JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[fmpro]

I hope Avengers drops under 40% and beats Prometheus.

+1

[John Marston]

Want Avengers to hold well and also want Prometheus to open well

[fmpro]

Want Avengers to hold well and also want Prometheus to open well

If thats possible then yes

[Olive]

Rth is back.Can you update TA and Prometheus for us?

[fmpro]

Rth is back.Can you update TA and Prometheus for us?

I guess not

[Corpse]

Hopefully some data from Saturday is released this morning. Based on crowd reports and theater showings I check yesterday, 'Rurouni Kenshin' was doing very well and will probably open at #1.

[Rthmessiah]

Rurouni is def #1, then a gap and Prom/TA are neck and neck with Prom just slighly ahead

[druv10]

Rurouni is def #1, then a gap and Prom/TA are neck and neck with Prom just slighly ahead

What kind of drop for TA? Weekly and whats the total? As always thank you.

[JCS]

Rurouni is def #1, then a gap and Prom/TA are neck and neck with Prom just slighly ahead

Sounds good for TA in its 2nd weekend and very happy that Prometheus is doing well and on track for a good OW.

[Corpse]

Rurouni Kenshin is exceeding just about everyone's expectations and may flirt with 500 million yen ($6-7 million) for the weekend

[Corpse]

User Reviews

Eiga :: Yahoo! Movies :: goo :: Pia :: Average Score

Openers (Wide)

4.00 :: 4.06 :: 4.25 :: 3.95 :: 4.07 Avg. :: (new) :: Rurouni Kenshin :: August :: Week 1

3.00 :: 3.16 :: 3.15 :: 2.90 :: 3.05 Avg. :: (new) :: Prometheus :: August :: Week 1

Holdovers (Last Week's Top 10)

3.50 :: 4.45 :: 4.15 :: 4.50 :: 4.15 Avg. (-0.02) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: August :: Week 4

4.00 :: 4.23 :: 4.15 :: 4.10 :: 4.12 Avg. (no change) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: Week 7

4.00 :: 4.23 :: 3.80 :: 4.20 :: 4.06 Avg. (-0.03) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: Week 5

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 4.10 :: 3.95 :: 4.01 Avg. (no change) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: Week 6

4.50 :: 4.29 :: 3.50 :: 3.50 :: 3.95 Avg. (-0.55) :: Fairy Tail: Priestess of the Phoenix :: August :: Week 2

4.00 :: 3.93 :: 3.65 :: 3.95 :: 3.88 Avg. (no change) :: The Avengers :: August :: Week 2

3.50 :: 3.91 :: 4.00 :: 3.95 :: 3.84 Avg. (-0.02) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: August :: Week 4

3.50 :: 3.53 :: 3.40 :: 3.65 :: 3.52 Avg. (no change) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: Week 5

3.00 :: 3.08 :: 3.50 :: 3.45 :: 3.26 Avg. (+0.05) :: Total Recall :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 3.02 :: 3.00 :: 1.85 :: 2.97 Avg. (-0.01) :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman :: July :: Week 7

Edited August 26, 2012 by Corpse

[Olive]

Rurouni Kenshin is exceeding just about everyone's expectations and may flirt with 500 million yen ($6-7 million) for the weekend

including previews or not?

[Corpse]

including previews or not?

Not including previews.

[lab276]

What kind of legs is it likely to get? Aren't movies based on manga and other stuff like that typically frontloaded?

[Corpse]

Not really because 75% of Japanese films are based on manga or a tv series. The annual releases of Doraemon, Pokemon, etc. typically get above average multipliers, and the live-action manga/tv series releases rarely fall below a multiplier of 5 (I can only think of one this year).However, Kenshin is #1 this weekend but it appears the 500 million yen reports were taking previews into account afterall. They usually don't. Still a very strong opening, though. Weekend Estimates are coming up.

[Corpse]

Weekend Estimates

August 25-26

1 (-) ¥371 million ($4.7 million), 0, Rurouni Kenshin (Warner Bros.) NEW

2 (-) ¥299 million ($3.8 million), 0, Dear (To You) (Toho) NEW

3 (1) ¥284 million ($3.6 million), -43%, The Avengers (Disney) Week 2

4 (-) ¥247 million ($3.1 million), 0, Prometheus (FOX) NEW

5 (2) ¥141 million ($1.8 million), -34%, Umizaru: Brave Hearts (Toho) Week 7

6 (3) ¥130 million ($1.7 million), -35%, The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki (Toho) Week 6

7 (4) ¥92 million ($1.2 million), -30%, Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted (Paramount) Week 4

8 (5) ¥72 million ($910,000), -32%, Pokemon: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman (Toho) Week 7

9 (7) ¥61 million ($775,000), -34%, Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! (TOEI) Week 4

10 (-) ¥49 million ($620,000), 0, Ushijima the Loan Shark (SPD) NEW

[John Marston]

Is that good for Prometheus

[Corpse]

It's all right, but I believe it's going to be a bit frontloaded. It's had previews all month, and the previews from last weekend are over 50% of it's estimates opening weekend. That's usually a bad sign for legs (see Amazing Spider-Man), and reviews are mediocre, too.Not knowing how much it's earned in combined previews, it'll probably finish around 1.5 billion yen ($20 million).

[Corpse]

Here is a list of most recent local hits (¥1 billion+ earners) released by WB in Japan.

Warner Bros. Pictures (Japan)

Release, Film, Opening Gross, Total Gross

Nov. 2006, Death Note: The Last Name :: ¥767,180,921 ($6.5 million) :: ¥5.20 billion ($45 million) - 6.78x

Feb. 2008, L: Change the World :: ¥572,139,754 ($5.3 million) :: ¥3.10 billion ($31 million) - 5.42x

June 2006, Death Note :: ¥408,819,250 ($3.7 million) :: ¥2.85 billion ($25 million) - 6.97x

Aug. 2012, Rurouni Kenshin :: ¥371,000,000 ($4.7 million)*

July 2006, Brave Story :: ¥242,772,952 ($2.2 million) :: ¥2.00 billion ($17 million) - 8.24x

Oct. 2010, The Incite Mill :: ¥205,737,566 ($2.5 million) :: ¥1.22 billion ($16 million) - 5.93x

June 2011, Paradise Kiss :: ¥204,151,610 ($2.5 million) :: ¥1.39 billion ($18 million) - 6.81x

Dec. 2008, 252: Signal For Life :: ¥201,835,075 ($2.1 million) :: ¥1.70 billion ($21 million) - 8.42x

Aug. 2009, Summer Wars :: ¥127,544,803 ($1.3 million) :: ¥1.65 billion ($20 million) - 12.94x

*estimate.

[Corpse]

Upcoming Releases

(Major Studios and Notable Releases)

September 1

Bayside Shakedown Series Finale Broadcast (Toho Video Division) (Weekend Only)

Akko-chan: The Movie (Shochiku)

Intouchables (Gaga)

Colombiana (Showgate)

Marley (Kadokawa Pictures)

September 7 (Friday)

Bayside Shakedown Final Chapter: A New Hope (Toho)

The Dictator (Paramount)

Safe House (Toho-Towa)

September 8

Bakugyaku Familia (TOEI)

Yumeuru (Asmik Ace)

The Way Back (Showgate)

September 14 (Friday)

Resident Evil V: Retribution (Sony)

Mirror Mirror (Gaga)

September 15

Insight Into the Universe (TOEI)

Finding Nemo 3D (Disney)

September 21 (Friday)

Rock of Ages (Warner Bros.)

September 22

Tiger & Bunny: The Movie (Shochiku)

September 28 (Friday)

The Hunger Games (Kadokawa Pictures)

The Bourne Legacy (Toho-Towa)

Iron Sky (Presido)

September 29

Ashura (TOEI)

Hotel Transylvania (Sony)

September National Holidays:

Respect for the Elderly (September 17)

Autumn Equinox Day (September 23)

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October 6

Outrage: Beyond (Warner Bros.)

Tsunaga (Connection) (Toho)

The Lorax (Toho-Towa)

I Have to Buy New Shoes (TOEI)

October 12 (Friday)

The Raven (Disney)

October 13

Yamato 2199: Endless Voyage III (Shochiku)

Red Season (Nikkatsu)

Safe (Broad Media Studios)

October 20

Space Sheriff Gavan: The Movie (TOEI)

The Expendables 2 (Shochiku)

Fuse: A Gun Girl's Detective Story (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)

October 26 (Friday)

Argo (Warner Bros.)

October 27

The Terminal Trust (Toho)

Smile Pretty Cure! The Movie: Big Mismatch in a Picture Book! (TOEI)

Resident Evil: Damnation (Sony) (3D Only)

Raid: Redemption (Kadokawa Pictures)

A Dangerous Method (Broad Media Studios)

October National Holidays:

Health and Sports Day (October 8)