ELEMENTAL | 342.0M overseas | 496.4M worldwide

[AniNate]

This is why I've been thinking about Coco being a more apt comparison than TGD. Seems like it has the same kind of global thematic resonance that movie had even though it's had Good Dinosaur level openings. I can see a similar DOM/OS split happening which would get it well over 400m WW, with Korea picking up the slack of a weak China performance here.

 

 

Edited July 2, 2023 by AniNate

[cannastop]

35 minutes ago, pepsa said:

will need a decent UK, Spain and Japan

Biggest question is Japan. Could be borked by a September Disney plus release. Or it could bomb outright 

[KP1025]

14 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Biggest question is Japan. Could be borked by a September Disney plus release. Or it could bomb outright 

 

They should just delay the Disney+ date for Japan only to account for its late theatrical release. It's pretty common for streaming platforms to have different accessibility to content depending on region.

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

Give me the 30:70 DOM:OS split

[Issac Newton]

Several markets saw increases including Korea (+41%), Australia (+39%), Germany (+18%), Brazil (+15%) and France (+5%) as well as Austria (+26%), Belgium (+19%), Switzerland (+12%), Malaysia (+12%), Czech Rep (+12%), Vietnam (+8%) and Peru (+1%).

[Landon1195]

Is it possible that it beats Across the Spider-Verse overseas?

[AniNate]

 

6 hours ago, Landon1195 said:

Is it possible that it beats Across the Spider-Verse overseas?

 

Now that you mention it seems very possible. Spiderverse has already released in most major markets and doesn't seem it's gaining as much traction.

Edited July 3, 2023 by AniNate

[cannastop]

6 hours ago, Landon1195 said:

Is it possible that it beats Across the Spider-Verse overseas?

 

8 minutes ago, AniNate said:

 

 

Now that you mention it seems very possible. Spiderverse has already released in most major markets and doesn't seem it's gaining as much traction.

We still have a long ways to go for Elemental $300 million OS.

 

Maybe there will be an outsized performance in Japan though. That's the biggest hope maybe.

[JWR]

20 hours ago, pepsa said:

Elemental vs TGD, WEEK 3:

 

SK up to $17.3m after a $7.7m week, increasing more than 30% week to week and up 38% on FSS. Already up $9.2m vs TGD, looking like it will beat it by over $30m.

 

Mexico: After no being able to open to 100m lc last week (only 80m lc), it had a great week and added another $5.2m (89mish lc), totaling $9.9m. Only need $3.35m more to match TGD. It will probably clear $18m confidently. (up $5m from TGD).

 

Argentina: Added another $900k for a $4m total, down 10% on last weekend. With school holidays comming up it's looking good for atleast $7.5m, $10m very doable. TGD only made $5.35m so might gain $4.5m on it.

 

France: Elemental added another $3.4m to $6.1m, still $400k behind TGD closing the gap by $100k. TGD ended it's run with $18.05m, still looking hard to beat but possible. Might come short a few milion USD.

 

Australia: After a $1.1m OW and a $1.1m full second week, it added $2.2m this week doubeling it's previous total. TGD made $10.3m in total. After an OW of $1.1m it seemed impossible to match that but with an amazing week and more school being out the comming week it might be close to $7m by next weekend and matching TGD seems possible now.

 

Italy: It added another $2.1m this week, the weekend was down only 13% from last weeks FSS. Elemental was behind $300k last week and is now ahead by $100k. TGD finished with $6.45m, Elemental should atleast match that, might gain a $1m on it in the end.

 

Germany: It added another $2.2m this week totaling $4m. Admission increased 19% over last weekend. Elemental opened $500k higher and extended its lead to $1.5m. TGD ended with $5.6m, Elemental should be aiming for atleast $10m + so another $5m over TGD.

 

Brazil: After a terrible OW of $1.5m Elemental added $2.5m this week for at total of $4m, increasing on the weekend (quite rare in Brazil). TGD finished its run with $11.9m, will be hard to match but if next weekend can stay close to flat or increase it might have a shot. Might lose $2-3m here.

 

Colombia: Opened to $980k last week, added another $1.4m this week for a total of $2.4m Increasing over last weekend. Just shy $400k from TGD total of $2.8m. Should also gain a $2-3m on TGD in the end.

 

It's clearly beating TGD that ended up making $209m OS-China. Adding china gets up to $225m and this movie should try to get $75m more than TGD for an OS total of $300m (will need a decent UK, Spain and Japan for this) meaning WW we might be looking at $430m. Obviously it only dropped 5% OS from last weekend and if it keeps holding this insanely higher is definitly possible but curently a total a bit over $400m seems where it's headed.

 

Probably the best scenario Pixar could have hoped for. The movie clearly had staying power and is resonating with audiences. It shows that the Pixar brand still has pull with families. Feels like a movie that will perform extremely well on Disney+ and have a good shelf life on home video.

 

But more importantly, I feel that the goodwill from Elemental bodes well for Elio and Inside Out 2.

[TalismanRing]

Elemental has caught some fire in the past two weekends, grossing $29.8M from 40 offshore markets this session to lift the international cume to $98M and global to $187M. The offshore drop was just -7%; when excluding China it’s just -3%. Several markets saw increases including Korea (+41%), Australia (+39%), Germany (+18%), Brazil (+15%) and France (+5%) as well as Austria (+26%), Belgium (+19%), Switzerland (+12%), Malaysia (+12%), Czech Rep (+12%), Vietnam (+8%) and Peru (+1%).

The Top 5 markets to date are Korea ($17.3M), China ($14M), Mexico ($9.9M), France ($6.1M) and Australia ($4.4M). Still to come are the UK and Spain this month and Japan in August.

 

https://deadline.com/2023/07/indiana-jones-and-the-dial-of-destiny-elemental-spider-man-across-the-spider-verse-china-global-international-box-office-1235427838/

[upriser7]

It also seems to be having an excellent leggy run in Australia.

 

Wk1: $1.92M

Wk2: $2.73M (+41%)

Wk3: $4.54M (+65%)

 

The weekly increase % here is even bigger than Korea. 3rd weekend was 2.03M but weekdays were even stronger at 2.5M....maybe some sort of holidays started this week I guess ?

Edited July 6, 2023 by upriser7

[pepsa]

7 minutes ago, upriser7 said:

It also seems to be having an excellent leggy run in Australia.

 

Wk1: $1.92M

Wk2: $2.73M (+41%)

Wk3: $4.54M (+65%)

 

The weekly increase % here is even bigger than Korea. 3rd weekend was 2.03M but weekdays were even stronger at 2.5M....maybe some sort of holidays started this week I guess ?

School has been out starting early last week, more schools got out this week. This should be it's strongest week/weekend, weeks after some regions schools will be starting again.

 

EDIT: And with this week I mean 3/07 - 09/07 (or 07/03 - 07/09 for Americans I guess), however weekdays should still be boosted 2 weeks more after this sunday only not at much.

Edited July 6, 2023 by pepsa

[kayumanggi]

 

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

14 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

65m is a bold claim before seeing how it does against competition, but I'd love to see it

[AniNate]

Anything better than Inside Out is gravy, just have to hope the rest of the world comes through as well. Would be a nice story if this could come back from such a historically terrible start to be an undeniable success.

 

 

Edited July 7, 2023 by AniNate

[kayumanggi]

If this explodes in Japan, it might breakeven.

[pepsa]

3 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

If this explodes in Japan, it might breakeven.

Actualy true! Fingers crossed that it does

[kayumanggi]

On 7/2/2023 at 7:14 PM, kayumanggi said:

 

56.2M overseas | 137.0M worldwide

 

98.4M overseas | 198.0M worldwide

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[upriser7]

Fantastic hold internationally again. I was worried looking at the drop in Germany but it looks like it held up really well in other markets