interiorgatordecorator Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 27 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said: Maybe it's just me but I feel like MCU 2025 will be a repeat of DCEU 2023 where all 4 films flop pretty insane that the dceu released 4 movies in its final year of existence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Train Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 (edited) 4 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said: Joker? I don’t count Joker as a Superhero movie personally. Edited January 1 by Bob Train 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Joker 2 will be the biggest CBM of 2024 and Deadpool 3 will be the biggest superhero movie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
martin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 hour ago, HummingLemon496 said: It won't pass Ant-Man 3's $476M WW. I thinking like $120M+ domestic total so right around Spider-Verse's opening weekend U always jinx something not into a yes,now i can't wait for aquaman2 to passing quantumania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 hours ago, Eric Wonka said: Genuinely up there with one of the worst ad campaigns ever. Even the second trailer, which actually advertised it as a comedy, had zero laughs whatsoever. Maybe it’s legging because of rock bottom expectations? That it wasn’t total garbage, which means that is good enough? It’s wild. I saw the movie the other day and honestly found it pretty forgettable (though I remain convinced Powell is someone who would've been a certified movie star in another era - clearly not this one - still waiting for that one role that really makes good use of talents because he's bound to be overshadowed by CGI tornadoes in the Twister not-sequel?/not-remake?/not-reboot? as well), but my decent-sized crowd for a Friday afternoon chuckled quite a bit. I guess the lack of a true 4-quad blockbuster this holiday season (Wonka's doing very well but isn't coming close to setting any records, Migration is also filling a family-friendly niche but not a big one, Aquaman is only slightly less embarrassing on the "how the mighty have fallen" scale than The Marvels was, The Color Purple has ended up being a one day wonder) allowed it to not get totally lost in the shuffle despite how dumpy the marketing campaign was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 7 minutes ago, martin said: U always jinx something not into a yes,now i can't wait for aquaman2 to passing quantumania. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 52 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said: Maybe it's just me but I feel like MCU 2025 will be a repeat of DCEU 2023 where all 4 films flop Probably. Cap 4 is totally impossible to not be a flop now with a likely 350m+ budget and no Chris Evans to boot. Thunderbolts is like a Black Widow spin off no one asked for. F4 has never translated to film before so they are already fighting a pretty big uphill battle there. And Blade… idk, oddly enough it seems like more of a niche IP now than during the OGs. I think Snipes reprising the role about 10 years ago was the way to elicit excitement for a new Blade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 The only 2025 MCU movie I can see breaking even is Blade because it will actually have a reasonable budget, reportedly under $100M. Fantastic Four could to if the cast is as stacked as it appears to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Ugly day today based on what I can see. Wonka/Migration dropping low 40s and Aquabro dropping 50% !! Hopefully movies held better elsewhere. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 (edited) Aquaman's Tuesday will be the trial by fire. Remember when Avatar did $10M+ and then everyone freaked out Edited January 1 by HummingLemon496 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Ugly day today based on what I can see. Wonka/Migration dropping low 40s and Aquabro dropping 50% !! Hopefully movies held better elsewhere. Don't most movies have harsh drops on New Years Eve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 How much will Aquaman's New Years Day actually increase from New Year's Eve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, HummingLemon496 said: How much will Aquaman's New Years Day actually increase from New Year's Eve? +400% because Aquaman is just that guy 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
martin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 50 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Ugly day today based on what I can see. Wonka/Migration dropping low 40s and Aquabro dropping 50% !! Hopefully movies held better elsewhere. It's expected ,Aquaman 1 drop 55% Good hold from wonka Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 TBH, seeing how dry January is has me thinking Aquaman probably could leg out past $120M. Not saying it's a guarantee or anything, but it's not impossible at all. If Deadline is correct with that $150M number, I can see it rivaling Ant-Man 3's total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 (edited) $150M domestic total is definitely not happening Edited January 1 by HummingLemon496 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallas Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 53 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said: $150M domestic total is definitely not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 There is nothing in Aquaman worth it a 5.5x multi to 150m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 (edited) If it's at ~$87M by EOD Tuesday and follows the original from there that would give it a $135M total. Even if it's at ~$85M by EOD Monday and follows Across the Spider-Verse from there (which had absolutely great word of mouth) that takes it to a $139M total. In fact Pitch Perfect 3 is a great comp, also released on December 22. Aquaman needs 5.42x for $150M. Pitch Perfect 3 did 5.26x. Aquaman was 139% of Pitch Perfect 3 by the end of opening weekend, but now it's 123% of Pitch Perfect 3 by the end of second Sunday assuming the $77.845M figure is accurate. It is trailing behind PP3, which suggests a multiplier lower than 5.26x, therefore placing it below $150M. In fact Pitch Perfect 3 adjusted is a great comp (here). If it really drops 50% on the 31st and then rises ~40% on New Years Day, that would give it a ~$81.6M total by EOD Monday, which is just 2% ahead of PP3's $80.02M adjusted total by then, even though the opening weekend was 18-19% ahead of Pitch Perfect 3's adjusted opening weekend, showing its trailing behind and will most likely end below PP3's adjusted $123.14M total. Being generous and assuming $123.14M domestic total, 38/62 split without China, and then ~$65M in China (yup), that would take it to ~$389M WW: 1% below Black Adam, 18% below Black Adam WW-China, and 18% below Quantumania's $476M. But as someone who thought this could go below Dark Phoenix's $252M I gotta say it surpassed my expectations and I underestimated the power of December holidays. So. . .$150M domestic (and correspondingly passing Quantumania's $476M WW) is: Edited January 1 by HummingLemon496 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
martin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I'm not reading whatever long letter happen above this post. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
