2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

July 18, 2025

I KNOW WHAT YOU DID LAST SUMMER

[justnumbers]

Also new Insidious movie on August 29th 2025

[kayumanggi]

01.10 DEN OF THIEVES: PANTERA [Lionsgate]

[Insomnia]

What a weird date for Five Nights at Freddy's 2... I don't like that at all. They probably feel like they have nowhere else to put it as next year's schedule is looking like the first truly healthy slate since before covid.

[AniNate]

Halloween is completely open and on a Friday next year and the first movie was incredibly front loaded anyway, so I don't see why they're not putting it there. I actually don't think 2025 looks all that impressive right now, aside from a somewhat healthier Q1 lineup and a few Disney IP behemoths. May looks almost as blah as this year

 

If we got a Spiderverse date that would help

 

 

 

Edited June 11 by AniNate

[Insomnia]

7 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Halloween is completely open and on a Friday next year and the first movie was incredibly front loaded anyway, so I don't see why they're not putting it there. I actually don't think 2025 looks all that impressive right now, aside from a somewhat healthier Q1 lineup and a few Disney IP behemoths. May looks almost as blah as this year

 

If we got a Spiderverse date that would help

 

 

 

You're right in terms of the "top end talent" next year but it looks the most healthy in years in terms of volume to me, which is a sticking point I have when talking about the health of the industry. People need choices every weekend again (some weekends are going to bare as they always have been, but you know what I mean). That's something people.have complained about when it comes to movies that we're not really talking about - not having many choices. I've especially heard this from older people who do still want to go to the movies but don't feel like they have much to choose from.

[WittyUsername]

1 hour ago, AniNate said:

Halloween is completely open and on a Friday next year and the first movie was incredibly front loaded anyway, so I don't see why they're not putting it there. I actually don't think 2025 looks all that impressive right now, aside from a somewhat healthier Q1 lineup and a few Disney IP behemoths. May looks almost as blah as this year

 

If we got a Spiderverse date that would help

 

 

 

It doesn’t seem like Spider-Verse is making it to 2025, but maybe Spider-Man 4 can. 

[Flip]

On 5/3/2024 at 4:58 PM, Flip said:

My list right now (DOM):

 

1. Avatar 3 (140/715)

2. Zootopia 2 *5-day OW (160/440)

3. Superman Legacy (148/410)

4. Michael (102/345

5. Passion of the Christ 2 (90/325)

6. Fantastic Four (110/300)

7. Snow White (93/281)

8. Mission Impossible 8 (85/255)

9. Jurassic World 4? (97/250)

10. Minecraft (94/235)

11. Blade (80/215)

12. Fast X (70/170)

13. Elio (49/168)

14. Captain America 4 (64/163)

15. Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 (86/154)

 

 

a lot of these movies I need to see trailers for before making an estimate (Kendrick movie, Karate Kid, Mickey 17, Dog Man, dirty dancing) and some like Wicked part 2 are dependent on how the installment that hasn’t been released yet does.

Update:

1. Avatar 3 (146/710)

2. Zootopia 2 *5-day OW (165/440)

3. Superman Legacy (148/415)

4. Michael (110/365)

5. Passion of the Christ 2 (95/330)

6. Fantastic Four (115/305)

7. Mission Impossible 8 (87/275)

8. Snow White (86/260)

9. Jurassic World 4 (90/225)

10. Minecraft (85/210)

11. Blade (75/200)

12. Elio (48/175)

13. Captain America 4 (67/167)

14. Spongebob (35/155)

15. Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 (80/150)

16. Dirty Dancing 2 (45/145)

17. Karate Kid (47/142)

18. Thunderbolts (55/137)

19. HTTYD (45/120)

20. M3GAN 2.0 (40/115)

21. Bad Guys 2 (33/114)

22. Mickey 17 (25/90)

23. Brad Pitt F1 (35/88)

24. Tron Ares (35/86)

25. Black Phone 2 (30/85)

 

Other stuff:

Paddington 3 (23/70)

Saw XI (26/73)

Ballerina (30/84)

Smurfs (23/75)

 

 

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, Flip said:

2. Zootopia 2 *5-day OW (165/440)

Seems a bit front loaded for a Thanksgiving opener, but I guess Avatar 3 could cut some legs.

 

5 minutes ago, Flip said:

12. Elio (48/175)

This would be pretty nifty. Plausible legs too.

[KnightofNight237]

17 minutes ago, Flip said:

3. Superman Legacy (148/415)

$148M OW is a very bold choice for Superman maybe asking too much tbh, no Superman film has opened that high, none of Gunn's films even in the MCU have opened that high, even BvS was only able to open $18M above your prediction, The Batman couldn't even do that and Batman is a much more popular character. Imo around $100-120 is far more realistic and doable. And that may also be hard if Jurrasic doesn't move. 

 

But I hope you're right

[Maggie]

26 minutes ago, Flip said:

Update:

1. Avatar 3 (146/710)

2. Zootopia 2 *5-day OW (165/440)

3. Superman Legacy (148/415)

4. Michael (110/365)

5. Passion of the Christ 2 (95/330)

6. Fantastic Four (115/305)

7. Mission Impossible 8 (87/275)

8. Snow White (86/260)

9. Jurassic World 4 (90/225)

10. Minecraft (85/210)

11. Blade (75/200)

12. Elio (48/175)

13. Captain America 4 (67/167)

14. Spongebob (35/155)

15. Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 (80/150)

16. Dirty Dancing 2 (45/145)

17. Karate Kid (47/142)

18. Thunderbolts (55/137)

19. HTTYD (45/120)

20. M3GAN 2.0 (40/115)

21. Bad Guys 2 (33/114)

22. Mickey 17 (25/90)

23. Brad Pitt F1 (35/88)

24. Tron Ares (35/86)

25. Black Phone 2 (30/85)

 

Other stuff:

Paddington 3 (23/70)

Saw XI (26/73)

Ballerina (30/84)

Smurfs (23/75)

 

 

Lots of wishful thinking imo.

 

Quote

7. Mission Impossible 8 (87/275)

Just NO

[Claudio]

2021 had NWH, 2022 had Maverick, 2023 had Barbie, 2024 has Inside Out as the massive breakout of the year. If I have to guess, I would say that 2025 will have Zootopia 2 (We all know Avatar will always be massive so not count as a surprise breakout).

[Mickiland16]

1. Avatar 3                   $150M/$700M 

2. Zootopia 2.              $150M/$450M 

3. Jurassic 7                $120M/$335M 

4. Michael.                    $100M/$300M 

5. Superman.                $90M/$270M 

6. Fantastic Four.         $90M/$243M 

7. Minecraft.                 $75M/$220M 

8. Elio.                            $55M/$210M 

9. HTYD.                         $70/$190M 

10. Snow White             $60M/$180M 

11. Captain America 4. $70M/$175M 

 

Idk if Blade is coming out this year.

By the way, is there any clue of Passion of the Christ 2 coming out in 2025? Because if that's the case I think that could be the next big surprise...Jesus has the biggest and most dedicated fandom, this movie could be the one movie that gets them all together to the theatre. 

 

 

[Warmaster506]

Superman will do over 150 OW.  

 

Print that.

[Speedorito]

Can’t imagine a Superman reboot opening bigger than a Batman reboot starting Robert Pattinson. Or being the first superhero film since Wakanda Forever to gross more than 400M DOM.

 

500M WW is probably a better target at this stage.

Edited June 19 by Speedorito

[AniNate]

1 hour ago, Claudio said:

2021 had NWH, 2022 had Maverick, 2023 had Barbie, 2024 has Inside Out as the massive breakout of the year. If I have to guess, I would say that 2025 will have Zootopia 2 (We all know Avatar will always be massive so not count as a surprise breakout).

 

Anything we predicted more than a year out wouldn't be a surprise

[Reddroast]

So I'm looking at what might not be massive hits but have potential to be decent success es 3 films come to mind.

 

Novocaine 

The stone/Parker & Kendrick Lamar film

Him. 

 

The wolf man could be on the list but I'm waiting on footage to get a better feel on the project

 

[YM!]

5 hours ago, Flip said:

 

14. Spongebob (35/155)

I’m not feeling confident in SpongeBob - it’ll have 3 DTV movies of similar animation quality beforehand.

[Flip]

5 hours ago, KnightofNight237 said:

$148M OW is a very bold choice for Superman maybe asking too much tbh, no Superman film has opened that high, none of Gunn's films even in the MCU have opened that high, even BvS was only able to open $18M above your prediction, The Batman couldn't even do that and Batman is a much more popular character. Imo around $100-120 is far more realistic and doable. And that may also be hard if Jurrasic doesn't move. 

 

But I hope you're right

Man of Steel did 117m OW 12 years before with only a 7 year gap between it and the last Superman movie. Combine a little bit of inflation with presumable better reviews and …