A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 10, 2015 Author Share Posted May 10, 2015 1B 6days would put $300m (1.86B) total into play but not a lock. And AOU would need a 200m+ OD to be on track for 1B 6days. Total/6days multiplier of Tuesday openers in the past few years was 2.04(2010), 1.84(2011), 1.83(2012), 1.97(2013), 1.69(2014). Movie legs in overall have been worse and worse over the years. Also, I think even $300m from China may not be enough for AOU winning worldwide .... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 1B 6days would put $300m (1.86B) total into play but not a lock. And AOU would need a 200m+ OD to be on track for 1B 6days. Total/6days multiplier of Tuesday openers in the past few years was 2.04(2010), 1.84(2011), 1.83(2012), 1.97(2013), 1.69(2014). Movie legs in overall have been worse and worse over the years. Also, I think even $300m from China may not be enough for AOU winning worldwide .... 200BX1.69=338B. How do you get 1B in 6 days from a 200M OD using a 1.69 multi? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 200BX1.69=338B. How do you get 1B in 6 days from a 200M OD using a 1.69 multi? Pretty sure he is saying that those mulipliers are for total gross based on six Day grosses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 RAWRRRR at Neo and his math. Anyway presales have really tapered off. May be they will do another discount sales later today for another burst or it will barely crack 300K. So that would be just around 2/3 of Furious 7. Similar finish in total would lead to 260m in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 11, 2015 Author Share Posted May 11, 2015 Seeing this one midnight, don't let me down Marvel ... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Seeing this one midnight, don't let me down Marvel ... Still trying to get used to the thought of people going to see an opening midnight show late night on a Monday. LOL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 1B 6days would put $300m (1.86B) total into play but not a lock. And AOU would need a 200m+ OD to be on track for 1B 6days. Total/6days multiplier of Tuesday openers in the past few years was 2.04(2010), 1.84(2011), 1.83(2012), 1.97(2013), 1.69(2014). Movie legs in overall have been worse and worse over the years. Also, I think even $300m from China may not be enough for AOU winning worldwide .... Makes sense for multipliers to go lower as distribution goes wider and more people get to see the movie on day 1 than ever before, I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 How are the first day sellouts for AoU? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 300082 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 In 16,5h get 50k pre-sale more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Looks like it will finish around 350-375k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 OD presales for AOU about 50m yuan, FF7 70M. Just watched it at a press screening, audience reaction seems lukewarm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 OD presales for AOU about 50m yuan, FF7 70M. Just watched it at a press screening, audience reaction seems lukewarm. which forecasts the bond with this now you have ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 which forecasts the bond with this now you have ? If those figures hold, ie., 72% of FF7, that would take opening day + midnights to RMB 286 Million...or is my red bull induced calculations wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 If those figures hold, ie., 72% of FF7, that would take opening day + midnights to RMB 286 Million...or is my red bull induced calculations wrong? Since its a weekday walkins will be lower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 Since its a weekday walkins will be lower. Drats, you're right...still, that will put first day totals well above 200M RMB, which is what everyone is saying is needed for the 1B in 6 days goal? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 321 666 6h to mid Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 About presales I remember when we posted TH3 numbers every couple minutes cause they were similar to T4 and that was forecast for good run. Now that numbers are beaten for second time it's awesome. New level of numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 340K+ with 4 hrs till midnight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 11, 2015 Share Posted May 11, 2015 340K+ with 4 hrs till midnight. How long after til we get some numbers? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
