May 4, 2012 Weekend (AVENGERS Opening Discussion): ACTUAL 207.4 mill!!!!

[BiffMan]

Rough ticket estimates for the record breakers:1983: Return of the Jedi - 7.31m1984: Temple of Doom - 7.54m1989: Batman - 10.20m1992: Batman Returns - 11.01m1993: Jurassic Park - 11.36m1995: Batman Forever - 12.13m1997: The Lost World - 15.72m2001: Harry Potter 1 - 15.95m2002: Spider-Man - 19.77m2006: Dead Man's Chest - 20.71m2007: Spider-Man 3 - 21.70m2008: The Dark Knight - 21.74m2012: The Avengers - 22.15m

Interesting that more than half of those are superhero movies. Really do draw the crowds, don't they?

[druv10]

How do you figure? If it does 57 mill sunday, it needs to drop about 55% to make 26 mill. It could drop almost 58% and still pass TDK' monday.

TDK's Monday is at 24.5M so it needs a hold of 57% or less to beat it.

[Shantal]

Provide links when posting info from other sites.

The whole table is a link, but OK.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

People had to work today but it was sold out all night on Sunday.

The biggest non-holiday/non summer Monday is 11.6m. Biggest first week of May Monday is 11m. SM3 did 10.3m after a similarly attended weekend as TA. If TA's Sunday is 60m that will be 33% higher than SM3's Sunday. TA would have to do 140% of SM3's Monday.to beat TDK. 'Nuff said.

[BK007]

Rough ticket estimates for the record breakers:1983: Return of the Jedi - 7.31m1984: Temple of Doom - 7.54m1989: Batman - 10.20m1992: Batman Returns - 11.01m1993: Jurassic Park - 11.36m1995: Batman Forever - 12.13m1997: The Lost World - 15.72m2001: Harry Potter 1 - 15.95m2002: Spider-Man - 19.77m2006: Dead Man's Chest - 20.71m2007: Spider-Man 3 - 21.70m2008: The Dark Knight - 21.74m2012: The Avengers - 22.15m

The fact that for the last six years the highest attended movie only is an increase of 1.4m or since 2002 is 2.4m shows there is indeed a cap for how high it can go, not that I needed to be told, but some people need reminding. Using an $8 ticket price, TDKR would have to have 25m people attend it, a bigger jump than in 3 months than the past 10 years, to get a $200m OW.Where's the couple people I was arguing with some time yesterday? Is this proof enough? Edited May 7, 2012 by BK007

[redfirebird2008]

Rough ticket estimates for the record breakers:1983: Return of the Jedi - 7.31m1984: Temple of Doom - 7.54m1989: Batman - 10.20m1992: Batman Returns - 11.01m1993: Jurassic Park - 11.36m1995: Batman Forever - 12.13m1997: The Lost World - 15.72m2001: Harry Potter 1 - 15.95m2002: Spider-Man - 19.77m2006: Dead Man's Chest - 20.71m2007: Spider-Man 3 - 21.70m2008: The Dark Knight - 21.74m2012: The Avengers - 22.15m

Where's DH2? :lol: :lol:

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Provide links when posting info from other sites.

There are like 50 links on that chart.

[redfirebird2008]

The biggest non-holiday/non summer Monday is 11.6m. Biggest first week of May Monday is 11m. SM3 did 10.3m after a similarly attended weekend as TA. If TA's Sunday is 60m that will be 33% higher than SM3's Sunday. TA would have to do 140% of SM3's Monday.to beat TDK. 'Nuff said.

SM3 had toxic word of mouth. Avengers has god-like WOM.

[Fake]

What?!! 207 million??!!When did we get the new estimate?

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

SM3 had toxic word of mouth. Avengers has god-like WOM.

Regardless, anything over 22m is unrealistic even with "god-like WOM".

[Shantal]

There are like 50 links on that chart.

Well, maybe we needed to hit 51. :lol:Removed the chart 'cause every edit was making the white space before it gigantic.

[Shantal]

What?!! 207 million??!!

When did we get the new estimate?

http://www.deadline.com/2012/05/avenger-update-205m-record-domestic/

‘AVENGER’ $654.5M WEEKEND: $207.1M Record Domestic, $447.4M Foreign

[Fake]

I would be extremely happy with a 20M Monday.

[Shantal]

I would be extremely happy with a 20M Monday.

That's a 65% drop. Seems good.

[cory]

The fact that for the last six years the highest attended movie only is an increase of 1.4m or since 2002 is 2.4m shows there is indeed a cap for how high it can go, not that I needed to be told, but some people need reminding. Using an $8 ticket price, TDKR would have to have 25m people attend it, a bigger jump than in 3 months than the past 10 years, to get a $200m OW.Where's the couple people I was arguing with some time yesterday? Is this proof enough?

I think it's almost statistically impossible to prove that the record has been broken since Spider-Man.

[fishstick]

I hate working during this historical event. I want to be on this thread every second.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

I would be extremely happy with a 20M Monday.

Oh yeah. Considering how much more TA will increase on Friday than TDK, 20m would be astounding.

[iri10]

With a current ~6175 replies and ~119,000 views, this thread is 4th for most replies in the forum, and 3rd for most views.Astonishing. Each of the three threads with more replies (between 7300 and 14.4k) and views (160k, 193k) have been around since November. Too bad I can't remember what the major BOM weekend threads were like, but this has to rank fairly high among them.

[druv10]

Regardless, anything over 22m is unrealistic even with "god-like WOM".

What if, it actually makes 24 or 25M on Monday?

[BK007]

I think it's almost statistically impossible to prove that the record has been broken since Spider-Man.

Even more credence to the TDKR can't break $200m OW then. But I think I disagree with that since DMC and SM3 at least probably had as close a split to SM in terms of matinees, kid tickets and what not to say they were more attended.