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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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On 9/22/2021 at 10:34 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

Dune did HK$8.3M (67K admits) in first weekend in Hong Kong. The full run will probably be around HK$30M ($3.9M) (325k admits).

 

In comparison, Blade Runner 2049 did Hk$10.5M ($1.35M) (125k admits I suppose)

 

China Tier 1 cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzen) have 83M populations vs 8M of Hong Kong. In these Tier 1 cities BR2049 did ¥27.7M ($4.1M) with 630k admits i.e. 5.05x in terms of admissions. Tier 1 cities were 36% of total China as compared to say something like 21% for Endgame.

 

The same ratio for Dune should give around 1.65M admits and ¥82M gross ($12.75M). Assuming it will be better ratio for Dune at say around 30%, that will mean $42M total.

 

PS. TENET HK to China Tier 1 cities was 5x. 

 

Not an exact science.

There was some mistakes. Corrected. $40M is quite possible.

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1 hour ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said:

Oh, do we have a big opener today? I guess just semi-big. This market has been a snoozefest since February 😴

Highest budgeted Chinese Film was just release. Battle of Lake Chang Jin. It is 7 day National Day Holiday starting from tomorrow.

 

Curious for 

@Gavin Feng to share some views on the top 2 openers. Haha.

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4 hours ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said:

Oh, do we have a big opener today? I guess just semi-big. This market has been a snoozefest since February 😴

Films released on September 30th in previous years with +1b yuan total:

2014: Breakup buddies (1.170b Yuan)

2015: Lost in Hong Kong (1.614b) and Goodbye Mr. Loser (1.445b)

2016: Operation Mekong (1.186b)

2017: Never say die (2.213b)

2018: Project Gutenberg (1.273b)

2019: My people, my country (3.171b), The captain (2.912b) and The climbers (1.103b)

2020: None

2021: The battle at lake Changjin (3.41b projected by Maoyan) and My country, my parents (1.24b projected by Maoyan)

 

Today seems to start a small CNY period (7 day National Day Holiday, as @TigerPaw has said).

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1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

My People, My Homeland - 2.82B

Jiangziya (Nezha Spinoff) - 1.6B

Vanguard - 0.294B

My bad. I have the info in a spreadsheet and I filtered by September 30th, while these films were released on October 1st. Thank you :)

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Month 2021 2019 % +/- 2021 2019
Jan ¥3,329,852,800 ¥3,378,975,800 -1.45% $512,285,000 $496,908,000
Feb ¥12,269,826,100 ¥11,164,331,400 9.90% $1,899,354,000 $1,655,201,000
Mar ¥2,503,584,200 ¥4,160,692,800 -39.83% $385,760,000 $619,151,000
Apr ¥2,496,937,600 ¥4,723,836,800 -47.14% $382,379,000 $701,907,000
May ¥4,865,973,000 ¥3,716,825,300 30.92% $754,414,000 $546,592,000
Jun ¥2,102,445,500 ¥4,186,114,000 -49.78% $328,507,000 $608,447,000
Jul ¥3,227,959,600 ¥5,756,227,600 -43.92% $498,142,000 $836,661,000
Aug ¥2,050,278,900 ¥7,835,175,000 -73.83% $316,401,000 $1,101,994,000
Sept ¥2,025,000,000 ¥3,596,174,800 -43.69% $313,467,492 $502,962,000
Oct   ¥8,315,947,500     $1,167,970,000
Nov   ¥3,237,066,200     $459,811,000
Dec   ¥4,078,357,000     $582,622,000
           
Total ¥34,871,857,700 ¥64,149,724,200 -28.13% $5,390,709,492 $9,280,226,000

 

October seems like will take another 20% dip or so, but Venom 2 shall save November, and then Spider-man shall save December.

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9 minutes ago, The GOAT said:

My god. The Wolf Warrior guy is in both blockbusters. This man is eating. 

The studio behind Changjin didn’t want to use him in this film at first because their blockbuster The Founding of an Army was crushed by Wolf Warrior 2 in the summer of 2017(¥400M vs ¥5,600M) and had a grudge against him.

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