efialtes76 Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Monday(5/4/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.Silent Separation: 16.1M~250M ~$40.3M 2. Furious 7: 15.1M~2315M~$372.9M #1 all time grosser 3.Helios: 12.5M~141M~$22.7M 4.The Left Ear: 10.3M~410M~$66M 5.Home: 2M~ 134M~$21.6M Home's final gross will be around 27m,no? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Is it possible for FF7 to get an extended theater run in China like how Frozen got 2 extra weeks there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Is it possible for FF7 to get an extended theater run in China like how Frozen got 2 extra weeks there? Nah, TA2 opens on the 12th. The day after FF7's last day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 (edited) So why/how did Frozen get a 2 week extension in theaters in China? The movie wasn't THAT popular there. Edited May 5, 2015 by Mojoguy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So why/how did Frozen get a 2 week extension in theaters in China? The movie wasn't THAT popular there. Disney tried to push it over 300M yuan, but failed and it finished with 299M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 It seems that Audi has bought all midnights IMAX tickets of Wanda Cinemas and sells for 1 cent per ticket for some self-promotion. So how many tickets is that aprox? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Nah, I say SARFT figured it all right ... Here is the math. YTD box office of all foreign films through May 3 is about 6B. Assuming: F7 rest run ----- 120m Home rest run ----- 80m Chappie ----- 120m AOU ----- 2000m Tomorrowland + San Andreas ----- 700m Insurgent ----- 100m Jurassic World ----- 2000m MI5 ------- 1500m Terminator: Genisys ----- 1000m The Fantastic Four ----- 500m Inside Out ----- 300m Minions ----- 600m Ant-Man ------ 700m Autobahn ----- 300m Pixels ------ 150m Maze Runner: TST --- 250m Hitman: Agent 47 ----- 250m Spectre ----- 700m The Walk ----- 300m So that's 6B + 11.7B + 1B other smaller titles = less than 19B box office of all imported films in 2015, meaning 42~45% (less than 50%) foreign market share. 19B/45B=42.2%. 19B/42B=45.2% Just a guess. I guess then the early decisions to import Annie and Unbroken are paying off based on this calculation. That's a good guess of the movies being imported I should say...one of them might drop out in favor of "Pan," china film just signed to handle merchandising rights of that...which means, well, they have an incentive to import that movie now wouldn't they? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So how many tickets is that aprox? Wanda has maybe 100-120 IMAX screens, let's say an average of 300 seats per theater, so about 3,000+ tickets? According to Weibo posts, some of the IMAX screens have started selling 2:30 or 2:40am shows, Tuesday early morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Wanda has maybe 100-120 IMAX screens, let's say an average of 300 seats per theater, so about 3,000+ tickets? According to Weibo posts, some of the IMAX screens have started selling 2:30 or 2:40am shows, Tuesday early morning. Thanks. So they bought for 1 screening only? Gewara up to 53k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So how many tickets is that aprox? 3400 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Nah, I say SARFT figured it all right ... Here is the math. YTD box office of all foreign films through May 3 is about 6B. Assuming: F7 rest run ----- 120m Home rest run ----- 80m Chappie ----- 120m AOU ----- 2000m Tomorrowland + San Andreas ----- 700m Insurgent ----- 100m Jurassic World ----- 2000m MI5 ------- 1500m Terminator: Genisys ----- 1000m The Fantastic Four ----- 500m Inside Out ----- 300m Minions ----- 600m Ant-Man ------ 700m Autobahn ----- 300m Pixels ------ 150m Maze Runner: TST --- 250m Hitman: Agent 47 ----- 250m Spectre ----- 700m The Walk ----- 300m So that's 6B + 11.7B + 1B other smaller titles = less than 19B box office of all imported films in 2015, meaning 42~45% (less than 50%) foreign market share. 19B/45B=42.2%. 19B/42B=45.2% Just a guess. Hold on a sec, firedeep. One thing of note: you're assuming the Chinese films hold up the end of their bargain. I don't know enough of what's coming but seems the big guns are now trained mostly towards Chinese New Year 2016 and not December, right? Outside of Lost in Hongkong, what else is expected to break the bank there? Thanks. So they bought for 1 screening only? Gewara up to 53k T minus 7 days to launch, what was FF7 presales in Gewara 7 days before it started? Does anyone know? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Beijing time 2015-04-01 10:45 - 15 2015-04-02 08:39 -139 2015-04-03 07:57 - 856 2015-04-04 08:11 - 4,166 2015-04-05 08:03 - 9,352 2015-04-06 18:11 - 22,717 2015-04-07 08:26 - 28,380 2015-04-07 18:40 - 81,588 2015-04-08 00:32 - 99,682 2015-04-08 07:25 -101,494 2015-04-09 00:58 -141,564 2015-04-09 17:31 -167,068 2015-04-10 00:45 -193,250 2015-04-10 19:37 - 286,403 2015-04-10 23:22 - 319,921 2015-04-11 23:36 - 472,900 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Hold on a sec, firedeep. One thing of note: you're assuming the Chinese films hold up the end of their bargain. I don't know enough of what's coming but seems the big guns are now trained mostly towards Chinese New Year 2016 and not December, right? Outside of Lost in Hongkong, what else is expected to break the bank there? T minus 7 days to launch, what was FF7 presales in Gewara 7 days before it started? Does anyone know? So far its in front Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 What time is it now Beijing time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So far its in front OK, like 6 times in front? Must be crazy Marvel fans front loading this. But AAoU needs a strong dominant showing more than FF7 did on day 1 as it starts on a Tuesday. Will be interesting next few days! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 So.... it will finish with 2.4B+ (around 390M)..... an awesome result. Wonder what would be the first movie to hit 400m? or 500m? Unless another local or foreign movie breaks out before it, the first to 400m should be Kungfu Panda 3 in early 2016. If it gets released on Chinese new year, then even 500m is highly possible for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lihongkim Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 I don't know enough of what's coming but seems the big guns are now trained mostly towards Chinese New Year 2016 and not December, right? Outside of Lost in Hongkong, what else is expected to break the bank there? 2015, Two local titles expect to break 2B yuan Lost in Hong Kong & The Ghouls, Xu Zheng & Huang Bo always top local box office. LiHK not yet release date, Maybe Oct golden week or Dec. The film is tentatively scheduled for an August release but duo to competition with HW blockbuster it was canceled. it's no way to avoid the competition. 3 or 4 local blockbuster will release on Oct golden week : Saving Mr. Wu (Andy Law) Lu Chuan version of Ghost Blows Out the Light The Wasted Times (Ge You) etc... Nov will see animated film Da Hai (11.11). Dec will see Wuershan version of Ghost Blows Out the Light-The Ghouls (12.18), Feng Xiaogang's Fading Wave (12.24). Not sure : Turn Out So You're Still Here (So Young 2), The Assassin,etc... Just remember The Crossing & Gone With the Bullet underperformed last Dec. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hawk Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 What time is it now Beijing time? Right now 17:12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archerdude Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 2015, Two local titles expect to break 2B yuan Lost in Hong Kong & The Ghouls, Xu Zheng & Huang Bo always top local box office. LiHK not yet release date, Maybe Oct golden week or Dec. The film is tentatively scheduled for an August release but duo to competition with HW blockbuster it was canceled. it's no way to avoid the competition. 3 or 4 local blockbuster will release on Oct golden week : Saving Mr. Wu (Andy Law) Lu Chuan version of Ghost Blows Out the Light The Wasted Times (Ge You) etc... Nov will see animated film Da Hai (11.11). Dec will see Wuershan version of Ghost Blows Out the Light-The Ghouls (12.18), Feng Xiaogang's Fading Wave (12.24). Not sure : Turn Out So You're Still Here (So Young 2), The Assassin,etc... Just remember The Crossing & Gone With the Bullet underperformed last Dec. Yes so a few of these will underwhelm. I have my bets on Lost in Hong Kong...that said everyone thought Jiang Wen was a sure bet too this time last year! Not familiar with some of the other titles here. Speaking of The Crossing...where's the sequel??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted May 5, 2015 Share Posted May 5, 2015 Now where did AOU have huge pre-sales again ? Hum.... Ah, yes, in the DOM market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
