China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Lordmandeep]

Fast Six and TA2 early perdicts?

 

 

Both past 100 million? 

[Noctis]

^ Duh for TA2. Probably 180m.

[Olive]

AOU trailer has most retweets on Chinese version of Twitter despite released at 2:30am.

[fmpro]

Fast Six and TA2 early perdicts?

 

 

Both past 100 million?

Thats like money in the bank with insurance

[peludo]

Fast Six and TA2 early perdicts?

 

 

Both past 100 million? 

Those are very conservative numbers. Market experts can correct me, but I think TA2 should be close to $200m, maybe higher. And FF7 should make at least Hobbit 3 numbers (>$120m), probably more.

[Olive]

I expect 135m for F7and 210m for AOU

[Olive]

Friday showtimes share est

Jupiter Ascending   25.13%；

Paddington  12.39%；

Macau 2    12.23%；

BH6     11.77%；

Wolf Totem  9.73%。

[Quigley]

I guess BH6 will be lucky to earn $10M this 3-day weekend?

[Lordmandeep]

If TA2 increases that much that could mean a much bigger jump overseas then expected.

[Infernus]

If TA2 increases that much that could mean a much bigger jump overseas then expected.

We have been expecting near about 200m in china for A2 since last year. Actually the increase isn't really that much when you take into act the fact that this is a market that has been growing by atleast 30% for a few years. GotG made more than the first avengers last year here!

Edited March 9, 2015 by Infernus

[Olive]

Thursday est

1.Macau 2: 24m~807m~$128.8m 

2.Big hero 6: 19M~157M~$25.1m 

3.Wolf Totem: 17.8m~567m~$90.5m 

4.Dragon Blade: 12.6m~687m~$109.8m

5.Paddington: 9M ~$1.4m OD

6.Zhongkui: 4.6m~393m~$62.8m

[peludo]

If TA2 increases that much that could mean a much bigger jump overseas then expected.

You should not expect an incredible jump OS. The exchange rates are horrible and they keep dropping. TA would have done about 760-770 OS with current exchange rates. IMO, the target is 1 billion OS, what would already be great.

[Olive]

Presales for JA is not impressive, around BH6 level and WOM is horrible from people who have seen it.

50M may happen but I would not be surprised if it finish lower than BH6.

[Ay72998]

Is the upcoming weekend and Monday (03/09) a Holiday in China to?  Because of the Yuanxiao (Lantern Festival)?  Does anyone know? 

Edited March 5, 2015 by Ay72998

[seduh]

good numbers for BH6, I hope it can still make $50. Friday numbers is very crucial

[Lihongkim]

Is the upcoming weekend and Monday (03/09) a Holiday in China to?  Because of the Yuanxiao (Lantern Festival)?  Does anyone know? 

International Women Day is on Sunday, so Monday should be holiday

[Ay72998]

Do people get a day off on Monday?

[Olive]

No, women's day is not national holiday.

Jupiter Ascending made 1.3m yuan from midnights not bad.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Lantern Festival (3.5, Thursday, this year) is not an officially holiday but it is condisered the ending day of the socalled winter box office season, which began Nov 28, 2014 and ended Mar 5, 2015 in 2014, 98 days in total, producing box office of 10.16 billion yuan or 103.6m per day on average. #1 (Tiger Mountain, 881m) and #2 (Macao 2, 805m) films both from Bona Film Group.

Women's Day is not an officially holiday either but people (mostly women) get half day's off. (Coming Monday is not holiday, of course). WD falls Sunday this year anyway ... still, Sunday box office could match Saturday box office, meaning the coming weekend will be an inflated one.

All in all, with LF and WD, this weekend is not a bad post-Chinese new year slot for openers (Paddington for Jupiter Ascending).

Btw, that PSA of 13 people for Paddington on OD was poor ... totally a waste of screenings. Still, 100m yuan remains possible.

Re Big Hero 6: $50m is locked IMO.

Agreed that F7 should do at least more than Hobbit, even with a weak Apr 12 schedule.

Re el sida,

Generally speaking, a Chinese film should fetch 3x its production budget at this Chinese box office to be a success/hit. In the case of Dragon Blade, a total CBO of 800m+ should be good for the producers, considering the movie, for Jackie Chan's sake, will have a decent run in international sales. Though SFG (Shanghai Film Group, DB's Mainland distributor), who bought the film from its producers and financiers (Yaolai, Huayi, Alibaba Film and a bunch of others) for 300m, probably would lose one or two coins on the deal.

Biggest release of March should be Cinderella (3.13). It's a month that, finally, will be dominated by imports (JS, Kingsman, Takes 3). Biggest local release should be that Andy Lau drama Lost & Love.

[Olive]

Friday est

1.Jupiter Ascending: 46M ~OD~$7.3m

2.Big hero 6: 21M~178M~$28.2m

3.Macau 2: 17M~826M~$132.5M

4.Wolf Totem: 15.8m~583m~$93.5m

5.Paddington: 7.2M ~15M~$2.4m

6.Dragon Blade: 6.5m~694m~$111m

Edited March 6, 2015 by Johnny Storm