tawasal Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 So should we expect less than 6m for today? 6,39 5,82 -8,13% 15,29 +162% 23,11 + 51% 17,30 -25% 55,7m 3rd weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doublejack Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 RT for 'The Dictator' is down to 61% now. It's right on the verge of going into rotten territory. C cinemascore is probably because his fans were expecting this movie to be similar to his previous two. This is more like a regular movie with real Hollywood actors and situations. This is actually bad news because he is not going to attract any new fans at this point.Very interesting. That could explain a lot, actually. From the trailer it does appear to be another of his mocumentary style films, but you're saying this is maybe more along the lines of 'Coming to America'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 When is the last time that a movie made 68,5% of a months total gross? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 RT for 'The Dictator' is down to 61% now. It's right on the verge of going into rotten territory.Very interesting. That could explain a lot, actually. From the trailer it does appear to be another of his mocumentary style films, but you're saying this is maybe more along the lines of 'Coming to America'?Yes, it is a cross between "Coming To America" and Zohan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Another thing to remember films make way less money after theaters.Back in the day even crappy Blockbusters sold like 5-10 million dvds+ and made tens of millions in rentals.Now even big budget films like TA and TDKR will a fraction of the money of TDK and Iron Man made after theaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artist Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Very similar to Thor. Assuming an underestimation error of 5%, I get a range of 575-598M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doctoru2 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 You young whippersnappers are so spoiled. Back in the day there were no daily grosses. You got the weekend gross, that was it. Weekend numbers? Back in my day, we were lucky to get some general estimate of the film's overall gross many years after it was released. Plus, in those days, it cost a nickel to take a ferry. Nickels had pictures of bumblebees on 'em. Gimme five bees for a quarter, you'd say. Now where was I... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Very similar to Thor. Assuming an underestimation error of 5%, I get a range of 575-598M. Thor only jumped 98% on this Friday in its run no chance TA has jump below 150 and more likely its at 170%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Very similar to Thor. Assuming an underestimation error of 5%, I get a range of 575-598M. TA will be breaking the $600m barrier before the end of the 3rd week of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I have no idea why people think TA will finish in the high 500s. I will be shocked if it misses 600M. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Weekend numbers? Back in my day, we were lucky to get some general estimate of the film's overall gross many years after it was released. Plus, in those days, it cost a nickel to take a ferry. Nickels had pictures of bumblebees on 'em. Gimme five bees for a quarter, you'd say. Now where was I...I still remember that ridiculous Death to Smoochy avatar you had at mojo....unforgettable. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I have no idea why people think TA will finish in the high 500s. I will be shocked if it misses 600M.It's because people are using IM2's trajectory not taking into account that as time goes on, TA will play more like Spider-man because of the WOM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I have no idea why people think TA will finish in the high 500s. I will be shocked if it misses 600M.Some naysayers will just learn when it's all said and done. Until then, they'll keep falling in the same mistake of understimating TA's BO appeal. They'll keep trying to play this like TA's is just another Marvel Film, disregarding the fact that has already become a global phenomenon that just doesn't show signs of slowing down. They'll keep bringing Thor and IM2 numbers while there's any hope for them to downplay this movie's success. Which makes for an even more hillarious experience if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artist Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Thor only jumped 98% on this Friday in its run no chance TA has jump below 150 and more likely its at 170%.I'm not talking specific days but overall so far. If you look at the past weekend, TA had a bigger increase on Friday but a comparatively smaller increase on Saturday. I'm just trying to model TA to the past Marvel properties to see which we can use as a rough guideline.I have no idea why people think TA will finish in the high 500s. I will be shocked if it misses 600M.Um, personally I never said it will miss 600M. My previous projection was 590-620M and I still stand by that. I have a very good feeling that even if it does miss, Disney's creative accounting will make sure it crosses that milestone. With that said, you should read my post in it's full context .. I got that number based on the assumption that TA will have exactly the same legs as Thor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 It's because people are using IM2's trajectory not taking into account that as time goes on, TA will play more like Spider-man because of the WOM.Once we see a 170% bump on Friday people will change their tune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artist Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 It's because people are using IM2's trajectory not taking into account that as time goes on, TA will play more like Spider-man because of the WOM.I agree with this line of thinking. Where do you think TA's final total will end up? (Or when do you think TA will start dropping like SM1?) Also; So good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Um, personally I never said it will miss 600M. My previous projection was 590-620M and I still stand by that. I have a very good feeling that even if it does miss, Disney's creative accounting will make sure it crosses that milestone. With that said, you should read my post in it's full context .. I got that number based on the assumption that TA will have exactly the same legs as Thor. LMFAO. Yeah, sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I agree with this line of thinking. Where do you think TA's final total will end up? (Or when do you think TA will start dropping like SM1?) Also; So good! I think it ends with 625. And it will perhaps start dropping like Spidey after Memorial Weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 Once we see a 170% bump on Friday people will change their tune.Do you want to bet $10 they'll keep coming with scenarios where TA's BO falls drastically even if the bump is higher than that? :lol:I'm dead serious about the bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 17, 2012 Share Posted May 17, 2012 I think it ends with 625.And it will perhaps start dropping like Spidey after Memorial Weekend.We are in the same range but it only needs couple of strong holds to be able to beat Titanic + 3D re-release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
