China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

28 minutes ago, Fake said:

Not yet.... this weekend, if it gets 400M+ then it will be locked. Needs at least 350M.

Not happening, since this a single-day weekend...

90

105

135

 

[jb007]

38 minutes ago, Fake said:

Not yet.... this weekend, if it gets 400M+ then it will be locked. Needs at least 350M.

Thanks, Fake.

 

Btw, what is the total cost of Mermaid (prod+marketing)?

 

Any idea about the local movie revenue sharing in China and mermaid's overseas prospects?

 

 

[Olive]

12 minutes ago, jb007 said:

Thanks, Fake.

 

Btw, what is the total cost of Mermaid (prod+marketing)?

 

Any idea about the local movie revenue sharing in China and mermaid's overseas prospects?

 

 

180M prod budget+ around 100M marketing 

Local movie gets around 37% of total gross

Rumor says the distributors bought Mermaid for around 600M yuan, they will afford most of the marketing cost..And they need at least 1.8B to break even

[jb007]

23 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

180M prod budget+ around 100M marketing 

Local movie gets around 37% of total gross

Rumor says the distributors bought Mermaid for around 600M yuan, they will afford most of the marketing cost..And they need at least 1.8B to break even

 

Thank, Olive. 

 

What about overseas prospects for Mermaid?

[efialtes76]

Maoyan 18:30

 

Mermaid:75.84M

CTHD2:40.52M

TMK2:18.83M

Macau 3:13.86M

Naruto:10.72M

KFP3:7.76M

 

 

[Lihongkim]

31 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Maoyan 18:30

 

Mermaid:75.84M

CTHD2:40.52M

TMK2:18.83M

Macau 3:13.86M

Naruto:10.72M

KFP3:7.76M

 

 

Mermaid should be 100M again. Congrats!!! It broke Monster Hunt's record. $500M is still in a way. 

[keysersoze123]

WOW for mermaid. it probably doubled the 1530 gross. Just when we thought there is nothing to surprise it again does something surprising.

[efialtes76]

On 18/2/2016 at 2:36 PM, efialtes76 said:

Maoyan 21:30

 

Mermaid:102.93M(-14.7%)

TMK2:31.96M(-17.4%)

Macau 3:26.08M(-18%)

Naruto:19.48M

KFP3:9.86M(-25.5%)

 

 

 Maoyan (Friday)21:30

 

Mermaid:100.82M(-2%)

CTHD2:53.1M

TMK2:25.33M(-20.8%)

Macau 3:19.59M(-24.9%)

Naruto:12.37M(-36.5%)

KFP3:8.29M(-16%)

Edited February 19, 2016 by efialtes76

[FranMan]

46 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

WOW for mermaid. it probably doubled the 1530 gross. Just when we thought there is nothing to surprise it again does something surprising.

 

Seriously. Wow.

[Olive]

Friday est:

Mermaid:100M/2468M New all time record
CTHD2:53.3M opening day
TMK2:24.8M/964M
Macau 3:19.8M/956M
Naruto:12.4M/35.6M
KFP3:8.3M/896M

 

I'm sure Mermaid actuals will drop below 100M, likely 96-97M, anyways congrats on all-time champion 

[XeOF4]

 

Highest-grossing films of 2016

Rank	Title	Studio	Worldwide gross
1	The Mermaid	Beijing Enlight Pictures / China Film Group	$364,579,300[2]
2	Deadpool	20th Century Fox	$325,382,596
3	Kung Fu Panda 3		$265,981,099
4	The Monkey King 2	Filmko Entertainment	$144,596,300[2]
5	From Vegas to Macau III	Bona Film Group	$144,026,100[2]
6	Ride Along 2	Universal	$110,284,676
7	The 5th Wave	Columbia	$95,807,781
8	Quo Vado?	Medusa Distributions	$73,304,094[3]
9	Dirty Grandpa	Lionsgate	$63,404,631
10	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	Paramount	$54,894,769

 

Just noticed this. Wow.

Also BOM need to take chinese films more seriously. (Is that the right word?) I mean their 2016 WW chart is like this:

2016 WORLDWIDE GROSSES

 

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio*  Filter A24 BV Focus Fox LGF ORF Par. SGem Sony STX Uni. WB Wein. ALL	Worldwide	Domestic / %		Overseas / %
1	Monster Hunt	FR	$385.3	$32.8k	0.0%	$385.2	100.0%
2	Deadpool	Fox	$325.4	$172.4	53.0%	$153.0	47.0%
3	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox	$266.0	$103.4	38.9%	$162.6	61.1%
4	Ride Along 2	Uni.	$110.3	$84.1	76.3%	$26.2	23.7%
5	The 5th Wave	Sony	$95.8	$30.5	31.8%	$65.3	68.2%
6	The Little Prince	Par.	$79.3	n/a	0.0%	$79.3	100.0%
7	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	Par.	$54.9	$51.0	92.8%	$3.9	7.2%
8	The Finest Hours	BV	$34.5	$24.3	70.4%	$10.2	29.6%
9	Dirty Grandpa	LGF	$33.7	$33.7	100.0%	n/a	0.0%
10	The Boy (2016)	STX	$31.8	$31.8	100.0%	n/a	0.0%

 

[efialtes76]

23 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

Friday 00:00

 

CTHD2:15.50M

Mermaid:13.99M(-6.3%)

Naruto:2.99M(-64.7%)

TMK2:2.97M(-33.7%)

Macau 3:2.15M(-32.6%)

KFP3:1.51M(-24.1%)

 

 

 

Saturday 00:00

 

Mermaid:19.97M(+42.7%)

CTHD2:9.48M(-38.9%)

TMK2:4.12M(+38.7%)

Naruto:3.55M(+18.7%)

KFP3:2.88M(+90.7%)

Macau 3:2.69M(+25.1%)

 

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, efialtes76 said:

 

Saturday 00:00

 

Mermaid:19.97M(+42.7%)

CTHD2:9.48M(-38.9%)

TMK2:4.12M(+38.7%)

Naruto:3.55M(+18.7%)

KFP3:2.88M(+90.7%)

Macau 3:2.69M(+25.1%)

 

Some updates  on the 2 new releases, the notable 2.

CTHD2 is having mixed WOM, people either love it or hate it. It is behaving like The Assassin(2015) and The Master(2015), both do not really have huge commercial value and have mixed WOM because of their slow and artistic approach in the filmography and plot, more focused on Critical Success than Commercial Success. Wu Xia films have really lost its appeal...

Naruto is plagued by the late release date and HD online version is already available, it is difficult for fans to watch it because when they are searching for trailers online, they find the full HD Movie.

CTHD2 will fall hard tommorrow due to Mixed WOM, probablly earning less than 50M Yuan.
 Optimistic Total Gross: CTHD2  250M Yuan, and Naruto 100M Yuan.

 

Both have almost no impact on Mermaid, in terms of showtimes or gross, but will impact MK2 and Macau 3 to a certain extent. MK2 and Macau 3 will both surpass 1billion Yuan, and should hit 1.1B Yuan. 

Next 2 big openers will be Ip Man 3 and Zootopia on March 4th, so 2 full weeks for on-going movies to grab cash.

Ip Man 3 might be negatively impacted by mixed WOM of CTHD2 because they both star Donnie Yen, but Ip Man 3's WOM overseas is extremely strong and has broken many records in Asia. 

Zootopia will likely do well because of the Disney brand, and should have a high no of screen counts on March 4th itself due to Disney's power as a distributor, it will put a nail on the coffin for KFP3, but will audiences be tired of another Talking-Animal movie just a month away from KFP3? 
 

Edited February 19, 2016 by TigerPaw

[Mrstickball]

What is the record for a martial arts action movie? I am unfamiliar with Chinese martial arts cinema grosses on the mainland. I am wondering what kind of projections are there for Ip Man 3 vs. the records for the genre?

[efialtes76]

55 minutes ago, Mrstickball said:

What is the record for a martial arts action movie? I am unfamiliar with Chinese martial arts cinema grosses on the mainland. I am wondering what kind of projections are there for Ip Man 3 vs. the records for the genre?

IP Man did 13.8m and Ip Man 2 more than 30m.

I expect more than 100m for Ip Man 3

[sgchn40]

7 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Some updates  on the 2 new releases, the notable 2.

CTHD2 is having mixed WOM, people either love it or hate it. It is behaving like The Assassin(2015) and The Master(2015), both do not really have huge commercial value and have mixed WOM because of their slow and artistic approach in the filmography and plot, more focused on Critical Success than Commercial Success. Wu Xia films have really lost its appeal...

Naruto is plagued by the late release date and HD online version is already available, it is difficult for fans to watch it because when they are searching for trailers online, they find the full HD Movie.

CTHD2 will fall hard tommorrow due to Mixed WOM, probablly earning less than 50M Yuan.
 Optimistic Total Gross: CTHD2  250M Yuan, and Naruto 100M Yuan.

 

Both have almost no impact on Mermaid, in terms of showtimes or gross, but will impact MK2 and Macau 3 to a certain extent. MK2 and Macau 3 will both surpass 1billion Yuan, and should hit 1.1B Yuan. 

Next 2 big openers will be Ip Man 3 and Zootopia on March 4th, so 2 full weeks for on-going movies to grab cash.

Ip Man 3 might be negatively impacted by mixed WOM of CTHD2 because they both star Donnie Yen, but Ip Man 3's WOM overseas is extremely strong and has broken many records in Asia. 

Zootopia will likely do well because of the Disney brand, and should have a high no of screen counts on March 4th itself due to Disney's power as a distributor, it will put a nail on the coffin for KFP3, but will audiences be tired of another Talking-Animal movie just a month away from KFP3? 
 

 

If we go by the current trend of Disney movies, it is unlikely to do well beyond the top tier cities. But I have to say Zoopotia's trailer is hiiilaaarrriiioussss!

[vc2002]

Mermaid beating the alltime record in 12 days. It's of cause really crazy but what made it crazy is not just the film itself, but the market growth.

 

Look at it this way: Boosted by the montrous aniticipation and Christmas holidays, Star Wars 7 broke the DOM OW record by a mile, and had 5 godly weekdays and a godly 2nd wknd. It's like everything as boxoffice-wise reachable as possible happened on one film, and where did it stand on its 12th day? $600m. Still $150m behind the previous alltime record holder Avatar. And Avatar held that record for 7 years, and that means 7 years of tickets price inflation.

 

Now, not only Mermaid did it much faster, it broke the alltime record which was set just 7 months ago. I mean, this is one hell of a way to give you some idea how fast the market here is growing.

 

SW7 took Avatar down on its 20th day. It'll be really interesting to see how much ahead of the previous record Mermaid is gonna be on the same day.

Edited February 20, 2016 by vc2002

[druv10]

Olive and Firedeep, can any movie rest of the year challenge Mermaid? What movies comprise your top 10 for the year?

[Olive]

1 hour ago, druv10 said:

Olive and Firedeep, can any movie rest of the year challenge Mermaid? What movies comprise your top 10 for the year?

Who knows, we all thought Mermaid would only make 1.2B or something,and see what it turns out.And there are many local movies can breakout, so hard to predict top 10.

 

BTW Good news, Mermaid stayed over 100M on Friday,

[TigerPaw]

6 hours ago, efialtes76 said:

IP Man did 13.8m and Ip Man 2 more than 30m.

I expect more than 100m for Ip Man 3

  That is in USD right.

Taking into account any potential effects of piracy, mixed WOM of CTHD2, competition from Zootopia on March 4th, and Gods of Egypt on March 11th, and BvS on March 25... I am thinking around 600M Yuan, hopefully it gets higher. Weak month for movies in March, no much holidays whatsoever, the drop in daily gross might be bigger than we thought.