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YM!

2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

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Posted (edited)
  1. Avatar 3 - $155m/$625m
  2. Minecraft - $130m/$415m
  3. Jurassic City - $145m/$400m
  4. Zootopia 2 - $100m five day/$370m
  5. Superman - $125m/$335m
  6. Passion 2 🤢 - $135m/$300m
  7. Michael - $95m/$280m
  8. How to Train Your Dragon - $75m/$250m
  9. Fantastic Four - $85m/$240m
  10. Mission Impossible 8 - $70m/$215m

Behold my way too early top ten

Edited by YM!
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Posted (edited)

Don't want to look further than Q1 at this point but it does look a lot better revenue wise than 24:

 

Random dom predicts for Jan-April:

 

Paddington 3 - $50mil

Dog Man - $80mil

Brave New World - $250mil

Smurfs - $110mil

Grilled Cheese - $130mil

Fast XI - $140mil

Minecraft - $150mil

Michael - $200mil

 

 

Edited by AniNate
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I'm interested to see the animation in Dog Man.

 

I know the superhero genre is not the same anymore but I have a very good feeling about Superman. I'm very high on it. Gunn just never fails to disappoint me and I think Superman will be such a classic summer tentpole with a classic Superman story.

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13 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Don't want to look further than Q1 at this point but it does look a lot better revenue wise than 24:

 

Random dom predicts for Jan-April:

 

Paddington 3 - $50mil

Dog Man - $80mil

Brave New World - $250mil

Smurfs - $110mil

Grilled Cheese - $130mil

Fast XI - $140mil

Minecraft - $150mil

Michael - $200mil

 

 

Which is Grilled cheese?

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I think Dog Man has potential to be the biggest of the January-February family films due to the book’s popularity.

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12 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Don't want to look further than Q1 at this point but it does look a lot better revenue wise than 24:

 

Random dom predicts for Jan-April:

 

Paddington 3 - $50mil

Dog Man - $80mil

Brave New World - $250mil

Smurfs - $110mil

Grilled Cheese - $130mil

Fast XI - $140mil

Minecraft - $150mil

Michael - $200mil

 

 

Fast XI is so getting delayed to later in the year. Maybe August or October.

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17 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Don't want to look further than Q1 at this point but it does look a lot better revenue wise than 24:

 

Random dom predicts for Jan-April:

 

Paddington 3 - $50mil

Dog Man - $80mil

Brave New World - $250mil

Smurfs - $110mil

Grilled Cheese - $130mil

Fast XI - $140mil

Minecraft - $150mil

Michael - $200mil

 

 

Fast XI does not even start shooting until 25 according to Tyreese so that will probably 26 I would assume.

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1. Avatar 3: $2B

2. Minecraft: $1B

3. The Resurrection Of Christ: $1B 

4. Michael: $1B

5.  Wicked 2: $850M

6.  Jurassic World 4: $750M

7. Zootopia 2: $750M 

8. MI8: $650M

9. How To Train Your Dragon: $650M

10. Superman: $550M

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I have Wicked 1 blowing up and then Wicked 2 peterring off mainly because the great stuff people love in the musical happens in Part One. 

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2 hours ago, justnumbers said:

I'm actually expecting an increase in Mission Impossible 8. 

 

650M-750M

Why? You need to see Part 1 to understand Part 2 and there are people who didn't enjoy part 1 and they'll not come back for Part 2

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Yeah I imagine something's gonna move, I don't take territorial claims that seriously when they're more than a year out

 

Fall season still looks rather spare even though it has some big franchise titans, and it also looks like Disney is the only studio that's laid much of a claim there, I'm sure some of the summer stuff will get bumped

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Some broad predictions:

This is going off of current dates and is not a say on quality.

 

The Wolfman breaks out while M3GAN 2 gets crushed in May.

Cap BMW is positioned in a smart place but controversies and potholes surround it. If the reshoots work It will  be a decent success.

 

I don't think passion 2 does as big as the 1st. 

 

I think micheal is the ultimate wildcard it could be a massive hit or a massive bomb that finally kills Lionsgate 

 

From what I've heard plot-wise paramount has made a perfect counter-programming play with what Trey Parker, Matt Stone and Kendrick Lamar are doing. But they're screwing over the naked gun remake by putting that in the same month.

 

Marvel can really pull off a strong marketing campaign for FF. ESPECIALLY if the last of us season 2 comes out in early 2025 ( THAT MOMENT is happening in the show)

 

The duel between FF and Superman will be the most talked about duel on the forms.

 

Angel studios does well for the year. But take their first big L with David.

 

Avatar 3 suffers another drop. Not enough to cancel the franchise or be a bomb. But enough that Disney starts to reign James Cameron and his vision in.

 

 

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