Olive Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 (edited) What's the potential of avengers 2 in China ? Most box office observers here are predicting $250-300M. Edited April 21, 2015 by Johnny Storm 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Does F7 still have an outside chance of 400? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Does F7 still have an outside chance of 400? Not likely, it faces 3 wide releases this weekend, will see a steep drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emirazza Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Not likely, it faces 3 wide releases this weekend, will see a steep drop. That's good news for AoU. I really want AoU to out gross F7 in China! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 That's good news for AoU. I really want AoU to out gross F7 in China! Just be happy with 250-300M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Just be happy with 250-300M. You really think 300 mill could happen? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emirazza Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Just be happy with 250-300M. I can't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 You really think 300 mill could happen? Olive made a post about it. firedeep is predicting 2B Yuan which would be over 320M. To be honest I would be happy with 200M, anything over that amount is just icing on the cake. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 (edited) Tomorrowland May 22 Can't see TA2 over 250M now. Edited April 21, 2015 by Johnny Storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Tomorrowland May 22 Can't see TA2 over 250M now. 250 mill is still awesome. But being beaten by F7 by over 100 mill is just mindblowing WTF 1 month ago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 21, 2015 Author Share Posted April 21, 2015 JW just got screened at the Film Bureau yesterday. A June 10 release is possible otherwise it would have to be pushed to later August. Annual summer protection period starts from June 19 till MI5 somewhere in August. Both JW and MI5 are non-official China-US coproductions. JW——CFGC/Legendary East/Uni, similar to F7 and other future Legendary-Uni projects; MI5——CFGC's China Movie Channel / Par., same people on TF4. Doraemon 3D doesnt matter. It was never going to do big numbers. Still think TA2 will do 2B~ depsite of Tomorrowland (5.22). Actually I wont rule out its chance of matching F7. We will know soon. See if it increases substantially in other markets. 8-May Chappie 超能查派 12-May Avengers: Age of Ultron 复仇者联盟2:奥创纪元 22-May Tomorrowland 明日世界 12-Jun Design for Living 华丽上班族 10-Jun Jurassic World 侏罗纪世界 18-Jun SLP2 杀破狼2 19-Jun The Ark of Mr. Chow 少年班 26-Jun Hollywood Adventures 横冲直撞好莱坞 3-Jul A Monk in a Floating World 道士下山 9-Jul Tiny Times 4 小时代4 10-Jul Zhi Zi Hua Kai 栀子花开 16-Jul Monster Hunt 捉妖记 17-Jul Jian Bing Man 煎饼侠 July Hustle 迷城 July The House That Never Dies 2 京城81号2 July Death Duel 三少爷的剑 13-Aug Go away Mr. tumour 滚蛋吧!肿瘤君 20-Aug Bride Wars 新娘大作战 August Mission Impossible 5 碟中谍5 Part of summer's schedule. JW is not dated yet. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emirazza Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Tomorrowland May 22 Can't see TA2 over 250M now. Its all Disney. Why didn't they push it further? Its just 10 days after AoU's release? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Tomorrowland May 22 Can't see TA2 over 250M now. 250M is great for TA2 but why such a big discrepancy between your prediction of TA2 vs Firedeep's? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Its all Disney. Why didn't they push it further? Its just 10 days after AoU's release? SARFT likes to screw around with Hollywood releases including FF7's Sunday being it's OD. I'm pretty sure after the record breaking performance by FF7, they don't want TA2 to do the same. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 21, 2015 Author Share Posted April 21, 2015 F7 projected total 2.2~2.3B Similar movie quality, similar schedule condition. TA2 might skew slightly younger demo but its wanttosee across all ticketbuying sites is remarkably more than that of F7 through the same timepoint. So it shouldn't fall too far off. That's just my consideration. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Furious 7 got 70% or more screens. Can AOU get the same. I thought there are couple of local films which would still keep some screens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 (edited) Does F7 still have an outside chance of 400? If it can hold above 40m this weekend for a 330m+ total, the May holiday could give it a chance. Here is last years numbers: April 30 to May 3 Bump Classmate CA2 April Yuan May Yuan Pre/wk April Yuan Prev/wk May Yuan Prev/wk W A30 29 Wed 7.0 W A30 5.5 -14% Thu Thu M1 51 Thu 7.0 -45% Th M1 11 57% Fri 22.0 Fri M2 46 109% Fri 5.8 -51% Fri M2 13 124% Sat 39.3 Sat M3 32 -19% Sat 10.4 53% Sat M3 8 -23% Sun 36.5 Sun 13 -64% Sun 9.0 -53% Sun closed Mon 21.4 Mon 4.7 -47% Tue 18.7 Tue 2.8 -61% Fri-Sat 61 Fri-Sat 78 27.2% W-Sat 30.2 W-Sat 38 24.2% Multiply 8.3 x Tues= W-Sat Multiply 13.5 xTues= W-Sat There is a 4 day bump for the holidays, Apr 30th is the night before it starts and sees an increase. CA2, dealing with a smaller number here, bumped 24% wed to sat. Classmate which opened the Friday before saw a similar increase for Friday and Saturday. this pattern could bring in $50m, Another way to look at it is the 4/29 multiple. The multiple times Tues the 29th was huge last year. 8 CM and 13 for CA2. If FF7 could come in at 30mY on Wed the 29th then it could be worth 250mY-360mY, $40-60m, if it could follow suit and bring it close enough to 400m for the final week to have a chance. Edited April 21, 2015 by No Prisoners 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I hope Furious 7 stops at $400.000001M , that would be amazing 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Tuesday(4/21/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.Furious 7: 63M~1687M~$272M #2 all time grosser 2.Ever Since We Love: 11.4M~95.3M~$15.4M 3.Wolf Warriors: 5.7M~501M~$80.8M 4.Mortdecai: 2.1M~17.2M~$2.8M 5.The Queens:0.8M~13.5M~$2.2M (Current exchange rate $=6.208 Yuan). 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 10M Tuesday? Not bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...