pepsa Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 And I do think marvel is astablishing a brand in China, just like in the rest of the world. But I still think 225M-250M is what I expect of it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 I have high hopes for AOU here indeed (250 mio) But reaching TF4 - sadly nope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 (edited)   Seems like the Chinese like American films more than their own.  Interesting question. Total gross of Hollywood films (42) in 2014 ~ $2.069 billion Hollywood market share in 2014 ~ 44.8% Gross per Hollywood film in 2014 ~ $49.26 million Total gross of local films (256) in 2014 ~ $2.732 billion Local film market share in 2014 ~ 55.2% Gross per local film in 2014 ~ $10.40 million One could argue that Hollywood releases would win the market share if there were more of them,i.e., if the quota system were nonexistent. However, in that case, the current censorship most likely would also be gone. The vast majority of local genre films can not be (efficiently) done because of SARPPFT's ridiculously restrict censorship. Hollywood films have (much) better quality in general, yes. But Chinese audience loving Hollywood films more is a bold assumation in current situation in my opinion. Apparently local langauge films have seen more admissions in recent few years in South Korea. After all, China has a much bigger film market than Korea does, which bodes well for a stronger local film industry. Edited December 26, 2014 by firedeep 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 26, 2014 Author Share Posted December 26, 2014 If TA2 opens right on May 1st, then it has a chance to break TF4's OD record (only OD/OW record, because of holiday inflation, but not TF4's alltime total record). Otherwise, nope .... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Gone with the flops! january now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014    Interesting question. Total gross of Hollywood films (42) in 2014 ~ $2.069 billion Hollywood market share in 2014 ~ 44.8% Gross per Hollywood film in 2014 ~ $49.26 million Total gross of local films (256) in 2014 ~ $2.732 billion Local film market share in 2014 ~ 55.2% Gross per local film in 2014 ~ $10.40 million One could argue that Hollywood releases would win the market share if there were more of them,i.e., if the quota system were nonexistent. However, in that case, the current censorship most likely would also be gone. The vast majority of local genre films can not be (efficiently) done because of SARPPFT's ridiculously restrict censorship. Hollywood films have (much) better quality in general, yes. But Chinese audience loving Hollywood films more is a bold assumation in current situation in my opinion. Apparently local langauge films have seen more admissions in recent few years in South Korea. After all, China has a much bigger film market than Korea does, which bodes well for a stronger local film industry. I would hope so. Hollywood films killing local films would be tragic. its critical that there is a balance. Japanese and Korean markets handle both very well without too many restrictions. I hope the same happens in China. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 26, 2014 Share Posted December 26, 2014 Friday est Tiger Mountain 50M, 168M/$27M Love on the Cloud 25.4M, 92M/$14.8M GWTB 13.2M, 434M/$69.8M 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 TF4's record is safe. What future movies do you see with the potential to break that record? TF5? Maybe Avengers 2 but I REAAALLLLY doubt it. If low budget comedy Lost in Hong Kong, a sequel to Lost in Thailand (2012) which break 1265m with budget less than $3m. 2015 local movies, only The Ghouls (12.18.2015) expect to do 2B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 27, 2014 Author Share Posted December 27, 2014 (edited) Yes I agree that a blance is necessary (and essentially inevitable). In every culture, local films are always in demand. The problem in China is that SARPPFFT (the Party) controls too much. Films with political subtexts ---- NO Films with ghosts/supernatural-elements in mordern background---- NO Films about the evil/dark side of human nature ---- NO ...... ...... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship_in_China Unless a significant step-up happens in China's top political landscape, the current censoring system probably wont see big changes. And as long as the censoring system holds, a film/TV rating system remains a daydream and there always will be a quota system on imported films. (If the qouta system somehow gets lifted in 2017 after the next negociation, censorship on foreign films could be stricter.) No rating system = every film should and can only vary between G and PG-13. ================ Decemer 2011 box office ~ 1.390 billion RMB Decemer 2012 box office ~ 2.556 billion RMB +84% Decemer 2013 box office ~ 2.120 billion RMB -17% Decemer 2014 box office ~ 2.500 billion RMB +18% ~ (projection) Meanwhile 2014's total box office increased 73% compared to 2012 After two lackluster Decembers in a row, I am going to be skeptical about The Ghouls (12.18.2015) doing 2B. The industry see this as a trend that the heart of winter box office season has shifted to Chinese new year from December. So I think Stephen Chow's The Mermaid (2.8.2016) has a better shot at 2B. Edited December 27, 2014 by firedeep 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 GWTB dropped 84% Friday to Friday, glad this piece of shit fails to make money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 Can someone post the next Hollywood releases in China? I really dont care about chinese movies... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 January 4th~ NATM3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 GWTB dropped 84% Friday to Friday, glad this piece of shit fails to make money. Wow. Firedeep predicted 200 mill + for this right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 January 4th~ NATM3 Potential? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 I think market is ripe for NATM3 to break out. I am expecting 400-500M rmb for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 400M is possible. 300M is more likely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 27, 2014 Share Posted December 27, 2014 Saturday est Tiger Mountain 76M, 240M/$38.5M Love on the Cloud 28.5M, 116M/$18.7M GWTB 16M, 449M/$72.4M The Nut Job 6.2M, 8.0M/$1.3M Los últimos días 3.0M, 5.1M/$0.8M 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 (edited) Saturday est Tiger Mountain 76M, 240M/$38.5M How much could it do? Fleet of Time? Edited December 28, 2014 by Chhor Liheang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 The market is ripe for anything to break out after all this floppage!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donald Posted December 28, 2014 Share Posted December 28, 2014 Dragon blade is getting some buzz! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
