China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Quigley]

Monday dropped about 45% from last Monday (15.4M vs 27.8M). Not good but not bad either. What really matters is Tuesday's % drop from last Tuesday, since Hercules is coming out.

[Archerdude]

Monday dropped about 45% from last Monday (15.4M vs 27.8M). Not good but not bad either. What really matters is Tuesday's % drop from last Tuesday, since Hercules is coming out.

 

What if it beats Hercules' day 1...probably will be a close call?

[juni78ukr]

Tuesday est.

 

1. Hercules 18 mln yuan or 2.93 mln

2. Guardians 13 mln yuan or 2.12 mln. Total 456 mln yuan or 74.1 mln.

3. Break up buddies 9 mln yuan or 1.47 mln. Total 1080 mln yuan or 175.5 mln.

[picores]

What's the likely final total of Hercules with that OD? Seems very low.

[Donald]

I think its previews

[Quigley]

Drop from last Tuesday for GotG is estimated at 51% (13M vs 26.3M) - let's hope it doesn't get any lower.

 

In my opinion, this is looking ok. With 50% drops (on average) from now on, it can still reach $100M.

 

UPDATE: As a post lower down mentions, the Tuesday actual is 13.6M so the drop is 48% from last Tuesday.

Edited October 23, 2014 by Quigley

[juni78ukr]

I think around 95-100 yuan opening week for Hercules. 18-15-13-13-21-17. Maybe lower. 

[Olive]

GOTG will lose at least a third showtimes on Friday.

 

Weekly Forecas (Oct 20-26):

1. Lucy    110M/ $17.8M   NEW

2. GOTG   90M/$14.6M   515M/$83.7M

3. Hercules 88M/14.3M new

[Archerdude]

GOTG will lose at least a third showtimes on Friday.

 

Weekly Forecas (Oct 20-26):

1. Lucy    110M/ $17.8M   NEW

2. GOTG   90M/$14.6M   515M/$83.7M

3. Hercules 88M/14.3M new

 

Then Maze Runner and TMNT happens next week, I think Herc definitely drew the short end of the stick here but Olive what's your sense of where GOTG will end up using this trajectory?  540, US$90 Mil thereabouts?

[Olive]

Then Maze Runner and TMNT happens next week, I think Herc definitely drew the short end of the stick here but Olive what's your sense of where GOTG will end up using this trajectory?  540, US$90 Mil thereabouts?

Yeah, with high end around 550M hopefully.

[Olive]

Tuesday final numbers

Hercules 15M OD,much lower than est.

GOTG  13.6M, total 459M

[LexJoker]

Hows presales for Lucy?

[fmpro]

Tuesday final numbers

Hercules 15M OD,much lower than est.

GOTG  13.6M, total 459M

Im calling it:

Time of death..

Whatever the clock is at your place

[Olive]

Wednesday est.

1. Hercules 12M/1.95M, total 25M/$4.1M

2. Guardians 11.8M/1.9M, Total 471M/$76.6M.

3. Breakup 8.1M/1.3M, Total 1102M/$179.1M.

Early Friday Showtimes

1. Lucy 41%

2. Herc  13.6%

3. GOTG 10.5%

[Durden]

poor Hercules

Edited October 23, 2014 by Durden

[Bob Violence]

Fury is reportedly in line for 11/21 (not confirmed), as a buyout release from Huayi Brothers. But then CFGC themselves might be releasing Mockingjay as a buyout release on the same day, so it's reasonable to think that Fury won't be out on the 21st unless CFGC doesn't really give a shit about Mockingjay (which is entirely plausible).

Edited October 23, 2014 by Bob Violence

[Olive]

Wednesday act.

1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M

2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M.

3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M.

updated Friday Showtimes

1. Lucy 32.2%

2. Herc  15.2%

3. GOTG 14.4%

[Quigley]

 

Wednesday act.

1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M

2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M.

3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M.

updated Friday Showtimes

1. Lucy 32.2%

2. Herc  15.2%

3. GOTG 14.4%

 

 

Wednesday drop from last week is 48%.

 

Showtimes are dropping to 14.4%, compared to 31.8% last weekend. So its screen occupation will drop by 55%. A similar drop in weekend gross would mean around $9.6M (45% of $21.3M). So including Thursday earnings, it will have earned about $88M by Sunday.

Edited October 23, 2014 by Quigley

[fmpro]

Wednesday act.

1. Hercules 12.3M/2.0M, total 27.3M/$4.4M

2. Guardians 12.2M/2.0M, Total 472M/$76.8M.

3. Breakup 8.3M/1.35M, Total 1104M/$179.4M.

updated Friday Showtimes

1. Lucy 32.2%

2. Herc  15.2%

3. GOTG 14.4%

That is a big drop for Lucy. That can not be a good sign..

[druv10]

That is a big drop for Lucy. That can not be a good sign..

 

That's good news for GOTG. 90M+ will happen for sure now.