JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Olive]

What a tiny market for home videos..

[Sam]

Top selling Blu-rays of 1st half of 2013

1. The Avengers (DVD+ B/R) 109,659

2. Skyfall(DVD+B/R 2 disks) 89,669 

3. Resident Evil 5 (DVD+ B/R) 72,970 

4. The Avengers (B/R,3 disks) 63,008 

5. The Dark Knight Rises (WHV?) 56,325 

6. Prometheus (DVD+B/R 2 disks) 40,120

7. The Hobbit (DVD+ B/R) 34,916

8. Eight Ranger:Hero 28,078 (top of local movies)

9. The Expendables 2 24,757

10. Brave Hearts 24,316

11. Argo 24,300

12. Bourne Legacy 23,200

13. The Avengers 3D set 19,999

14. Total Recall 19,789

Thanks for the info, Olive

 

TA has 2 spots in Top 5, and 3 spots in the Top 14     

 

Add them all up, that's 192,666 totals.

Edited June 21, 2013 by Sam

[Olive]

Thanks for the info, Olive

 

TA has 2 spots in Top 5, and 3 spots in the Top 14     

 

Add them all up, that's 192,666 totals.

TA2 has great potential there.

[Sam]

TA2 has great potential there.

Definitely. TA had a good gross in Japan, admittedly, I did expect better for IM3, but 25M is still great. 

 

I hope TA2 can break 50M in Japan and go even higher.

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

Weekend Forecast (6/22-23)

1 (-) After Earth (Sony) ¥240 million ($2.5 million) DEBUT! [333 theaters]
2 (1) The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) ¥105 million ($1.1 million) Week 2
3 (-) To Cry 100 Times (Showgate) ¥90 million ($1.0 million) DEBUT! [223 theaters]
4 (2) G.I. Joe: Retaliation (Paramount) ¥85 million ($870,000) Week 3
5 (3) Miracle Apples (Toho) ¥80 million ($820,000) Week 3
6 (4) Oblivion (Toho-Towa) ¥65 million ($670,000) Week 4
7 (5) I've Not Done My Best Yet! (Shochiku) ¥40 million ($410,000) Week 2
8 (6) The Complex (Shochiku) ¥35 million ($360,000) Week 6
9 (7) Olympus Has Fallen (Asmik Ace) ¥25 million ($260,000) Week 3
10 (9) Real (Toho) ¥20 million ($210,000) Week 4

There is a chance that Ghost in the Shell: Arise could sneak into the bottom of the Top 10. It's only playing at 20 locations, but other anime films have opened high enough with similar counts to make this week's Top 10.

And this is finally the last weekend with low-mid level films opening. Once the new Galileo film jump-starts the box-office next week, the rest of the Summer (year really) will be much more interesting. The only weekend from next week until... late-September/early October without one or more notable releases is July 27-28, the second weekend of The Wind Rises.

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

Saturday Estimates (6/22)

1 (-) After Earth (Sony) ¥117 million ($1.19 million), 0, DEBUT! [333 theaters]
2 (-) To Cry 100 Times (Showgate) ¥108 million ($1.10 million), 0, DEBUT! [223 theaters]
3 (1) The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) ¥59 million ($601,000), -21%, Week 2
4 (3) Miracle Apples (Toho) ¥41 million ($419,000), -19%, Week 3
5 (2) G.I. Joe: Retaliation (Paramount) ¥40 million ($409,000), -41%, Week 3
6 (4) Oblivion (Toho-Towa) ¥27 million ($275,000), -43%, Week 4
7 (5) I've Not Done My Best Yet! (Shochiku) ¥20 million ($210,000), -43%, Week 2
8 (6) The Complex (Shochiku) ¥17 million ($174,000), -34%, Week 6
9 (7) Olympus Has Fallen (Asmik Ace) ¥12 million ($122,000), -44%, Week 3
10 (9) Real (Toho) ¥11 million ($112,000), -34%, Week 4
11 (10) Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Toho) ¥8 million ($82,000), -33%, Week 10
12 (8) The Serialist (Toei) ¥7 million ($71,000), -60%, Week 2

Expected number for After Earth.

Big breakout for Cry 100 Times. To my knowledge, it's going to have the best opening for a Showgate release in many years (perhaps ever). Usually they're lucky to get a film in the Top 5 or even the Top 10. It's probably going to have a better Sunday than After Earth, too, so maybe it can manage a debut in first place (admissions seems likely at least).

Ghost in the Shell: Arise is too limited to gather estimates for, but it was playing very well at Toho Cinemas yesterday and I think it might still sneak into the Top 10 Monday morning.

[Fullbuster]

what is the môst successful ghibli movie ww?

[Olive]

Spirited Away

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

The opening day estimate for To Cry 100 Times was miscalculated and instead it made ¥96 million ($980,000) yesterday.

Weekend Estimates (6/22-23)

1 (-) After Earth (Sony) ¥245 million ($2.50 million), 0, DEBUT! [333 theaters]
2 (-) To Cry 100 Times (Showgate) ¥168 million ($1.71 million), 0, DEBUT! [223 theaters]
3 (1) The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) ¥118 million ($1.21 million), -26%, Week 2
4 (3) Miracle Apples (Toho) ¥80 million ($817,000), -27%, Week 3
5 (2) G.I. Joe: Retaliation (Paramount) ¥77 million ($785,000), -44%, Week 3
6 (4) Oblivion (Toho-Towa) ¥51 million ($520,000), -46%, Week 4
7 (5) I've Not Done My Best Yet! (Shochiku) ¥39 million ($400,000), -43%, Week 2
8 (6) The Complex (Shochiku) ¥33 million ($337,000), -38%, Week 6
9 (7) Olympus Has Fallen (Asmik Ace) ¥23 million ($235,000), -49%, Week 3
10 (9) Real (Toho) ¥19 million ($194,000), -37%, Week 4
11 (10) Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Toho) ¥17 million ($173,000), -30%, Week 10
12 (8) The Serialist (Toei) ¥12 million ($122,000), -62%, Week 2

Not bad for After Earth. The film opened on Friday, likely giving it a 3-day total very close to or just over ¥300 million ($2.9/3.1 million). It should finish with ¥1.2/1.3 billion ($13/14 million). This result is much lower than what past Will Smith action/sc-fi films have done in Japan, but given how it's failed in so many other markets, along with dismal reviews, it could have done a lot worse.

 

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

"Superhero films are largely geared toward teens or young adults, the two weakest demographics in Japan. These two groups rarely go to the movies because of how the school system is in Japan (if you mess up your entrance exam and get into a below average MIDDLE school in Japan at age 12 it can effect the rest of your life). School is still in session in Japan right now and lets out on July 19 and begins again at the end of August (longest break they get). When students, as young as 10, aren't in school, they're typically studying or at cram schools.When demographics are released for certain films, I can't recall under 17 ever showing up and 18-29 is generally very low. 30-50 year olds are the driving force at the box-office now (even 60+ are showing up more than 20 year olds in some cases), and nothing Hollywood is releasing really appeals to them (blockbuster wise). Females also attend more movies than males 2:1, and a lot of blockbusters from Hollywood have more male appeal.Another thing hurting Hollywood is that Japan is releasing more and more films (more than Hollywood has been releasing since 2006), and their quality has been improving. There's a lot more local films to interest audiences now than there was in the 90s and early 00s."

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

Weekend Estimates (6/29-30)

 

1 (-) Midsummer Formula (Toho) ¥499 million ($5.1 million), 0, DEBUT! [321 theaters]
2 (1) After Earth (Sony) ¥116 million ($1.2 million), -43%, Week 2
3 (2) To Cry 100 Times (Showgate) ¥87 million ($890,000), -44%, Week 2
4 (3) The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) ¥86 million ($880,000), -33%, Week 3
5 (4) Miracle Apples (Toho) ¥53 million ($540,000), -31%, Week 4
6 (-) The Hangover Part III (Warner Bros.) ¥52 million ($530,000), 0, DEBUT! [126 theaters]
7 (5) G.I. Joe: Retaliation (Paramount) ¥49 million ($500,000), -34%, Week 4
8 (7) I've Not Done My Best Yet! (Shochiku) ¥29 million ($300,000), -35%, Week 3
9 (6) Oblivion (Toho-Towa) ¥22 million ($225,000), -56%, Week 5
10 (8) The Complex (Shochiku) ¥20 million ($210,000), -37%, Week 7
11 (9) Olympus Has Fallen (Asmik Ace) ¥14 million ($145,000), -41%, Week 4

"Midsummer Formula is literally right on the ¥500 million mark according to weekend estimates. Estimates have it around 370-380,000 admissions, so it just comes down to the audience breakdown now. An opening weekend around ¥500 million gives it a projected total range between ¥3-4 billion ($31-41 million). Multipliers for big live-action films released the last weekend of June or the first weekend of July usually fall around 7.

And any weekend gross above ¥455 million would give it the best opening for a live-action film this year, so that achievement looks assured.

The Hangover Part III is looking at approx. a 25% increase over Part II."

[Olive]

Midsummer Formula actuals ￥465m

[cremino]

From Corpse

 

Weekend Forecast (7/6-7)

 

1 (-) Monsters University (Disney) ¥600 million ($6.1 million) DEBUT! [342 theaters]
2 (1) Midsummer Formula (Toho) ¥310 million ($3.2 million) Week 2
3 (-) Fast and Furious 6 (Toho-Towa) ¥280 million ($2.9 million) DEBUT! [323 theaters]
4 (-) Gintama: The Final Chapter (Warner Bros.) ¥225 million ($2.3 million) DEBUT! [127 theaters]
5 (-) Ninja Kids 2: Summer Mission Impossible (Toei) ¥90 million ($910,000) DEBUT! [290 theaters]
6 (2) After Earth (Sony) ¥80 million ($810,000) Week 3
7 (-) Anpanman 25: Take It! Handkerchief of Hope! (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) ¥70 million ($705,000) DEBUT! [143 theaters]
8 (3) To Cry 100 Times (Showgate) ¥65 million ($655,000) Week 3
9 (4) The Great Gatsby (Warner Bros.) ¥60 million ($605,000) Week 4
10 (6) Miracle Apples (Toho) ¥35 million ($355,000) Week 5

The box-office is finally alive! Schools let out in 12 days and July/August are as packed as ever, August moreso this year since Pokemon (July 13) and The Wind Rises (July 20) are basically getting their opening weekends to themselves with most of the other wide July releases opening this weekend, and a dozen or more wide releases coming in early/mid August.

Monsters University will see a very nice recovery for Pixar after Brave completely bombed last year, and probably deliver the best opening weekend for a Hollywood film this year.

Fast and Furious 6 is going to see a sharp decline compared to Fast 5 on opening weekend since that film had an entire weekend of previews included into it's opening that were actually bigger than the opening weekend itself. Previews: (last Fri.-Sun) - ¥283 million yen ($3.7 million); Opening Weekend: (Sat.-Sun) - ¥217 million yen ($2.8 million)

Gintama is selling out several of it's showtimes today and will likely see a nice increase over it's predecessor which opened to ¥199 million at just 90 locations in 2010 compared to the 127 the new film is receiving. I may be lowballing it, but I want to be surprised if/when it comes in at #2/3 this weekend.

Both Ninja Kids 2 and Anpanman should do approx. the same numbers as their predecessors.

[PatrickvD]

I hope MU breaks out BIG. Would love to see a Hollywood production make $100 million again.

[Olive]

100M is not likely.

60M is the goal.

[Olive]

The Wind Rises film screenings began yesterday and on popular movie review site Coco, it's earned a 95% average after 75 reviews so far.

 

Great.

[druv10]

That would be great OW and should push for 60-70M total.  Hell of a recovery from the Brave debacle in Japan.

[Dilusha Bandara]

Will DM 2 be bigger than MU in Japan???????

[Olive]

NoNot sure whether it will be released there or not.

[Tower]

Will DM 2 be bigger than MU in Japan???????

 

No