China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[peludo]

6 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

Only up 5% in Yuan??? And a possible fall in $??

 

Wow, I knew it had slowed down a bit but I never expected it to be so bad o_O

There are some people who know a lot more than me about Chinese market here, and they have been saying this along the year. And I insist, the ER is a problem. Yuan has lost about 8-9% relative to dollar since last year. Just a couple of examples:

 

Furious 7 did $390m last year. With today ER, it would had done $356m.

The Mermaid, did $526m. Today it would be about $497m.

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, jiangsen said:

November 11 in China is known as Singles' Day (or sometimes in Mandarin literally "double eleven"). It's a kind of Valentine's Day that sees a slight boost in moviegoing. Also it's been co opted by Alibaba as a crazy e-commerce bonanza where there are nutso deals on everything. Sorta like America's Cyber Monday after Thanksgiving but like magnitudes bigger. 

 

Thanks. Still looks like 34-36 mill friday

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, Fullbuster said:

So what is the expected growth for the Chinese market in 2016?

 

Under 10% in RMB I think.In US$, that would be less than 5%.

[Fullbuster]

11 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Under 10% in RMB I think.In US$, that would be less than 5%.

 

At least it's still growing, but such a slowdown is quite unexpected...I guess the slowing Chinese economic growth had to hurt the movie market somehow.

Edited November 11, 2016 by Fullbuster

[Gavin Feng]

4 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

At least it's still growing, but such a slowdown is quite unexpected...I guess the slowing Chinese economic growth had to hurt the movie market somehow.

Too many bad films audience have watched.It’s time to rise against China filmmakers.

[Fullbuster]

2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Too many bad films audience have watched.It’s time to rise against China filmmakers.

 

More cooperation with Hollywood could certainly help China creating better movies.

 

[Gavin Feng]

9 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

More cooperation with Hollywood could certainly help China creating better movies.

 

I also hope more co-productions will come.But it seems there are many creative differences between China and US.Kung fu Panda 3 is good and it could have done better in China.I think more Chinese studios will be encouraged to work with US filmmakers if The Great Wall succeeds.

[POTUS 2020]

4 hours ago, Fullbuster said:

So what is the expected growth for the Chinese market in 2016?

 

The primary reason was the 30% annual box office growth of the last 12 years caught up to the 14% growth of the last 25 years. It finally hit the norm for percentage of BO vs GDP for established markets.

 

	GDP (000)	GDP Growth	BO (000)	BO Growth	BO/GDP	Urban %
South Korea	1,400,000		1,600		0.114%	82
Australia	1,450,000		1,000		0.069%	89
Mexico	1,280,000		870		0.068%	79
China 2016	11,300,000	+4.5%	7,150	+10%	0.063%	57
France	2,850,000		1,800		0.063%	79
China 2015	10,800,000	+5.0%	6,800	+42%	0.063%	56
Russia	1,326,000		796		0.060%	74
UK	3,050,000		1,700		0.056%	82
Dom 2016	20,000,000		11,000		0.055%	81
Spain	1,400,000		700		0.050%	77
China 2014	10,400,000	+5.8%	4,800	+41%	0.046%	55
Japan	4,600,000		2,000		0.043%	92
Italy	2,150,000		800		0.037%	67
China 2013	9,500,000	+12.0%	3,400	+32%	0.036%	54
Brazil	2,350,000		800		0.034%	80
Germany	3,850,000		1,300		0.034%	69
China 2012	8,500,000	+12.0%	2,600	+34%	0.031%	53
China 2011	7,500,000	+15.0%	1,900	+33%	0.025%	52
Average	5,761,444		2,834		0.053%	71

 

DS with a great bump after nearly losing 1/2 of its theaters. It maintains it pace ahead of AM with same Friday over Friday drop

 

AM						DS
Day	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot	Yn	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot	$Tot
Fri	76			80	13	81			85	14
Sat	108	41.6%		188	29	119	47.1%		204	33
Sun	84	-22.1%		272	43	94	-21.5%		298	48
Mon	32	-61.9%		304	48	34	-63.7%		332	54
Tues	29	-10.0%		333	52	31	-9.4%		363	59
Wed	25	-13.2%		358	56	27	-11.0%		390	63
Thur	23	-9.0%		380	60	23	-16.1%		413	67
Fri	33	46.4%	-56.3%	414	65	35	52.2%	-56.8%	448	72
Sat	60	80.2%	-44.4%	474	74
Sun	47	-22.2%	-44.4%	520	82
Mon	15.3	-74.5%	-52.2%	536	84
Tue	14.7	-3.9%	-49.0%	550	86
Wed	13.4	-8.8%	-46.4%	564	88
Thu	12.2	-9.0%	-46.4%	576	90
Fri	15.6	27.9%	-53.2%	592	93
Sat	30.5	95.5%	-49.2%	622	98
Sun	22.0	-27.87%	-52.9%	644	101
Mon	7.3	-66.8%	-52.3%	651	102
Tue	5.0	-31.5%	-66.0%	656	103
Wed	2.7	-46.0%	-79.9%	659	103
Thu	2.6	-3.7%	-78.7%	662	104
				672	105
				XR	6.38				XR	6.76

[Olive]

23 hours ago, Olive said:

Thursday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥23.5M/￥415M (-14.5%)
Hide and Seek: ￥4.25M/￥59.6M
Mr Donkey: ￥4.2M/￥152M
Keeping Up with the Joneses: ￥2.33M/￥8.45M
Operation Mekong: ￥1.34M/￥1175M
Mechanic: Resurrection:￥0.95M/￥337M
Inferno:￥0.66M/￥132M

 

Friday Forecast:

Dr Strange 32-34M very  likely retain #1 spot

Billy Lynn 26-27M

One Piece 23-25M

Friday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥37.5M/￥452M (+36%)

Billy Lynn: ￥ 25.5m/26.45M

One Piece: ￥23.2M/24M

Scandal Maker: ￥11.1M

Mr Donkey: ￥2.15M/￥154M

Hide and Seek: ￥1.9M/￥61.4M
Operation Mekong: ￥0.8M/￥1175M

Keeping Up with the Joneses: ￥0.74M/￥9.16M

[keysersoze123]

excellent for DS. But how would new release next week would hit DS. Isn't a local biggie releasing next week that will open bigger than this week's releases.

[Olive]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

excellent for DS. But how would new release next week would hit DS. Isn't a local biggie releasing next week that will open bigger than this week's releases.

Only Feng Xiaogang's new movie will make money, other gonna flop, I think DS will keep 20% showtimes next weekend ,another good hold we can expect.

But the week after that, Fantastic Beasts and Moana will take most of DS's screens.

[fmpro]

100 mill is looking good/possible now

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

Friday Estimates
Doctor Strange: ￥37.5M/￥452M (+36%)

Billy Lynn: ￥ 25.5m/26.45M

One Piece: ￥23.2M/24M

Scandal Maker: ￥11.1M

Mr Donkey: ￥2.15M/￥154M

Hide and Seek: ￥1.9M/￥61.4M
Operation Mekong: ￥0.8M/￥1175M

Keeping Up with the Joneses: ￥0.74M/￥9.16M

 

Its a 60% increase Olive. Not 36%

[terrestrial]

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice

BILLY LYNN'S LONG HALFTIME WALK debuted in China on Friday with est. ￥26.45M ($3.9M)

China Box Office ‏@ChinaBoxOffice

DOCTOR STRANGE earned est. ￥37.5M ($5.5M) on its 2nd Friday (-54%). China's total is now ￥452M ($66.4M).

China Film Insider ‏@china_film

Hong Kong Venue Cancels Screening of Protest Film, Citing Political Concerns -@nytimes http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/11/world/asia/hong-kong-umbrella-revolution-film.html?_r=0 …

 

[terrestrial]

Forgot to add:

posted for slight difference see Billy Lynn (I think), the -54% in relation to last Friday, and the $66.4m release-to-date-sum

[Lihongkim]

1 hour ago, POTUS said:

 

DS with a great bump after nearly losing 1/2 of its theaters. It maintains it pace ahead of AM with same Friday over Friday drop

 

DS got benefit from double 11, the world's biggest shopping day. 

[druv10]

Great hold, 100M is still possible for Dr Strange. 

[Fullbuster]

I want Moana to pass $100m there, that would be so great. I'd like China to be more like Japan and SK when it comes to Disney animation because when it happens the results are amazing : Zootopia wouldn't be beyond $1B without China.

[terrestrial]

China Film Insider ‏@china_film 2m

There’ll soon be more movie theaters in China than in the US -@CNBC http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/11/movie-theaters-china-market-us-culture-cinema-hollywood.html …

China Film Insider ‏@china_film 4m4 minutes ago

Trump's aggressive trade policy toward China could hurt upcoming negotiations regarding the foreign import quota http://chinafilminsider.com/trumps-first-china-hollywood-challenge-renegotiate-film-quota/ …

Edited November 11, 2016 by terrestrial

[Olive]

Almost forget Deepwater Horizon will open on Tuesday, presales are very low any way.