South Korea Box Office

[CoolK]

@pepsa frozen made $76mn in 2014...if it maintains the quality $100mn is in play for Frozen 2?

[Stewart]

6 minutes ago, CoolK said:

@pepsa frozen made $76mn in 2014...if it maintains the quality $100mn is in play for Frozen 2?

I say yes. Frozen was a phenomenon in South Korea, obviously not to the extent of Japan, but I would say $100m is definitely a possibility if the quality holds up and it's rewatchable. 

 

I think the realistic range at the moment is probably $50m-$90m for it, as we know nothing of the story or music. But I wouldn't rule out even higher. 

 

Tl;dr: It is possible, though not likely at this time. 

[KP1025]

14 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

I say yes. Frozen was a phenomenon in South Korea, obviously not to the extent of Japan, but I would say $100m is definitely a possibility if the quality holds up and it's rewatchable. 

 

I think the realistic range at the moment is probably $50m-$90m for it, as we know nothing of the story or music. But I wouldn't rule out even higher. 

 

Tl;dr: It is possible, though not likely at this time. 

 

I believe Avatar is the only movie that managed to gross over $100 million each in South Korea, Japan, and China. Frozen 2 has a chance of duplicating that feat (Japan is locked and China seems quite possible too). 

[pepsa]

Lost some ground today in PS. We ll have better picture in 3 days. 

[Stewart]

T-8 Days - Captain Marvel Presales:

Slower Monday than anticipated. It seems the initial rush has calmed down and we're back to normality. % increase today was 31% compared to:

• +69.4% - Ultron
• +37.5% - Civil War
• +30.7% - Infinity War
• +31.8% - JW2

So as you can see its increase was roughly comparable to JW2 and Infinity War (which already had many seats sold already). Comparisons to Ultron are unrealistic until Wednesday as it had a massive release of seats on D-07 below. 

 

So far the run is good, nothing spectacular % wise, but in raw numbers it is large. Will be looking for just about 100k tomorrow, though if it follows JW2 it will miss it.

 

Movie	Age of Ultron		Civil War		Infinity War		Jurassic World 2		Captain Marvel
	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets
D-13	0.40%	513	4.80%	3,001	-	-	2.70%	4,085	---	---
D-12	2.60%	4,286	13.20%	12,074	-	-	5.60%	11,064	---	---
D-11	10.70%	13,215	17.80%	26,612	34.70%	106,782	6.90%	19,430	7.50%	32,014
D-10	45.20%	25,412	28.70%	36,353	50.90%	151,194	11.70%	26,727	12.5%	46,652
D-09	52.60%	52,621	68.40%	47,764	82.30%	195,842	30.40%	32,446	27.4%	62,546
D-08	60.50%	89,148	69.50%	65,652	82.80%	255,893	28.40%	42,774	25.0%	81,951
D-07	74.60%	202,790	70.30%	85,648	83.10%	312,278	21.70%	50,417
D-06	74.20%	254,789	69.40%	108,114	83.60%	381,412	43.10%	60,752
D-05	72.00%	304,101	71.80%	157,805	83.00%	441,715	37.50%	78,272
D-04	78.90%	355,901	70.70%	209,254	80.00%	521,066	35.90%	105,020
D-03	93.60%	436,244	80.10%	252,771	83.80%	587,489	49.80%	139,672
D-02	93.50%	564,163	95.10%	304,951	92.10%	684,782	76.80%	197,643
D-01	94.30%	723,132	94.30%	434,834	93.30%	869,316	76.20%	312,877
D-00	95.90%	935,461	95.60%	621,285	96.50%	1,156,280	76.20%	596,941

[fabiopazzo2]

Well, i think your predictio is too optimistic  

Edited February 25, 2019 by fabiopazzo2

[pepsa]

7 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Well, i think your prediction yesterday is too optimistic 

Might be, we have to wait till D5 before we know where it will end up. Still it's still a lot ahead of CW so 650k + is still looking good.

[fabiopazzo2]

19 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Might be, we have to wait till D5 before we know where it will end up. Still it's still a lot ahead of CW so 650k + is still looking good.

Will be a fantastic number for a no-superhero movie. Wait and see 

[pepsa]

18 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Will be a fantastic number for a no-superhero movie. Wait and see 

It will be, I mean even if it has abysmal increases for the next 7 days it would get to 350k - 400k PS and that would be very good for a solo movie. PS have been crazy this far. It will be the biggest solo movie (other than Ironman 3) but thats a sequel anyway. 

[imbruglia]

On 2/18/2019 at 3:26 AM, Brainbug said:

Extreme Job is a monster. Pure and simple.

 

Is someone from Korea here that could maybe explain why its making these numbers? What is the film about, did it make some kind of impact on korean culture or is it purely driving on WOM?

saw it on weekend. it's harmless well made pure comedy movie.

nothing special, but funny and easy to see with anyone from kids to old people.

also most important thing, there was like zero serious competition for wks. 

and there is like no cultural impact or buzz. this is very interesting for huge movie like this.

it really choose the "right time" and "right moment". and it's still strong.. lol

[imbruglia]

CM will have no competition for wks.

the only problem it has right now is there's some anti feminism movement from fragile males and they are spreading lot of negative fake news on this movie. just like how US right wing doing. but I doubt it will make huge impact as afterall it's marvel movie and no competition.

Edited February 27, 2019 by imbruglia

[Stewart]

T-7 Days - Captain Marvel Presales:

It missed 100k today and is showing signs of frontloaded presale run. Increases still on par with JW2, but won't have the walkups or last 2 days increases. 

 

Also I missed the midnight number by a couple hours, so this number is slightly inflated (but by no more than 1k).

 

Keep expectations in check.

 

Movie	Age of Ultron		Civil War		Infinity War		Jurassic World 2		Captain Marvel
	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets	Share	Tickets
D-13	0.40%	513	4.80%	3,001	-	-	2.70%	4,085	---	---
D-12	2.60%	4,286	13.20%	12,074	-	-	5.60%	11,064	---	---
D-11	10.70%	13,215	17.80%	26,612	34.70%	106,782	6.90%	19,430	7.50%	32,014
D-10	45.20%	25,412	28.70%	36,353	50.90%	151,194	11.70%	26,727	12.5%	46,652
D-09	52.60%	52,621	68.40%	47,764	82.30%	195,842	30.40%	32,446	27.4%	62,546
D-08	60.50%	89,148	69.50%	65,652	82.80%	255,893	28.40%	42,774	25.0%	81,951
D-07	74.60%	202,790	70.30%	85,648	83.10%	312,278	21.70%	50,417	21.5%	99,054
D-06	74.20%	254,789	69.40%	108,114	83.60%	381,412	43.10%	60,752
D-05	72.00%	304,101	71.80%	157,805	83.00%	441,715	37.50%	78,272
D-04	78.90%	355,901	70.70%	209,254	80.00%	521,066	35.90%	105,020
D-03	93.60%	436,244	80.10%	252,771	83.80%	587,489	49.80%	139,672
D-02	93.50%	564,163	95.10%	304,951	92.10%	684,782	76.80%	197,643
D-01	94.30%	723,132	94.30%	434,834	93.30%	869,316	76.20%	312,877
D-00	95.90%	935,461	95.60%	621,285	96.50%	1,156,280	76.20%	596,941

[fabiopazzo2]

Pretty normal, is not an avengers movie 

[pepsa]

We need to see those 50k days from D-5 forward if it doesn't get that I might have been way to optimistic. So I am waiting on D5 and D4 to make a better guess. 

[imbruglia]

x

Edited February 27, 2019 by imbruglia

[imbruglia]

reminder CM only has 590 screens opened so far. I don't know how others did with screens, there's no information in kofic database. shame.

 

official pr news from disney korea

"CM passed 100k pre sale on D-7, faster than BP's D-5, DR.Strange's D-3, SM-HM's D-2.

Also faster than biggest march release ever Beauty and Beast's D-1."

 

btw I made a mistake, CM doesn't open on culture day. (it's today lol)

Edited February 27, 2019 by imbruglia

[charlie Jatinder]

How is it doing in comparison with Black Panther and Homecoming. Those are better comps. Jurassic World is anomaly, why is it in comps.

[Joyous Legion]

40 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

How is it doing in comparison with Black Panther and Homecoming. Those are better comps. Jurassic World is anomaly, why is it in comps.

I believe that AoU, CW, IW, and JW2 are simply the biggest Hollywood presale movies in recent history. CM got put on the same chart since it also started with big numbers.

[imbruglia]

53 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

How is it doing in comparison with Black Panther and Homecoming. Those are better comps. Jurassic World is anomaly, why is it in comps.

for pre-sale, it's all depends on when they opened it and how many screens I guess. I can't find those information, too much work. but I'm currently working on first week boxoffice and few pre sale number for recent marvel movies.

[imbruglia]

Ant-Man 2015 (Total: 2,841,699)
09-03(Thu) 174,587  Admissions / 858 Screens
09-04(Fri) 220,000 / 886
09-05(Sat) 488,772 / 949
09-06(Sun) 429,365 / 934

= 1,314,502

 

Captain America: Civil War 2016 (Total: 8,678,117)
04-27(Wed) 727,949 /1,864 *Culture Day
04-28(Thu) 474,023  / 1,809     
04-29(Fri) 638,973 / 1,866 
04-30(Sat) 1,142,509  / 1,991 
05-01(Sun) 949,797  /1,969 

=3,934,515

 

Doctor Strange 2016 (Total: 5,447,269)
10-25(Tue) 118,546 / 1,173 *pre-release after 7PM 
10-26(Wed) 435,068 / 1,503 *Culture Day
10-27(Thu) 228,451 / 1,490    
10-28(Fri) 340,045 / 1,500    
10-29(Sat) 692,976 / 1,492
10-30(Sun) 584,286 / 1,464

 =2,399,372

 

100k pass pre-sale on 23 (D-3)

117,434 pre-sale on 24 10AM
194,700 pre-sale on 25 8AM.

 

Guardians of the Galaxy VOL. 2 2017 (Total: 2,736,060)
05/02(Tue) 148,489 / 1,033 *pre-release after 7PM 
05/03(Wed) 422,412 / 1,166 *Holiday
05/04(Thu) 269,106 / 1,154
05/05(Fri) 373,681 / 1,218 *Holiday
05/06(Sat) 286,689 / 1,133
05/07(Sun) 223,461 / 1,084

=1,723,838

 

105,969 pre-sale on 05/01 1PM  (D-2)
182,678 pre-sale on 05/02 1PM

 

Spider-Man: Homecoming 2017 (Total: 7,258,678)
07/05(Wed) 545,302 / 1,703    
07/06(Thu) 405,399 / 1,733
07/07(Fri) 537,526 / 1,796     
07/08(Sat) 1,098,751 / 1,965
07/09(Sun) 970,771 / 1,965

=3,563,946

 

78,865 pre-sale on 07/03 8AM

100k pass on 07/03 (D-2)
137,230 pre-sale on 07/04 9AM
181,173 pre-sale on 07/04 4PM

 

THOR: RAGNAROK 2017 (Total:4,858,572)
10/25(Wed) 415,741 / 1,601 *Culture Day
10/26(Thu) 217,223 / 1,513
10/27(Fri) 316,499 / 1,554
10/28(Sat) 662,646 / 1,640
10/29(Sun) 599,966 / 1,597

=2,214,586

48,030 pre-sale on 10/22 9AM
54,327 pre-sale on 10/22 3PM
137,888 pre-sale on 10/24 9AM 

 

Black Panther 2018 (Total: 5,399,277)
02/14(Wed) 630,461 / 1,449
02/15(Thur) 563,855 / 1,587 *Holiday
02/16(Fri) 562,493 / 1,620 *Holiday
02/17(Sat) 739,447 / 1,544
02/18(Sun) 598,424 / 1,495

=3,097,703

 

passed 100k pre-sale on 02/09 10AM (D-5)
181,132 pre-sale on 02/12 8AM
209,764 pre-sale on 02/12 4PM
260k+ pre-sale on 02/13 9AM 
294,326 pre-sale on 02/13 2PM

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp 2018 (Total: 5,448,134)
07/04(Wed) 404,151 / 1,616
07/05(Thu) 299,650 / 1,627    
07/06(Fri) 403,553 / 1,678
07/07(Sat) 821,769 / 1,775
07/08(Sun) 694,125 / 1,764

=2,626,042

 

102,934 pre-sale on 07/02 9AM (D-2)
159,213 pre-sale on 07/03 8AM

 

------------------------------------

most of them had a week pre-sale while civil war had 2wks and strange 10 days ish.

Edited February 27, 2019 by imbruglia