vc2002 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Sorry, I didn't explain very well I know this, he traveled in the US recently and I red this about him. I talked about this : "You can bet that this market will not stop exploding at this speed for a few years." Well, Xi Jinping is a huge fan of Hollywood films, and he's the new leader of China. Do I really need to say that again? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 LiT beats Avatar in admissions in 20 days. I'm sure this is something we thought we would never see untill Avatar 2.The new leader Xi Jinping is a huge fan of Hollywood movies. You can bet that this market will not stop exploding at this speed for a few years.As long as SARFT insist the 50%/45% local films market share red line, nothing really matters is going to happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 (edited) Well, Xi Jinping is a huge fan of Hollywood films, and he's the new leader of China. Do I really need to say that again? We'll see, I hope SARFT will be less annoying, or disappear Edited December 29, 2012 by Fullbuster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 There are a lot of things that Xi cannot change or wouldnot like to change, and the police towards foreign movies is probably one of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 There are a lot of things that Xi cannot change or wouldnot like to change, and the police towards foreign movies is probably one of them. Fuck SARFT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 As long as SARFT insist the 50%/45% local films market share red line, nothing really matters is going to happen. I have to completely disagree. A lot of things happened already. This market has been exploding for two years already under this 50/45 situation, so another two years is definitely possible.It's not about SARFT insisting or not. SARFT is just like a department of the government and it is behaving based on the will of the government, which Xi is the boss right now. Xi seems to be MUCH more open-minded than Hu. He already discussed relative issues with USA last time he visited there. So, if he wants to change something, he will do it, and it will be done no matter what. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 I have to completely disagree. A lot of things happened already. This market has been exploding for two years already under this 50/45 situation, so another two years is definitely possible. It's not about SARFT insisting or not. SARFT is just like a department of the government and it is behaving based on the will of the government, which Xi is the boss right now. Xi seems to be MUCH more open-minded than Hu. He already discussed relative issues with USA last time he visited there. So, if he wants to change something, he will do it, and it will be done no matter what. Problem is, what he wants/has to do, he has already done. That is, expanding the quota to 34. And that's it. Nothing more gonna happen next several years. For a man on Xi's position, the most of what he does are what he has to do, not what he wants to do. Look at Hu, what big things had he done during his 10 years ? Nothing really, besides being a good chamberlain for the big families. A good man and a clear one Hu is. And that's why he barely did/changed any big things. He even never showed his real political viewpoints during his time. And what Xi will do is let balance continues, nothing more. In the films case, it is probably more complicated than any other industrial areas. It relates to countless celebrities, big figures, rich people, and more than 3 millions employees. Most of those people want to make more and more (hot) money from China's ever fast expanding film market. More importantly, it also has something to do with multiple ideologies from multiple generations among the party. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex Bennett Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 I have just watched the 720p version of Dredd and House at the End of the Street. Downloading heaps of movies is the daily routine for me and the thing that makes me a patriot =] Anyway, I would still spend money watching the Imax version of Skyfall next month eventhough it could be downloaded from internet at the same time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 What's the update on The Hobbit China release? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 What's the update on The Hobbit China release?Possibly 2.15 ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 You guys are crazy. TF3 is not gonna make $300m, and Avatar 2 is not gonna make $400m-500m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 Not really. 2012 had 5 $100M movies. 2013 will have more. 2014 probably 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Really. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 29, 2012 Author Share Posted December 29, 2012 (edited) About 7500 screens when TF3 opened. Now close to 13000. Will be well more than 20000 when TF4 hits. New screens added by year: 2008: 570 2009: 626 2010: 1477 2011: 2725 2012: 3800 Use 28% yearly increase rate, TF4 will be $365M; 30% will be $382m. Edited December 29, 2012 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Or it may just mean China can support more movies at once. Not that every movies is gonna gross that much more, that still depends on demand. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 (edited) TF4 won't increase that much as people expecting. Edited December 29, 2012 by Olive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Yeah.... movies just can't keep increasing indefinitely.Though I think 225-250M should be achievable. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 Really. Or it may just mean China can support more movies at once. Not that every movies is gonna gross that much more, that still depends on demand.Very much agree with this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 29, 2012 Share Posted December 29, 2012 So The Hobbit should not affect Skyfall anymore? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 30, 2012 Share Posted December 30, 2012 Some of the expectations for 500M grosses are crazy. But we will see. What would be good is for China to let movies have a normal run instead of abruptly terminating the runs. Pi kind of movies will gross > 100M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...