China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[fmpro]

PR will drop today right?

[Leyla]

No .... 600M $97m is very likely though.

 

It only has three more weeks run, including this week. And always the last week does little for movies.

 

The best scenario in theory: 280 + 209 + 100 (-52%) + 50 (-50%) + 25 (-50%) =665M $107M . Not happening.

 

The realistic scenario: 280 + 209 + 90 (-57%) + 35 (-62%) + 10 (-72%) =625M $100M. Tough but not impossible.

 

What to be noticed is that JP3D and MU will be released on Aug 20 (next Tuesday) and Aug 23 (next Friday) respectively. And once the two movies release, PR will have its true and powerful competitor, as they are all big Hollywood movies. PR will lose its advantages among theater managers. Movies drop very hard, usually around 70% and 90%, in last two weeks of run. So $100M is no lock.

 

Check FF6: it did great in first 5 days with normal daily changes. But once another Hollywood blockbuster, PR, got released, FF6 dropped 70% on 2nd Fri-Sunday (180M to 54M); then another 69% weekly drop on third week (160m to 50m). Its 4th week will be lucky to do even 10M (-80%). And a 5th week doesnot even matter at all.

really hope ur positive scenaio happens!

100m will be fantastic  

[A Marvel Fanboy]

PR will drop today right?

It will increase.

 

 

really hope ur positive scenaio happens!

100m will be fantastic

Hard to say but a 100m 3rd week looks possible now.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

The Palace seems DOA .... placing just #3 behind PR and TT2. 

[Olive]

20m+ for PR today

[Dilusha Bandara]

20m+ for PR today

Pacific fucking Rim!  

[SchumacherFTW]

Hells yeah for the rim!!

[Olive]

+50% from MONDAY!

[druv10]

Any reason for that jump? That would mean 26M+ for Tuesday, 100M would locked for the week then. 

[Bob Violence]

It's the Qixi Festival (= Chinese Valentine's Day). The dinner-and-a-movie crowd is out in force.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Any reason for that jump? That would mean 26M+ for Tuesday, 100M would locked for the week then. 

 Chinese Valentine's Day. The reason why these local films were released around this time.

 

Still, the overal power of CVD was overestimated (no match to Valentine Day in Feb) but the boost for non ROM-COM like PR was underestimated.

 

100M week and $100m total should happen, both.

[druv10]

 Chinese Valentine's Day. The reason why these local films were released around this time.

 

Still, the overal power of CVD was overestimated (no match to Valentine Day in Feb) but the boost for non ROM-COM like PR was underestimated.

 

100M week and $100m total should happen, both.

 

Thanks, WOM must be good for PR. It has held very well so far. 

[Bishop54]

Hell yeah for Pacific Rim!!! 

[bballman24]

Fuck yeahhhhh China!!!!

[Heat Vision]

100 Million for sure. Sad that Japan didn't deliver though.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Tuesday rough report:

 

1. PR ------ 31.5M ------ 541M (+81% from Monday)

2. TT2 ------28M ------ 215M (+43% from Monday)

3. ONS ------ 24.5M ------ 82M (+113% from Monday)

4. Palace, The ------ 15.5M ------ NEW

5. Unbeatable ------ 6.1M ------ Preview

6. FF6 ------ 3.4M ------ 398M

 

Of course all movies benifited from Tuesday being this year's CVD while PR and ONS are the biggest winners, jumping 81% and 113% from previous day respectively. Wanda's TV show adapted costumed rom-com The Palace is a DOA. Giant screen count from Wandan Cinemas couldnt save it.

 

Overally this year's CVD looks to totall around 114M yuan, which is softer than expected but still is easily one of the biggest days of this summer and about 25% bigger than the same day of last year. More later.

[Bishop54]

Come on $107M!!!!

[Olive]

It's very likely to beat DOM gross now.

[Bishop54]

It's very likely to beat DOM gross now.

That must be a rare occurance for a big budget Hollywood film. 

[Olive]

That must be a rare occurance for a big budget Hollywood film. 

Did Cloud Atlas make that?

If not, PR will be the first 100M-plus-budget movie which grossed more in China than DOM.