't be far off.

 

Australia: it's bad, it's very bad, opened to $1.1m last weekend, atleast it held well but had to see it gross more than $6m, way below $10m of TGD.

 

Italy: it opened 200k below TGD should be able to match the $6.45m in the end.

 

Germany: It opened 500k higher than TGD, with cooler tempratures next week it should help boxoffice out and $10m seems doable vs $5.5m TGD.

 

Brazil: Well this is just very very bad, only opening to $1.5m, TGD made $11.9m in Brazil, it should make half of that but anything over 4x multi is just guess work / hoping.

It's not matching TGD in italy imho. These aren't good months for BO over here.

[AniNate]

How do they compare to Coco's starts? Hoping it can stay like within half of that movie's pattern worldwide.

[kayumanggi]

On 6/25/2023 at 11:35 PM, Grebacio said:

In which markets hasn't open yet?

 

07.06 Hong Kong

07.07 UK, Finland

07.12 Netherlands

07.14 Spain, Poland

08.04 Japan

 

These are from BOM and IMDB.

[salvador-232]

23 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

120K OW

Coco 176k

Good Dinosaur 192k 

 

Coco ended with 1,6M admissions but that was a WOM phenomenon that stayed in the top 10 for 17 weeks. No idea about final total for TGD, Mojo has a 3,77x multiplier in gross though. Winter's Holidays in Perú are still a month away. 

[salvador-232]

Chile OW: $585,440 (Coco $544,163 OW | 10M USD total - The Good Dinosaur $477,359 OW | 3M USD total)

 

Very underwhelming though it may have been deflated by floods and heavy rain in central Chile and Santiago. 

 

However, Winter's Holidays start this weekend, so it should increase and have huge weekdays for the next 2 weeks. Standard multiplier for animation is 6x, a bit higher with Winter's Holidays boost. 4M USD could be doable with good WOM, which would be respectable total.

 

Edited June 27, 2023 by salvador-232

[AniNate]

Seems to be sprouting legs in Australia as well, weekly take went from 1.27 USD to 1.81 USD

[pepsa]

11 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Seems to be sprouting legs in Australia as well, weekly take went from 1.27 USD to 1.81 USD

School holidays are starting, next week another big region has schools out so it should do even better.

[flavi02000]

On 6/26/2023 at 9:29 PM, kayumanggi said:

 

07.06 Hong Kong

07.07 UK, Finland

07.12 Netherlands

07.14 Spain, Poland

08.04 Japan

 

These are from BOM and IMDB.

Just adding some that i notice

07.06 Taiwan

07.07 Ireland

07.13 Portugal

from Letterboxd

 

[pepsa]

It is completely breaking out in South Korea: last week we saw a measly weekend to weekend (FSS) increase of 18%, this friday will be up atleast 40% over last week, probably closer to 50%. Yeah it has a good shot at increasing more than 50% over it's 2nd weekend that itself increased 18% over OW. I have no clue what's happening..

[upriser7]

This should have a great hold internationally this weekend. Very minimal drops in various markets and even increase in some markets when compared to last weekend 

[kayumanggi]

On 6/30/2023 at 2:41 PM, pepsa said:

It is completely breaking out in South Korea: last week we saw a measly weekend to weekend (FSS) increase of 18%, this friday will be up atleast 40% over last week, probably closer to 50%. Yeah it has a good shot at increasing more than 50% over it's 2nd weekend that itself increased 18% over OW. I have no clue what's happening..

 

It resonates to them the most. This is their story.

[kayumanggi]

On 6/23/2023 at 9:15 PM, kayumanggi said:

15.9M overseas | 59.3M worldwide

 

56.2M overseas | 137.0M worldwide

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[pepsa]

Elemental vs TGD, WEEK 3:

 

SK up to $17.3m after a $7.7m week, increasing more than 30% week to week and up 38% on FSS. Already up $9.2m vs TGD, looking like it will beat it by over $30m.

 

Mexico: After no being able to open to 100m lc last week (only 80m lc), it had a great week and added another $5.2m (89mish lc), totaling $9.9m. Only need $3.35m more to match TGD. It will probably clear $18m confidently. (up $5m from TGD).

 

Argentina: Added another $900k for a $4m total, down 10% on last weekend. With school holidays comming up it's looking good for atleast $7.5m, $10m very doable. TGD only made $5.35m so might gain $4.5m on it.

 

France: Elemental added another $3.4m to $6.1m, still $400k behind TGD closing the gap by $100k. TGD ended it's run with $18.05m, still looking hard to beat but possible. Might come short a few milion USD.

 

Australia: After a $1.1m OW and a $1.1m full second week, it added $2.2m this week doubeling it's previous total. TGD made $10.3m in total. After an OW of $1.1m it seemed impossible to match that but with an amazing week and more school being out the comming week it might be close to $7m by next weekend and matching TGD seems possible now.

 

Italy: It added another $2.1m this week, the weekend was down only 13% from last weeks FSS. Elemental was behind $300k last week and is now ahead by $100k. TGD finished with $6.45m, Elemental should atleast match that, might gain a $1m on it in the end.

 

Germany: It added another $2.2m this week totaling $4m. Admission increased 19% over last weekend. Elemental opened $500k higher and extended its lead to $1.5m. TGD ended with $5.6m, Elemental should be aiming for atleast $10m + so another $5m over TGD.

 

Brazil: After a terrible OW of $1.5m Elemental added $2.5m this week for at total of $4m, increasing on the weekend (quite rare in Brazil). TGD finished its run with $11.9m, will be hard to match but if next weekend can stay close to flat or increase it might have a shot. Might lose $2-3m here.

 

Colombia: Opened to $980k last week, added another $1.4m this week for a total of $2.4m Increasing over last weekend. Just shy $400k from TGD total of $2.8m. Should also gain a $2-3m on TGD in the end.

 

It's clearly beating TGD that ended up making $209m OS-China. Adding china gets up to $225m and this movie should try to get $75m more than TGD for an OS total of $300m (will need a decent UK, Spain and Japan for this) meaning WW we might be looking at $430m. Obviously it only dropped 5% OS from last weekend and if it keeps holding this insanely higher is definitly possible but curently a total a bit over $400m seems where it's headed.

Edited July 2, 2023 by pepsa