China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[KP1025]

@Gavin Feng

 

Do you know how many screens is expected for the limited release of Bohemian Rhapsody? 

[fmpro]

Look for 36~ish millions today

[YM!]

Any reaction on Detective Pikachu here @Gavin Feng?

[a2k]

3 hours ago, fmpro said:

Look for 36~ish millions today

that would be 13%-ish drop on wed. good! hope thu holds similarly.

what are the chances it shows a bump on fri or is it destined to go down from thu?

[Bishop54]

At 21:20 Alita is at just under 35, doubt it gets to 36. 

Edited February 27, 2019 by Bishop54

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

that would be 13%-ish drop on wed. good! hope thu holds similarly.

what are the chances it shows a bump on fri or is it destined to go down from thu?

Around 36,5-37 mill Wed. Pretty good drop

 

With 22-23% screens it should be able to bump on friday 🙂

[fmpro]

43 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

At 21:20 Alita is at just under 35, doubt it gets to 36. 

Movies dont add much after 10pm ish.. But saying that it wont add 1 mill in the last 2 hours and 40 min is.. Well..... Not correct...

[Gavin Feng]

I still keep the words of $300M lifetime expectation for Pikachu. 

[ThomasNicole]

Just now, Gavin Feng said:

I still keep the words of $300M lifetime expectation for Pikachu. 

What you personally expect for CM?

[Nova]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

I still keep the words of $300M lifetime expectation for Pikachu. 

[Gavin Feng]

11 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

What you personally expect for CM?

At this point, I think $150M lifetime gross is a safe expectation. Buzz is very good: it is stronger than any other comic book movies except Infinity War according to trailer views / comment / repost on weibo. But I doubt it can go as high as Venom & Aquaman finally made. Pre-sale can't show much at this point but will tell us how exactly it could try soon.

[a2k]

26 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

I still keep the words of $300M lifetime expectation for Pikachu. 

would make 1b ww likely, requiring an equal amount dom and $400 os-china.

[a2k]

very good hold of -12% for Alita on wed (563.2 cume using 36.5)

32.1 thu (-12%) // 595.3

 

35.3 fri (+10%)

70.6 sat (+100%)

53.1 sun (-25%)

= 159 (~63.5% drop) // 754.3

 

170 2nd weekend possible too.

 

900 still alive.

[charlie Jatinder]

¥38mn ($5.7mn) Wednesday for Alita. Cume ¥565mn ($84.2mn).

 

• -8.25% Tuesday (Bumble Bee was 8.74%)

• Wednesday +6.4% Bumble Bee.

• Cume +7.6% Bumble Bee after 6 days.

[Bishop54]

50 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Around 36,5-37 mill Wed. Pretty good drop

 

With 22-23% screens it should be able to bump on friday 🙂

Can it only drop 50% on its second weekend?

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

Can it only drop 50% on its second weekend?

Nope. The best I see it doing is 67% drop. Anything between 60-67%, will be really good IMO.

Edited February 27, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[TimmyRiggins]

That would be good? I mean, China, usually from what I've seen, is not a leggy market but still. 

[Gavin Feng]

65-70% means 1.9-2.0*OW multiple.

[fmpro]

28 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

¥38mn ($5.7mn) Wednesday for Alita. Cume ¥565mn ($84.2mn).

 

• -8.25% Tuesday (Bumble Bee was 8.74%)

• Wednesday +6.4% Bumble Bee.

• Cume +7.6% Bumble Bee after 6 days.

37 mill max

[fmpro]

25 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

Can it only drop 50% on its second weekend?

Nope 🤤