druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Yeah this. Same demo same release date but different result? Just plain weird. You keep focussing on that Friday number but it wasn't the only unpredictable part of AoU's run. I'll break it down for you Thursday: Opening day. Pre-release hype build up was huge and opening mirrored expectations mostly Friday: Tiny increase from opening day, much less jumps than either IM3 or TA1. Some mini-meltdowns happened until talismanring mentioned the possibility of OD being overloaded with fanboys. Still I don't think anyone saw that friday number coming and it certainly isn't logical. Saturday-Sunday: huge number, second only to roaring currents and outside of the holiday frame too. Met the high end of most people's expectations. Monday: Drop from sunday was bigger than IM3 or TA1. Given that these two opened with the same release date as AoU, the exams students theory didn't get much notice. Tuesday: Dropped again from that low Monday number. Given that weekdays usually don't drop unless there are new releases this was pretty unexpected and in most cases would be sign of bad word of mouth. Wednesday: Unexpected increase. End of exam students was the easiest explanation but again unexpected since the same didn't happen for TA1 or IM3. Thursday: Other films dropped in attendance since Thursday is the day most movies get released. AoU increased again though and with a bigger increase than it showed last week on Friday over opening day. Friday: Given that AoU seemed to have been building some steam a good increase was expected but the degree of increase was again surprising. a 124% increase compared to the 77.9% saturday increase over Friday on opening week. Beat most people's expectations again. Saturday-Sunday: Met most people's expectations Monday: Another huge number for a supposed workday. Again beat most people's expectations. So true but to be fair, most of the panic came from us two. You panicked hard on opening Friday and I really panicked on Tuesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Why are dom threads horrible? Gloom, doom and haters So true but to be fair, most of the panic came from us two. You panicked hard on opening Friday and I really panicked on Tuesday. And i tried to calm you down 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Gloom, doom and haters It's a heaven for Marvel haters right now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Domestic threads are just a huge pain in the ass right now. It's going to be a huge rollercoaster. Talking about erratic, that would be domestic run so far. I think biggest problem with domestic was early friday estimates which gave totally wrong picture. Saturday drop was understandable based on impact of "fight of the century". So some of the BO lost was gained back on Sunday with otherwise impossible drop for May Sunday. Since Sunday was boosted with "saturday gross" monday dropped slightly worse than otherwise. I think unlike korea we are not going to see anything unexpected going forward. There are no holidays until memorial day anyway. So the run will be predictable. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 It's a heaven for Marvel haters right now. Its not fun I really really hopes it breaks out in China so the glory days will appear once again 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So true but to be fair, most of the panic came from us two. You panicked hard on opening Friday and I really panicked on Tuesday. Haha yeah guilty as charged That Friday number was 100-150K admissions lower than I'd anticipated and I let my disappointment show. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So in Korea will it increase/stay flat/decrease today. Looking at presales I guess holidays are over and we will be back to normal weekday tomorrow. So GLOOM/DOOM/HATERS could come back here as well Otherwise amazing run. Let us see if it makes 100m in korea. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I think biggest problem with domestic was early friday estimates which gave totally wrong picture. Saturday drop was understandable based on impact of "fight of the century". So some of the BO lost was gained back on Sunday with otherwise impossible drop for May Sunday. Since Sunday was boosted with "saturday gross" monday dropped slightly worse than otherwise. I think unlike korea we are not going to see anything unexpected going forward. There are no holidays until memorial day anyway. So the run will be predictable. Which is fine and I do expect Saturday to have good hold but this run domestically, is turning very blah. OS is still looking at 1 to 1.1B and when you factor cheaply exchange rates that's a phenomenal number. Hell it's a phenomenal number either way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So in Korea will it increase/stay flat/decrease today. Looking at presales I guess holidays are over and we will be back to normal weekday tomorrow. So GLOOM/DOOM/HATERS could come back here as well Otherwise amazing run. Let us see if it makes 100m in korea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Which is fine and I do expect Saturday to have good hold but this run domestically, is turning very blah. OS is still looking at 1 to 1.1B and when you factor cheaply exchange rates that's a phenomenal number. Hell it's a phenomenal number either way. I think 1.1B is done. Anything beyond needs record china run. For now its better to not set expectations beyond 300m for china. Even though its look good with Tomorrowland opening getting delayed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Its not fun I really really hopes it breaks out in China so the glory days will appear once again I've lowered my expectations in China. There's no way SARFT will let another Hollywood movie breakout especially with record breaking numbers by FF7. Funny thing is, they thought pushing TA2 to May 12th would help local movies but instead it cleared the path for FF7 even more. Same isn't for TA2 but presales are promising and it has potential to go crazy so who knows what will happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Haha yeah guilty as charged That Friday number was 100-150K admissions lower than I'd anticipated and I let my disappointment show. It happens to all of us. Thank you South Korea, you've supported TA2 unlike any other market. Sincerely, Marvel fandom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 The Avengers: Age of Ultron Tuesday Box Office (05/05) Admissions: 710,245 Gross: $5.51 million Total Admissions: 8,330,523 Total Gross: $65.99 million (Beats IM3 in gross) 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 710,245 total admissions are up to 8.330,523. Rsyu, it beat you're optimistic prediction. Thank you, SK for letting me keep my sanity. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silentknifezz Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 710,245 total admissions are up to 8.330,523. Rsyu, it beat you're optimistic prediction. Thank you, SK for letting me keep my sanity. what make u lose your sanity Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Tuesday Box Office (May 5) - Children's Day! -Admissions (Total adm) Daily% Gross (weekly%) [sC] {wk} <Title> 1. 710,243 (8,330,521) +16.6% $5.51M (+172.%) [1,599] {Wk3} <The Avengers: Age of Ultron> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------2. 129,003 (858,092) +23.0% $1.01M (--) [538] {Wk2} <Coin Locker girl> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------3. 76,405 (187,164) +133.% $534k (--) [430] {Wk2} <Dino Time> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------4. 66,912 (187,164) +108.% $452k (--) [436] {Wk2} <Ooops! Noah is Gone> --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. 59,383 (315,751) +31.3% $429k (--) [398] {Wk2} <Enemy In-Law> --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total admissions: 1,156,069Total Gross: $8,722,693May Total: $40,329,554Cumulative gross The Avengers: Age of Ultron: $65.99 million Current presales (Midnight) 01. 63.1% (76,954) The Avengers: Age of Ultron02. 5.1% (6,161) Coin Locker Girl03. 5.0% (6,155) Love Clinic04. 3.5% (4,288) Mad Max: Fury Road05. 2.5% (3,075) Ribbit 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Top 10 Biggest Foreign Releases (Admissions: 2004~) 01. 13,624,328 Avatar (2009) 02. 10,296,101 Frozen (2014) 03. 10,275,509 Interstellar (2014) 04. 9,001,309 Iron Man 3 (2013) 05. 8,330,521 The Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) 06. 7,784,807 Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011) 07. 7,575,899 Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (2011) 08. 7,505,700 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009) 09. 7,440,531 Transformers (2007) 10. 7,074,867 The Avengers (2012) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silentknifezz Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 (edited) Top 10 Biggest Foreign Releases (Admissions: 2004~) 01. 13,624,328 Avatar (2009) 02. 10,296,101 Frozen (2014) 03. 10,275,509 Interstellar (2014) 04. 9,001,309 Iron Man 3 (2013) 05. 8,330,521 The Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) 06. 7,784,807 Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011) 07. 7,575,899 Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (2011) 08. 7,505,700 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009) 09. 7,440,531 Transformers (2007) 10. 7,074,867 The Avengers (2012) by the end of this week,it can take 2nd slot Edited May 5, 2015 by Cy n Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsyu Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Top 10 Biggest Children's Day Admissions (2004~) 01. 1,392,251 (2012) 02. 1,380,691 (2014). 03. 1,156,069 (2015) 04. 1,150,469 (2007) 05. 1,119,420 (2009) 06. 1,093,201 (2011) 07. 1,078,160 (2010) 08. 996,124 (2013) 09. 986,106 (2006) 10. 980,811 (2008) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 $100M looks probable! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...