China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[A Marvel Fanboy]

<p> </p><div>100M now has become the standard gross for hollywood mega-flicks. </div><div> </div><div>With MI4 crossing 100M, there is no reason blockbusters like Battleship, TASM, TDKR, Skyfall, The Hobbit missing that mark. Even IA4, MIB3, TA, TE2 all should do at least 80M. Others like WOTT,  GIJ2, RE5, Promethues should have no problem hitting 60M+.</div><div> </div><div>2012 is a big year, especially for hollywood releases, in China box office. 2013 should again show steady increasing. Then comes 2014, TASM2 and TF4 will do HUGE.</div><div> </div><div>2012 will see at least 5 100M+ movies while 2014 will get more than 10!</div>

Edited March 14, 2012 by firedeep

[vc2002]

$100m opening week for Avatar 2 is basically locked. TF3 almost did two thirds of that in 2011. Avatar 2 will have a solid shot at 150m if it opens on Monday.But of cause, I wont go as far as saying it will do $1 billion.

Edited March 14, 2012 by vc2002

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Well, what I am thinking about A2 is a 100M OD, not OW... B)Call me CARAZY...

Edited March 14, 2012 by firedeep

[vc2002]

Is 100m OD even practically possible?

[SentryTrans]

Well, what I am thinking about A2 is a 100M OD, not OW... B)Call me CARAZY...

It would be possible in theory.In 14 February 2012, single day admissions reached about 3m.Avatar 2's OD admissions could reach about 10m in theory.

[Bluebomb]

so then 300m OW should be no problem if 100m OD is possible.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Is 100m OD even practically possible?

Not now, but definitely possible in Jan 2016 or Jan 2017.TF3 did over 100M yuan OD in 2011, with 5 times more screens than TF3 had, 500M+ yuan should be within reach for Avatar 2 in theory. If the exchange rate falls just slightly higher than 5 to 1, then 100M $ there you go.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

so then 300m OW should be no problem if 100m OD is possible.

That is the best can happen I think.

[SentryTrans]

so then 300m OW should be no problem if 100m OD is possible.

So 1b would be no problem if 300m OW is possible.

[pinocchio]

Right now the chinese market just looks so impressive because ticket prices are so high; and the market can only expand if the middle continues to grow. How big is it today? 300 million people? And maybe 10'000 modern screens? Europe has maybe 30'000 screens for the same population, so the potential in the following years for China seems to be something like 300%, but hardly 1000% IMO.

[SentryTrans]

Right now the chinese market just looks so impressive because ticket prices are so high; and the market can only expand if the middle continues to grow. How big is it today? 300 million people? And maybe 10'000 modern screens? Europe has maybe 30'000 screens for the same population, so the potential in the following years for China seems to be something like 300%, but hardly 1000% IMO.

Don't worry, China is still a poor country now, we would have to develop economy in next 20-30 years.

[efialtes76]

Don't worry, China is still a poor country now, we would have to develop economy in next 20-30 years.

Don't worry, China is still a poor country now, we would have to develop economy in next 20-30 years.

China 300 millon people?maybe 1.300...And sorry,but China is the SECOND economy of the world!

[lab276]

^ Due to the sheer amount of people, GDP per capita remains quite low.

Edited March 14, 2012 by lab276

[pinocchio]

China 300 millon people?maybe 1.300...And sorry,but China is the SECOND economy of the world!

I was talking about the middle class not the overall population.

[The Dark Alfred]

All time top 5: In ¥, it's Avatar, TF3, two local movies and MI4.In $, MI4 now is third highest, right behind Avatar and TF3.First page (#1) updated, you can check it out.

MI4 is the highest grossing 2D film ever. Sweet.

[SentryTrans]

JC will have more than 40,000 shows in OW.If average attendance per show could reach about 50, it could gross about 12m in OW.But we should observe the average attendance rate.

[fmpro]

JC will have more than 40,000 shows in OW.If average attendance per show could reach about 50, it could gross about 12m in OW.But we should observe the average attendance rate.

That would be a pretty god number if you´re right

[fmpro]

MI4 is the highest grossing 2D film ever. Sweet.

Just think of MI5 in real 3D

[SentryTrans]

Just think of MI5 in real 3D

300m would be in the range.

[SentryTrans]

The midnight performance of JC is ordinary, but we should observe the performance in daytime.