South Korea Box Office

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

15 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Evening should hold well given that tomorrow is a holiday no? Probably falls a bit but not too much.

Do you mean constitution day because google tells me it's not a public holiday nor a school one so I imagine evening business today will still be a little bit slower than yesterday. I could see it dropping back to double digit % from Saturday.

[TalismanRing]

July 16, 2023: Sunday 5PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$3,140,140 ($13,724,684)	392,491 (1,712,067)	2,241	57.27%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$1,740,404 ($33,056,625)	225,417 (4,253,079)	1,261	31.74%

 

Saturday 5pm %

 

MI7: - 9.65% (434,395)

Elemental:  +1.65%  (221,754)

 

Elemental:  -18.87% from last Sunday

 

[JustLurking]

22 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Do you mean constitution day because google tells me it's not a public holiday nor a school one so I imagine evening business today will still be a little bit slower than yesterday. I could see it dropping back to double digit % from Saturday.

Woops, misremembered constitution day as a national holiday but I guess not

[pepsa]

It will be a nail biter to see if Elemental can get 5m by next weekend. Ofc conan could hit it big and then it will miss it by a few 100k's but it does have a decent shot.

[mr1006]

2 hours ago, pepsa said:

It will be a nail biter to see if Elemental can get 5m by next weekend. Ofc conan could hit it big and then it will miss it by a few 100k's but it does have a decent shot.

Conan is a dark horse for me - it is one of the most popular anime/manga series in Korea, but its movies have not done that well (all under 700,000 admissions, with the most recent one at around 400,000). Of course, considering how well Japanese anime movies have done this year, it could surprise us.

[TalismanRing]

July 16, 2023: Sunday 7PM

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$3,368,909 ($13,953,453)	420,222 (1,739,798)	2,252	57.1%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$1,879,252 ($33,195,456)	241,937 (4,269,597)	1,269	31.85%

 

 

Saturday 7pm %

 

MI7: -10.73% (470,751)

Elemental: +.71% (240,219)

[TalismanRing]

July 16, 2023 - SUNDAY 9PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$3,539,110 ($14,123,654)	440,118 (1,759,694)	2,259	57.15%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$1,972,131 ($33,288,335)	252,664 (4,280,324)	1,273	31.84%

 

 

Saturday 9PM %

 

MI7:   -13.5% (508,838)

Elemental:   -1.6%  (256,787)

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

252,664

Amazing 

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

I wonder if Elemental can stay above its OD (48k) next week. Would need a 38% drop or better on Monday which is about par with its W2W drops this week since MI7 debuted. It's gained some showings back from MI7 so I think it might be able to beat that. Tuesday will be harder though, it would need to drop 30% or better and last Tuesday didn't have an MI7 drop so that will have to be factored in next week.

Thursday will almost certainly be the end of the streak though since it would need to drop 13% or better with Conan opening.

 

Maybe it could go through the entire week without making a new daily low though (Day 2 - 41,921).

[pepsa]

1 hour ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

I wonder if Elemental can stay above its OD (48k) next week. Would need a 38% drop or better on Monday which is about par with its W2W drops this week since MI7 debuted. It's gained some showings back from MI7 so I think it might be able to beat that. Tuesday will be harder though, it would need to drop 30% or better and last Tuesday didn't have an MI7 drop so that will have to be factored in next week.

Thursday will almost certainly be the end of the streak though since it would need to drop 13% or better with Conan opening.

 

Maybe it could go through the entire week without making a new daily low though (Day 2 - 41,921).

 

I am actualy thinking it might see a very small drop week over week, to get a monday drop closer to 71-72% than the 75.6% of last week.

 

I am saying this now knowing that i might be disproven in the next 2 hours, but hey that is what makes it fun

[The Dark Alfred]

What an amazing run for ELEMENTAL. No wonder you guys having fun tracking it. What kind of final tally are we expecting for MI7?

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

29 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

What an amazing run for ELEMENTAL. No wonder you guys having fun tracking it. What kind of final tally are we expecting for MI7?

4-6m imo depending on how strong the upcoming competition is

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Sunday 00:00

 

Elemental - 115,713 (-13.3% LW)

MI7 - 257,582

Barbie (T-3) - 19,747

Detective Conan (T-4) - 39,567

Smugglers (T-10) - 37,589

Ransomed (T-17) - 12,000

 

Pretty much the same trajectories as yesterday

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Monday 00:00

 

Elemental - 31,237 (-5.3% LW)

MI7 - 92,994

Barbie (T-2) - 25,068 

Detective Conan (T-3) - 49,217

Smugglers (T-9) - 40,332

Ransomed (T-16) - 12,245

 

Barbie + Conan combine for 74k presales which is less than half of MI7's 155k T-3 checkpoint. I don't think this will be a huge threat for Elemental and MI7's holds next week, it will still have an effect of course but not as bad as we might have feared.

 

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

July 15, 2023 - SATURDAY FINAL*

*Will go up by a few hundred in the next few hours

 

MI7 - 528,835 (+129% YD)

Elemental - 265,723 (+197% YD, -21% LW)

 

Showings

 

MI7 - 9,450 (-1% YD)

Elemental - 4,750 (+34% YD, -23% LW)

 

Elemental continues to gain back screens, however the PSA was pretty much identical at 55.9 each so we'll see if there's a drastic change tomorrow.

July 16, 2023 - SUNDAY FINAL*

*Will go up by a few hundred in the next few hours

 

MI7 - 448,227 (-15% YD)

Elemental - 257,206 (-3% YD, -20% LW)

 

Showings

 

MI7 - 9,026 (-4% YD)

Elemental - 4,709 (-1% YD, -22% LW)

 

Elemental finally has a bit of daylight in the PSA race (54.6 vs. 49.7).

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

On 7/15/2023 at 4:25 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

CGV starts - Sunday 00:20

 

Elemental - 44k (-14% LW, -4.3% YD)

MI7 - 89k (-14% YD)

 

Admissions starts - Sunday 01:00

 

Elemental - 105,977 (-15.0% LW, -2.5% YD, 1,213 screens)

MI7 - 204,929 (-13.5% YD, 2,182 screens)

CGV starts - Monday 00:20

 

Elemental - 6,505 (-20% LW, -85% YD)

MI7 - 17k (-81% YD)

 

Admission starts - Monday 01:00

 

Elemental - 14,418 (-21% LW, -84% YD, 860 screens)

MI7 - 36,691 (-82% YD, 1,934 screens)

Edited July 16, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[Legion Again]

Earlier is bolder — put me down for another wknd increase (single digits)

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

9 minutes ago, LegionGPT said:

Earlier is bolder — put me down for another wknd increase (single digits)

Bold call but I can see it, the presales seem more backloaded since the monday presale drop is bigger than the total so the weekends should start about the same. If it can have more walkups than this weekend then the increase will happen. If it can gain back more showings from MI7/other holdovers than it will lose vs. Barbie/Conan then walkups will be higher too.

Edited July 16, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[Unfitclock]

@IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son is that a big drop or is that normal for Monday?

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

7 minutes ago, Unfitclock said:

@IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son is that a big drop or is that normal for Monday?

The D2D drop is fine, it won't drop 85% from Sunday since Monday has proportionally a lot more walkups to presales. It usually drops 70-75% and this looks like it will be no different. The W2W drop is decent too, might be a sub-30% drop by the end of the day (presales will be proportionally weaker since there was no MI7 last week). Notably the screencount is down just 16% from last Monday's start (860 vs. 1020) so I think walkups should be better proportionally than they have been in the last few days since MI7 opened.

[pepsa]

I think this monday PS number for MI7 puts the comparison to TGM completly to rest. It's looking at a very standard monday drop that will be quite a bit lower than its thursday. I think the goal should be 4m +, that would be very good. Depending on the hold vs the local movie in 2 weeks 4.5m should be doable.