iceroll Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 What the hell? Why is Robocop of all movies so popular there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 What the hell? Why is Robocop of all movies so popular there? Anything even remotely connected to robots does gangbusters in China, that's the rule. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Feb 2014 almost equaled 2007 yearly, speaking of an increasing market! Feb 2014: 3.33 billion yuan 2007 yearly: 3.2B + 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hernan Gonzalez Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Feb 2014 almost equaled 2007 yearly, speaking of an increasing market! Feb 2014: 3.33 billion yuan 2007 yearly: 3.2B + 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Feb 2014 almost equaled 2007 yearly, speaking of an increasing market! Feb 2014: 3.33 billion yuan 2007 yearly: 3.2B + It's the other way: Feb 2014: 3.2B + 2007 yearly: 3.33 billion yuan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's the other way: Feb 2014: 3.2B + 2007 yearly: 3.33 billion yuan Yes, messed up.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 (edited) What the hell? Why is Robocop of all movies so popular there? Anything even remotely connected to robots does gangbusters in China, that's the rule. The Sci-Fi action genre usually does well in China, maybe the most popular genre among Hollywood movies. Edited February 28, 2014 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Friday estRobocop 45M new(45+60+50= 155M OW likely)DOS 19M 310M( a possible 65% 2nd weekend drop)Frozen 2.6M 261MYeah. 500 mill is dead Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's the other way:Feb 2014: 3.2B +2007 yearly: 3.33 billion yuanWhen will it hit 3B+ a week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 When will it hit 3B+ a week? June of 2016 It went up 12x from 2007 to 2014, so another 4x would be 28 months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Even with 35M Sat (80% increase, very hard) and 28m Sun, which means less than 375m after 10 days with -60% 2nd wkn drop. Say 70m next week (-60% weekly), 25m for the rest of run. 470m $seem $77m the limit for DoS. When will it hit 3B+ a week? Current biggest week is 1.15B. At +30% yearly rate, weekly record will reach 3.2B yuan ($500m+, Bigger than US/CA record) in 4 years, so 2018. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 China Box Office on Track to Reach $4.6 Billion in 2014. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/china-box-office-track-reach-684347 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The Sci-Fi action genre usually does well in China, maybe the most popular genre among Hollywood movies. What do you think GOTG will make? It's Sci-fi + SH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I was (drunk( trying to explain to my family about how China is the biggest wildcard market in movies today, because of its rapid expansion. And how weird it was due to the 34 foriengn movie limitation (I hope thats' right?). It surprised them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 FRI Cop 39m DoS 19m What do you think GOTG will make? It's Sci-fi + SH. $50m if movie is good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex Bennett Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I was (drunk( trying to explain to my family about how China is the biggest wildcard market in movies today, because of its rapid expansion. And how weird it was due to the 34 foriengn movie limitation (I hope thats' right?). It surprised them. Explain "wildcard' please And could you convince them to travel here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 (edited) Explain "wildcard' please And could you convince them to travel here Ooh, yeah. Wildcard is probably pretty culturally loaded. I'm going to ignore the denotations of the term, though. In general, we have a fairly good predictive sense of how well a film will do in most markets: the US, Japan, Australia, Europe. These are all mature markets and while we're not going to be exact, we probably aren't going to miss a prediction by an order of magnitude in most cases. (Shoot, even Frozen, which pretty much everyone missed, was is probably only going to double most expectations in any given market. So predictions were off, but are not vastly off.) China, though, is the wildcard. Predictions are a crapshoot. They could be very high or very low and there's little way to tell how they will work. The combination of limited exposure (34 movies a year), rapid theater expansion, and the uncertain nature of what the audience will go for mean that things may be vastly different from expectations. The Hobbit's a good example: the first one did... not well. The second one is doing significantly better. Or Pacific Rim, which pretty much did ho-hum numbers everywhere else and broke out huge in China. In a few years, probably no more than ten at the most, China will be a mature market. We'll have a good sense about how it will go, so if I speak to people who do not follow the box office I will feel much more confident about how a film will do there. (Russia is also a bit of a wildcard, but that seems to be coming more in line faster than China is. Probably because it's not such a limited market.) (As for travel, I would love to visit China sometime, but it's probably not going to happen soon without outside help. Overseas travel is hella expensive.) Edited March 1, 2014 by DamienRoc 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 FRI Cop 39m DoS 19m $50m if movie is good Not so bad for DoS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ooh, yeah. Wildcard is probably pretty culturally loaded. I'm going to ignore the denotations of the term, though. In general, we have a fairly good predictive sense of how well a film will do in most markets: the US, Japan, Australia, Europe. These are all mature markets and while we're not going to be exact, we probably aren't going to miss a prediction by an order of magnitude in most cases. (Shoot, even Frozen, which pretty much everyone missed, was is probably only going to double most expectations in any given market. So predictions were off, but are not vastly off.) China, though, is the wildcard. Predictions are a crapshoot. They could be very high or very low and there's little way to tell how they will work. The combination of limited exposure (34 movies a year), rapid theater expansion, and the uncertain nature of what the audience will go for mean that things may be vastly different from expectations. The Hobbit's a good example: the first one did... not well. The second one is doing significantly better. Or Pacific Rim, which pretty much did ho-hum numbers everywhere else and broke out huge in China. In a few years, probably no more than ten at the most, China will be a mature market. We'll have a good sense about how it will go, so if I speak to people who do not follow the box office I will feel much more confident about how a film will do there. (Russia is also a bit of a wildcard, but that seems to be coming more in line faster than China is. Probably because it's not such a limited market.) (As for travel, I would love to visit China sometime, but it's probably not going to happen soon without outside help. Overseas travel is hella expensive.) I actually think Japan is more of a wildcard than China, Because it is more likely to go against both the norm in the market and the films performance in the rest of the world. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Saturday estimates Robocop 47M +21% 86M(so 125M/$20.5m OW) DOS 29M +47% 339M Frozen 7.3M +180% 268M 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
