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Catching Fire OS Thread || 438m

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What kind of legs/total is expected in Brazil then?

Well, I do not know too much about Brazilian market behavior, but THG had a x3.25 multiplier. If we asume the same multiplier for CF, the total would be of 20 million. Or maybe a bit less since I think it will have been more frontloaded than the first installment, so legs should be a bit lower. If I had to bet, I think it should land somewhere between 17 and 20 million.

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Well, I do not know too much about Brazilian market behavior, but THG had a x3.25 multiplier. If we asume the same multiplier for CF, the total would be of 20 million. Or maybe a bit less since I think it will have been more frontloaded than the first installment, so legs should be a bit lower. If I had to bet, I think it should land somewhere between 17 and 20 million.

 

 

In LC closer to 4x THG, Sat saw a drop off compared to THG Sat increase, for two days CF will be about 1.6 x THG in $lc and 1.5 x in Admits, Thor2 which is easy #2  was only hit with 25% drop for Fri/Sat

Was also a holiday on Friday in Bra

 

^^^^^

 

That breakdown from Brazil makes me think for sure more front-loaded than THG. CF dropped on Sat vs. an increase for THG, even if Friday was a holiday.

 

Some stats for their top grossing Hollywood movies this year in order:

 

Iron Man 3's first weekend was around 25% of total

Despicable Me 2 around 16%

Fast & Furious 6 around 26%

Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters around 18%

The Wolverine around 26%

Edited by Shantal
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What kind of legs/total is expected in Brazil then?

Brazil always shows good legs. You can expect a 3x multiplier at the very least.

 

Yes, friday was frontloaded, but it was because of the holiday. Besides, word of mouth is amazing in here, so you can expect CF to reach 13-15M on the next weekend.

Edited by Wally
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3x multiplier is pretty low, most films (except animated films) have between 4.1-5.5x here in Brazil.

Yes, but I said 3x multiplier because I was talking about the worst case scenario. If it has New Moon legs it will have a 4.3x multiplier, which would bring it's total to 26,7M.

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Yes, but I said 3x multiplier because I was talking about the worst case scenario. If it has New Moon legs it will have a 4.3x multiplier, which would bring it's total to 26,7M.

 

3x multiplier is pretty low, most films (except animated films) have between 4.1-5.5x here in Brazil.

 

Then, how is possible that THG, a non sequel, had just a x3.25 multiplier (3.1 OW / 10.1 Total)? Maybe many movies have very good legs as you are saying, but the precedent for CF is not that good.

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Australia:
 
Gino Munari, Village Cinemas General Manager, commented “This is the movie event of the year. Our pre-sales for midnight shows and opening week – especially in Vmax and Gold Class – are at fever pitch across the Village circuit with double the amount of seats sold at the same time Vs the first Hunger Games instalment. We’re all looking forward to the hysteria from Thursday”…
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