South Korea Box Office

[TalismanRing]

TUE to TUE

Elemental:  +63,94%

MI7: -14.95%

 

MON to TUE

Smugglers: +3.5%

Elemental:  - 3.7%

MI7: -4.64%

 

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 1PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$835,019 ($15,739,424)	117,872 (2,096,170)	1,721	43.11%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$464,590 ($44,886,607)	66,182 (5,845,674)	931	23.98%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$241,428 ($28,555,476)	33,828 (3,628,699)	780	12.46%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$100,062 ($4,565,937)	13,833 (615,524)	588	5.16%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$77,437 ($3,477,783)	10,459 (460,656)	497	3.99%

Edited August 1, 2023 by TalismanRing

[TalismanRing]

MON to TUE

Smugglers: +1.09%

Elemental:  - 4.55%

MI7: -3.86%

 

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 3PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$1,115,778 ($15,965,669)	155,836 (2,134,132)	1,730	45.89%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$559,179 ($44,818,782)	78,709 (5,858,201)	940	23%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$300,471 ($28,510,998)	41,803 (3,636,674)	796	12.35%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$119,707 ($4,569,254)	16,444 (618,135)	593	4.92%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$91,544 ($3,479,458)	12,253 (462,450)	507	3.76%

[TalismanRing]

 

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 5PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$1,350,129 ($16,182,684)	186,854 (2,165,147)	1,743	47.58%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$625,308 ($44,833,325)	87,136 (5,866,628)	946	22.04%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$349,005 ($28,526,639)	48,207 (3,643,076)	805	12.3%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$137,114 ($4,581,475)	18,658 (620,349)	598	4.83%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$106,139 ($3,490,105)	14,058 (464,255)	511	3.74%

[TalismanRing]

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 7PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$1,539,124 ($16,371,679)	211,794 (2,190,087)	1,750	48.75%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$670,847 ($44,878,865)	92,931 (5,872,423)	952	21.25%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$385,975 ($28,563,609)	53,037 (3,647,906)	814	12.22%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$150,265 ($4,594,626)	20,257 (621,948)	598	4.76%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$118,259 ($3,502,224)	15,523 (465,720)	520	3.74%

[Bobzaruni]

Any oppy presales?

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

4 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

Any oppy presales?

Will have an update later at 00:00 local time, but I can say that they are higher than any other movie, including those out right now like Smugglers and Elemental and it's still only T-13!

[TalismanRing]

MON to TUE

Smugglers:  -2.32%

Elemental:  - 6.84%

MI7: -6.1

 

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 9PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$1,714,382 ($16,546,915)	234,488 (2,212,779)	1,763	49.92%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$706,799 ($44,914,817)	97,299 (5,876,791)	955	20.58%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$417,997 ($28,595,631)	57,118 (3,651,987)	829	12.17%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$158,346 ($4,602,707)	21,268 (622,959)	600	4.61%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$127,899 ($3,511,864)	16,650 (466,847)	524	3.72%

[TalismanRing]

AUG 1, 2023: Tuesday 11PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers	Jul 26, 2023	$1,791,785 ($16,595,562)	244,380 (2,222,671)	1,770	50.4%
2		Elemental	Jun 14, 2023	$720,317 ($44,842,627)	99,035 (5,878,527)	958	20.26%
3		Mission: Impossible	Jul 12, 2023	$430,173 ($28,553,177)	58,699 (3,653,568)	844	12.1%
4		Detective Conan	Jul 20, 2023	$161,198 ($4,596,942)	21,639 (623,330)	600	4.53%
5		Barbie	Jul 19, 2023	$131,365 ($3,508,770)	17,077 (467,274)	532	3.69%

[cannastop]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

$720,317

Another total that will be above the daily DOM total for Tuesday. Except it will be closer because of the traditional Tuesday bump in the Domestic market.

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

On 7/31/2023 at 4:04 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Tuesday 00:00

 

Elemental - 46,628 (+0% LW)

Smugglers - 95,121

MI7 - 24,361 (-57% LW)

Ransomed (T-1) - 53,264 (0.327x Smugglers T-1)

The Moon (T-1) - 73,929 (0.453x Smugglers T-1)

Concrete Utopia (T-8) - 43,431 (0.803x Smugglers T-8)

Oppenheimer (T-14) - 48,330

 

Elemental's presales accelerated like it was the weekend in the last few hours, really curious to see how long it can maintain this school holiday boost for. 

 

That's a really bad number for MI7. Since it's clearly a weekend movie the presales should have gone up from Monday (like Smugglers did for example), instead it fell 10% which means not only will Tuesday likely see a drop from Monday, but the weekend numbers will also see a significant drop.

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Wednesday 00:00

 

Elemental - 44,691 (-18% LW)

Smugglers - 112,979 (-53% LW opening day)

MI7 - 19,852 (-67% LW)

Ransomed (T-0) - 78,994

The Moon (T-0) - 95,989

• Combined (T-0) - 174,983
• 0.721x Smugglers T-0 -> 229k OD (combined)
• 1.695x Barbie + Insidious T-0 -> 216k OD (combined)
• 0.762x Barbie + Insidious + Conan T-0 -> 187k OD (combined)

Concrete Utopia (T-7) - 50,177 

• 0.804x Smugglers T-7 -> 256k OD

Oppenheimer (T-13) - 66,079

• 3.256x Tenet T-13 -> 448k OD

Ransomed and The Moon should combine to be weaker competition than MI7, Smugglers and the Barbie/Insidious/Conan trio were when they opened so I think Elemental should still post a solid number tomorrow. MI7's presales are well down so I'm guessing it will lose even more screens to make room. Oppenheimer presales are insane and the highest out of ALL movies in local currency because of the PLF boost.

Edited August 1, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Showings for Monday July 31

 

(%Yesterday/%Last Week)

 

Smugglers: 8,496 showings (-5%), 252,964 admissions (-46%), 29.8 PSA (-44%)

Elemental: 3,071 showings (-6%/-14%), 106,708 admissions (-22%/+56%), 34.7 PSA (-18%/+80%)

MI7: 2,391 showings (-5%/-56%), 62,974 admissions (-46%/-26%), 26.3 PSA (-44%/+69%)

 

Showings for Tuesday August 1

 

(%Yesterday/%Last Week)

 

Smugglers: 8,543 showings (+1%), 245,800 admissions (-3%), 28.8 PSA (-3%)

Elemental: 3,178 showings (+3%/-11%), 99,286 admissions (-7%/+45%), 31.2 PSA (-10%/+62%)

MI7: 2,430 showings (+2%/-55%), 58,890 admissions (-6%/-22%), 24.2 PSA (-8%/+74%)

 

Smugglers is holding well, releasing it just before the holidays was a good move.

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

On 7/31/2023 at 4:23 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

CGV starts - Tuesday 00:20

(%Yesterday/%Last Week)

Smugglers - 23,000 (n/c)

Elemental - 14,000 (-7%/+27%) 

MI7 - 7,020 (-14%/-36%)

 

Admission starts - Tuesday 01:00

Smugglers - 53,568 (+1%, 1,663 screens)

Elemental - 36,041 (-2%/+48%, 895 screens)

MI7 - 18,214 (-8%/+12%, 744 screens)

 

Usually Tuesday is more presale heavy, so I'm expecting a drop from Monday for everything. I'm guessing the first few days of the school holidays will behave like a mini opening weekend where it starts off a little bit frontloaded. Minions last year is the best comp for Elemental. On the Mon+Tue prior to the summer holidays it had 79,797 admissions and 79,219 respectively. The next week when the holidays started it had 97,207 on Monday (+22%) and then dropped slightly to 90,863 on Tuesday (-7% YD/+15% LW), so I'm guessing Elemental will probably flirt with 100k again tomorrow based on this trend.

 

 

CGV starts - Wednesday 00:20

(%Yesterday/%Last Week)

Smugglers - 22,000 (-4%/-67%)

Elemental - 12,000 (-14%/-14%) 

The Moon - 27,000 

Ransomed - 17,000

MI7 - 4,317 (-39%/-73%)

 

Admission starts - Wednesday 01:00

Smugglers - 54,452 (+2%/-61%, 1,037 screens)

Elemental - 29,496 (-18%/-4%, 714 screens) 

The Moon - 48,528 (1,066 screens)

Ransomed - 39,336 (1,019 screens)

MI7 - 11,278 (-38%/-70%, 483 screens)

 

Conan, Barbie and Insidious get wiped off the map, the three combine for just 517 screens. Smugglers and MI7 take big damage, losing 38% and 35% of screens respectively. Elemental loses 20% and starts 4% down on last week. Bearing in mind last week was Culture Day I think it will be hard to beat last week's walkups with the screen loss even with the school holiday boost so maybe something like a 70k finish is what I'm guessing we'll see. CGV golden egg scores for The Moon and Ransomed will tell us how much this will effect Elemental in the long term.

Edited August 1, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

On 7/29/2023 at 10:36 AM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Well it took until the 7th weekend but it seems Elemental will finally drop from the OW this time (422,075 FSS). That's one week fewer than it took Bohemian Rhapsody which did it on its 8th. It does have a chance to beat BR's streak of the most number of days before making a new daily low though. BR opened to 110k admissions and dropped to 65k on its 2nd day. It took 48 days for it to drop below that number on day 50. Elemental is following a similar pattern, its lowest day was also on day 2 when it saw just 41,921 admissions on its first Thursday. To beat BR it needs to stay above that number up to and including Wednesday, which will be tough given the new competition. It would need to drop by 43% or better from last Wednesday. At the very least it should be able to tie BR IMO.

Looks like it's gonna easily do it now that the school holidays are here. Elemental's weekday holds throughout its run have been nothing short of incredible. 49 days into the run and they are still on an upward trend. Even if you ignore the school holidays the trend has been flat since day 1.

 

How long will it keep the streak going? In the last few weeks when it's had to fight off new competition, Thursday is normally the weakest day of the week. This Thursday should still finish well above 41k admissions. The weekend will obviously be higher and Monday and Tuesday likely will as well since the school holidays are boosting everything and Elemental's Mon/Tue showing counts are higher than Wed/Thu of the prior week. Next Wednesday it will lose screens to Concrete Utopia which is tracking to be pretty big, but if it can survive that and next Thursday then it should maintain the streak all the way until Oppenheimer opens and blows everything away (pardon the pun), which would be day 63!

 

 

[mr1006]

Apparently summer vacation for the schools in the more southern provinces started this week (e.g. July 31st). Schools in Seoul and the northern provinces have been out for a couple of weeks (e.g. vacation started around July 20th) This explains the sharp increase in attendance on Monday/Tuesday.

[keysersoze123]

10 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Wednesday 00:00

 

Elemental - 44,691 (-18% LW)

Smugglers - 112,979 (-53% LW opening day)

MI7 - 19,852 (-67% LW)

Ransomed (T-0) - 78,994

The Moon (T-0) - 95,989

• Combined (T-0) - 174,983
• 0.721x Smugglers T-0 -> 229k OD (combined)
• 1.695x Barbie + Insidious T-0 -> 216k OD (combined)
• 0.762x Barbie + Insidious + Conan T-0 -> 187k OD (combined)

Concrete Utopia (T-7) - 50,177 

• 0.804x Smugglers T-7 -> 256k OD

Oppenheimer (T-13) - 66,079

• 3.256x Tenet T-13 -> 448k OD

Ransomed and The Moon should combine to be weaker competition than MI7, Smugglers and the Barbie/Insidious/Conan trio were when they opened so I think Elemental should still post a solid number tomorrow. MI7's presales are well down so I'm guessing it will lose even more screens to make room. Oppenheimer presales are insane and the highest out of ALL movies in local currency because of the PLF boost.

How many admissions did Tenet gross in Korea. Any comps with recent big hollywood movies including Avatar 2. 

[TalismanRing]

TUE to WED

Smugglers: -8.66%

Elemental:  - 20.01%

MI7: -42.26%

 

AUG 2 2023: WED 11AM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers South Korea	Jul 26, 2023	$556,366 ($17,147,626)	80,831 (2,305,152)	1,067	27.81%
2		The Moon South Korea	Aug 02, 2023	$433,021 ($686,796)	56,128 (88,028)	1,089	21.65%
3		Ransomed South Korea	Aug 02, 2023	$349,734 ($669,691)	51,283 (94,716)	1,065	17.48%
4		Elemental U.S.	Jun 14, 2023	$300,647 ($45,093,847)	43,332 (5,922,151)	737	15.03%
5		Mission: Impossible U.S.	Jul 12, 2023	$111,162 ($28,633,029)	15,741 (3,669,524)	500	5.55%

Edited August 2, 2023 by TalismanRing

[mr1006]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

How many admissions did Tenet gross in Korea. Any comps with recent big hollywood movies including Avatar 2. 

Tenet ended with 2,000,131 admissions.

 

According to South Korea Pre-sales - Google Sheets, Avatar 2 had presales of 857,000 right before its release.

 

Avatar 2 had a relatively disappointing OD (359,220 admissions - Korean media reported that CGV expected 450,000 admissions OD), but then great legs for the first 2-3 weeks (e.g. during the Christmas / Holiday season). It actually holds the record for most consecutive days over 200,000 admissions for a Hollywood movie (19 days). For comparison, the previous record holder was Endgame and Infinity War with 13 days.

• Week 1 (Dec 14 - Dec 20) : 3,200,894 admissions
• Week 2 (Dec 21 - Dec 27) : 2,815,174 admissions
• Week 3 (Dec 28 - Jan 3) : 1,985,460 admissions
• Final : 10,085,065 admissions

And of course, due to high ATP (the movie was extremely popular on premium screens, like IMAX), it has the 2nd highest gross of all movies in Korea (in terms of local currency) with KRW 137.6 bn. 

Edited August 2, 2023 by mr1006
formatting

[TalismanRing]

TUE to WED

Smugglers: -10.79%

Elemental:  - 19.54%

MI7: -43.91%

 

WED to WED
Smugglers:  -45.32%
Elemental: +11.86%
MI7: -62.46%

 

AUG 2 2023: WED 1PM

 

Rank	Title		Release Date	Daily Gross (Total)	Admissions (Total)	Number of Screens	Revenue Share
1		Smugglers South Korea	Jul 26, 2023	$729,173 ($17,252,583)	105,050 (2,329,369)	1,079	29.75%
2		Ransomed South Korea	Aug 02, 2023	$436,149 ($754,798)	63,650 (107,083)	1,081	17.79%
3		The Moon South Korea	Aug 02, 2023	$484,396 ($737,134)	63,215 (95,115)	1,117	19.76%
4		Elemental U.S.	Jun 14, 2023	$373,155 ($44,983,208)	53,252 (5,932,069)	741	15.22%
5		Mission: Impossible U.S.	Jul 12, 2023	$135,405 ($28,540,639)	18,973 (3,672,754)	503	5.52%

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

How many admissions did Tenet gross in Korea. Any comps with recent big hollywood movies including Avatar 2. 

As @mr1006 said, most of the comps I'm using are from the SK Google sheet and some of my own that I've been tracking in the last few weeks but at T-13 there aren't many options, particularly for a movie with a growth pattern like Oppenheimer. Avatar 2 should be a good comp, that started on T-6 with 100k presales, which would be roughly 5x higher than Oppy's first day but obviously Oppy is much further away from release so I'm not sure how to compare the two at this point.

 

@M37 is a proponent of using opening weeks instead of opening weekends and I think that's best used here with the Tenet comp since the opening days will be vastly different and even the weekend might be affected by the school holidays muddying the waters, if some are still off. Tenet's opening week (Wed -> Tue) was 760,852 admissions including EA and 676,146 without. This would point to an OWeek of 2.48m admissions for Oppy in the EA comp and 2.20m without. For comparison the first number would be higher than MI7 and Smugglers (2.01m and 2.22m resp.) but lower than Avatar 2 (3.20m)

Edited August 2, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[cannastop]

52 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Elemental: +11.86%

Absolutely insane how it's holding up against TWO openers this day.