Cooper Legion Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 (edited) 15 hours ago, titanic2187 said: I believe Summer school holidays til mid-August will help mid-week gross I was pretty sure that they started a week or two ago already, but something strange does seem to be going on today. TLK looks like it may increase by like 10% from last Mon, and Aladdin... For now things look headed toward a 40-50% increase from last Mon, so there’s gotta be something strange going on after all. I’m excited, so I’ll update hourly. 13:20 ~105k 14:20 ~102k 15:20 ~98k (+30%) returning to normalcy a bit, but still seems like there must be something notable affecting today 16:20 Okay, can now say pretty confidently that 23:20 will basically be 50k, which means probably 96-99k admits. Edited July 29, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Last Monday: Spoiler Jul 22, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,221,806 ($18,613,715) 170,260 (2,445,827) 1,699 50.02% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $511,514 ($79,369,542) 75,168 (11,018,637) 876 20.94% 3 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $370,362 ($54,940,235) 54,293 (7,553,346) 834 15.16% 4 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $77,314 ($23,594,547) 11,417 (3,299,544) 358 3.16% 5 PARASITE South Korea May 30, 2019 $51,453 ($71,953,006) 7,503 (10,007,817) 205 2.1% And today (these early numbers will increase ~2% for many movies): Jul 29, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,081,837 ($29,138,563) 158,317 (3,865,041) 1,277 33.22% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $640,430 ($84,703,219) 95,318 (11,757,287) 908 19.67% 3 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $418,265 ($5,769,800) 63,245 (818,974) 898 12.84% 4 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $343,793 ($1,777,726) 55,103 (264,857) 636 10.55% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $248,498 ($57,491,057) 36,571 (7,909,257) 632 7.63% 6 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $100,745 ($1,238,736) 15,521 (183,286) 506 3.09% 7 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $105,963 ($1,186,112) 15,099 (157,885) 443 3.25% 8 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $69,608 ($24,060,192) 10,554 (3,366,110) 184 2.13% 9 The Battle: Roar to Victory South Korea Aug 07, 2019 $52,463 ($52,463) 6,782 (6,782) 30 1.61% 10 PARASITE South Korea May 30, 2019 $35,374 ($72,226,886) 5,047 (10,045,886) 111 1.08% Parasite -33%, TS4 - ~5%, FFH -30%, TLK - ~4%... Aladdin +~29% 😮 Tues PS 17k, should be about flat or slight increase. 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jj99 Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 The Aladdin Monster continues Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 (edited) Looks like a 1-3% drop, final CGV should be 49k as opposed to 50k yesterday. Predicting final numbers is easy with this one basic trick: on Mon-Thurs &Sat, 16:20 is halfway between 12:20 and 23:20 Friday nights are stronger, add a bit more. Sunday mornings/afternoons are stronger, add a bit less. Part of OW and nights are stronger as well. Will only work for weekdays until school resumes, I assume. Expecting to pass 12M tomorrow, but only just barely. Edited July 30, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
imbruglia Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 TLK passed 4m today(14days) Frozen 15 days BATB, Aladdin 19days. it will face 2 big local movies tommorow(culture day). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Wednesday is culture day( discount tickets). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 (edited) First estimates today: Jul 30, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,003,377 ($30,241,601) 147,380 (4,014,231) 1,307 30.96% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $638,760 ($85,601,903) 95,349 (11,853,901) 931 19.71% 3 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $374,305 ($2,157,312) 60,215 (325,071) 673 11.55% 4 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $390,113 ($6,183,664) 59,299 (879,229) 867 12.04% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $254,475 ($57,922,189) 37,718 (7,947,862) 638 7.85% 6 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $107,400 ($254,244) 17,516 (38,940) 100 3.31% 7 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $102,866 ($1,346,091) 15,857 (199,258) 500 3.17% 8 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $104,233 ($1,299,083) 14,863 (173,486) 443 3.21% 9 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $71,822 ($24,203,671) 10,932 (3,377,087) 201 2.21% Aladdin was able to keep flat at final CGV after all, with this number being up 31 people vs yesterday first numbers. Should settle around high 96s, same as yesterday, +30% weekly. Will edit Wed PS data in 20 mins Wed PS (culture day): EXIT 85k (97% Egg) (OD) The Divine Fury 68k (91% Egg) (OD) SLOP2 43k (OD) TLK 31k Aladdin 25k Aladdin is 145k away from 12M, probably looking at a day in 140s or so. Maybe lower if I’m underestimating the openers. Edited July 30, 2019 by Thanos Legion 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 O/U $50m finish for TLK? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Never ever did I imagine Aladdin could double Lion King is any country. Might do it in Japan and SK. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Somoset Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 2 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: First estimates today: Jul 30, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,003,377 ($30,241,601) 147,380 (4,014,231) 1,307 30.96% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $638,760 ($85,601,903) 95,349 (11,853,901) 931 19.71% 3 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $374,305 ($2,157,312) 60,215 (325,071) 673 11.55% 4 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $390,113 ($6,183,664) 59,299 (879,229) 867 12.04% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $254,475 ($57,922,189) 37,718 (7,947,862) 638 7.85% 6 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $107,400 ($254,244) 17,516 (38,940) 100 3.31% 7 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $102,866 ($1,346,091) 15,857 (199,258) 500 3.17% 8 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $104,233 ($1,299,083) 14,863 (173,486) 443 3.21% 9 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $71,822 ($24,203,671) 10,932 (3,377,087) 201 2.21% Aladdin was able to keep flat at final CGV after all, with this number being up 31 people vs yesterday first numbers. Should settle around high 96s, same as yesterday, +30% weekly. Will edit Wed PS data in 20 mins Wed PS (culture day): EXIT 85k (97% Egg) (OD) The Divine Fury 68k (91% Egg) (OD) SLOP2 43k (OD) TLK 31k Aladdin 25k Aladdin is 145k away from 12M, probably looking at a day in 140s or so. Maybe lower if I’m underestimating the openers. What does toe Egg % mean for EXIT and THE DIVINE FURY? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 (edited) 25 minutes ago, Somoset said: What does toe Egg % mean for EXIT and THE DIVINE FURY? CGV Egg is the CGV audience rating metric. Somewhat like Maoyan, RT audience, etc. For just a brief amount of context from recent movies: Aladdin 98 TS4 98 Endgame 97 FFH 96 Parasite 94 TLK 92 So EXIT’s score is pretty good, but the movies opening today are all based on a pretty small sample still and could move around a bit. Edited July 30, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Somoset Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 30 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: CGV Egg is the CGV audience rating metric. Somewhat like Maoyan, RT audience, etc. For just a brief amount of context from recent movies: Aladdin 98 TS4 98 Endgame 97 FFH 96 Parasite 94 TLK 92 So EXIT’s score is pretty good, but the movies opening today are all based on a pretty small sample still and could move around a bit. Thanks for the explanation! That's pretty cool. Do you have a link to their official site? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Somoset said: Thanks for the explanation! That's pretty cool. Do you have a link to their official site? This is what I use http://m.cgv.co.kr/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 16 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: Aladdin is 145k away from 12M, probably looking at a day in 140s or so. Maybe lower if I’m underestimating the openers. Big time underestimated their impact, 😅. The 3 big openers may well crack 1M admits combined today. Culture day is insulating the hit a bit, but it seems like tomorrow and the weekend could be brutal for the holdovers. Current CGV egg: EXIT 96 The Divine Fury 88 SLOP2 97 12:20 - 16:20 - projected final CGV EXIT 119 ; 172 ; 225-238 The Divine Fury 89 ; 119 ; 149-156 SLOP2 60 ; 75 ; 90-94 TLK 43 ; 53 ; 63-67 Aladdin 33 ; 40 ; 47-49 I’d guess upper end of those ranges for openers (especially SLOP) and lower end for holdovers (so roughly -6% from yesterday for Aladdin and -13% TLK), but it’s also possible that Culture Day changes the afternoon vs night balance entirely 🤷♂️ 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 (edited) Well today was a valuable learning experience for me. Next Culture Day should run a bit more smoothly. Jul 31, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $2,603,021 ($2,858,603) 478,744 (517,963) 1,314 36.27% 2 The Divine Fury South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $1,939,311 ($2,136,481) 372,389 (398,610) 1,394 27.02% 3 The Secret Life of Pets 2 U.S. Jul 31, 2019 $969,827 ($1,009,833) 175,679 (181,217) 806 13.51% 4 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $680,634 ($30,882,189) 125,432 (4,141,160) 759 9.48% 5 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $456,717 ($85,923,223) 79,901 (11,935,141) 563 6.36% 6 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $222,817 ($2,376,463) 37,400 (362,469) 420 3.1% 7 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $102,406 ($6,281,492) 20,103 (900,154) 395 1.42% 8 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $61,413 ($57,892,266) 10,909 (7,959,714) 179 0.85% The openers did hit over 1M between them, Aladdin and TLK down by some -15%, and other holdovers got absolutely hammered. Discount tickets just can’t compensate for this degree of new competition. Thu PS Aladdin and TLK both 15k. Normally that would portend something like 95k admits, but if same-day business is as low a % of PS as today would be more like 55k. Not sure what to expect there, but the next 5 days or so are critical in its quest for #2 or #1 HW rank. Edited July 31, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 (edited) 12:20 - 16:20 - projected final CGV EXIT 68 ; 119 ; ~170-185 TDF 25 ; 43 ; ~61-66 SLoP2 37 ; 49 ; ~55-62 TLK 26 ; 35 ; ~42-45 Aladdin 23 ; 30 ; ~ 35-38 So vs the culture day OD yesterday, looking roughly: EXIT -23% TDF -58% SLoP2 -30% TLK -25% Aladdin -18% TDF is now down to 86% Egg, seems rather bad to me. Aladdin will be slightly down from last Thursday, but probably up a bit from 2 Thursdays ago when TLK was opening. And it should end *today* with very close to 12M. Early guess weekend will be about 450, but it’s uncertain exactly how much it can rebound from the triple whammy of openers. Edited August 1, 2019 by Thanos Legion 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
imbruglia Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Aladdin coming for TLK.. lol Aladdin has higher presale on kobis now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackout Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 EXIT looks like it’s doing pretty well, it’s the lead actress’ first leading role too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 (edited) 7 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: 12:20 - 16:20 - projected final CGV EXIT 68 ; 119 ; ~170-185 185 TDF 25 ; 43 ; ~61-66 67 SLoP2 37 ; 49 ; ~55-62 53 TLK 26 ; 35 ; ~42-45 42 Aladdin 23 ; 30 ; ~ 35-38 37 Actual final CGV in bold. EXIT indeed seems to be having a really nice debut. Guessing Aladdin above TLK for the weekend, and above Slop+TDF not that long after. Aug 01, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $2,601,686 ($5,523,923) 380,811 (910,036) 1,322 44.05% 2 The Divine Fury South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $1,088,254 ($3,267,768) 161,196 (567,513) 1,295 18.42% 3 The Secret Life of Pets 2 U.S. Jul 31, 2019 $722,982 ($1,729,606) 115,692 (297,163) 808 12.24% 4 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $564,798 ($31,296,613) 87,325 (4,229,266) 811 9.56% 5 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $427,863 ($85,923,725) 64,208 (12,000,240) 601 7.24% 6 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $229,202 ($2,593,587) 37,467 (399,918) 448 3.88% 12M by the skin of its teeth! I’m noticed Aladdin’s CGV ratio went from like 50% before to 55% yesterday and today. Maybe some smaller non-CGV theaters lost it entirely with the new openers? Fri CGV PS: EXIT 46k SLOP2 18k Aladdin 15k TDF 13k TLK 13k Edited August 1, 2019 by Thanos Legion 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Aladdin still needs roughly 2M admissions to beat AEG. With the performance by new openers, it needs to survive this wk. If it can chances go up dramatically. Right now it's 50/50 of getting the record. Regardless, absolutely phenomenal performance in SK, some of the best legs ever in SK!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...