mfantin65 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Not saying 950+ isn't happening, but I tend to be cautious when using the word 'lock'. China seems too high. It grossed a little less than 8M on weekdays, so a 16M week would mean a sub-10% drop against some major competition and a halved screen count. 8M from US and 11 from SK are both very optimistic (they equal to 10% weekend drops after all). I guess the total as of Sunday will be between 950 and 955 millions. VD bump in China and Sk 11 for SK is closer to 20% drop, last week was over 13 small drop US due to holiday weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 With bad weather affecting the box office, a single-digit % drop remains optimistic for Frozen, holidays or not. South Korea had stronger weekdays last week, so a 17-18% week drop needs a weekend drop very close to 10%. And in China...well, we'll see xD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Mickey and Donald have never really been a major facet of feature films, though. Donald was in two of the package films in the 40s, but that's about it. They could give it a try, they're famous characters. And Uncle Scrooge has so many adventures in comic books, there are a lot of materials. It's incomprehensible not to see them on screen, they're a symbol of Disney's history. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 They could give it a try, they're famous characters. And Uncle Scrooge has so many adventures in comic books, there are a lot of materials. It's incomprehensible not to see them on screen, they're a symbol of Disney's history. The thing is that WDAS hasn't ever really been in the business of rehashing characters of any sort. Ever since they started doing features, it's been focused on semi-original products. While Disney's stable of famous characters are used, it's usually in other fashions. Shorts, occasional films in other venues (video and TV), and TV series. And they serve as branding for the company. I don't think there's really any necessity to put them in any of the WDAS features. There was an effort to make the 50th film about Mickey, but that fell through, and I think we were better off getting Tangled in that slot instead. AFAIK, only Goofy has had a theatrical film of his own, with A Goofy Movie, which was done by DisneyToons (although I think it had a different name back then.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I've been of the mindset that $100m is a reasonable minimum to expect from Japan, so if it does in fact cross $960m after this week or early next, TS3 as a target will be in the rear-view mirror. Would you guys say it's a lock for $1b before Japan gets it? I'm doubtful it will get to $1b by the first week of March (unless it gets extended in China), but I think $1b before Japan might be reasonable.Should be 955 by sunday. Thats 40m for the week. Even if china drops hard. I still see 26m and then a soft drop to 21 for the follwing week.1.003B on sunday march 3rd. Definitely 1b before Japans opening. LOCK!If china can hold better w WOM then maybe a few million more.An oscar on march 3 could give it a boost and 1.030 before japan likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Should be 955 by sunday. Thats 40m for the week. Even if china drops hard. I still see 26m and then a soft drop to 21 for the follwing week.1.003B on sunday march 3rd. Definitely 1b before Japans opening. LOCK!If china can hold better w WOM then maybe a few million more.An oscar on march 3 could give it a boost and 1.030 before japan likely. 1.03B before Japan, or anything in that vicinity, makes #6 WW a very strong possibility... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 (edited) 1.03B before Japan, or anything in that vicinity, makes #6 WW a very strong possibility...Or better yet if it grows long legs in a few markets and does 1.080 w/o japan, not until june tho, and its up to japan to take it to #5 WW and #1 WW 2013 Edited February 13, 2014 by mfantin65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The Japanese poster, apparently. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuck0 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The Japanese poster, apparently. whaaaat!!!! no Sven???! Boys will hate it looks really good! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffyfanIT Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The sing-along version in Italy as well! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The sing-along version in Italy as well! Hmm, does this mean we could be seeing a re-expansion in some overseas markets? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Sing-a-long in Hong kong soon, but won't be in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I have a feeling they are going to release sing along in many markets now that the numbers are low. Argentina will have this WE, I assume other Spanish speaking countries will get it soon. You'll see it in SK once the weekend drops to 1-2m. This along w an Oscar will give it a decent boost. 1.1b w/o japan more likely. IM3 more likely now if Japan performs like SK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 (edited) SK Friday -27% 119,251 8,324,334 If it has same internal multiplier this weekend as last weekend, it will be 8.9-9.0M by sunday. Edited February 14, 2014 by Olive 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
portgas Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The sing-along version in Italy as well! It really surprises me that Russia didn't get sing-along version. The movie was crazy popular here, with $33m+. I don't get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyLL Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I have a feeling they are going to release sing along in many markets now that the numbers are low. Argentina will have this WE, I assume other Spanish speaking countries will get it soon. You'll see it in SK once the weekend drops to 1-2m. This along w an Oscar will give it a decent boost. 1.1b w/o japan more likely. IM3 more likely now if Japan performs like SK Disney is absolutely kicking ass the way they are distributing Frozen. Just brilliant the way they are taking advantage of peoples desire to see this multiple times. If they release the Sing Along in SK will it explode there again? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I can't even fathom what impact the Sing Along version will have on Frozen's WW box office totals if it gets released in South Korea and (once the standard version has had its initial run) in Japan. Assuming both get it, of course. Disney's theatrical distribution team is on a roll. Too bad the same can't be said about their Blu-ray team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The sing-along version in Italy as well! Evviva!!! I can't believe Italy is getting it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfantin65 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I can't even fathom what impact the Sing Along version will have on Frozen's WW box office totals if it gets released in South Korea and (once the standard version has had its initial run) in Japan. Assuming both get it, of course. Disney's theatrical distribution team is on a roll. Too bad the same can't be said about their Blu-ray team. millions. many many more millions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxx93 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Oh my, the sing along version opens today in Venezuela but only in matinee showtimes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
